First of all, I would say Real Madrid are very lucky this season. Had they not been lucky, they would have been knocked out of the Champions League after losing to PSG in the quarter-finals. Secondly, Real Madrid is a bit more experienced than Liverpool on such a platform.
However, as a team, the Liverpool team is stronger than Real Madrid. Madrid's defense is weak. At the same time, their performance depends on Benzema. If they want to win the final, you have to reduce their dependence on Benzema. And young Vinicius has to play well.
There was a luck factor, but it wouldn't be right to explain the whole event with luck. Real Madrid masterfully managed to turn the games they fell behind. Benzema's extraordinary contribution to this is undeniable.
I agree that Real Madrid is bigger and more experienced in history. In terms of team quality, I agree that Liverpool is better. But it doesn't matter in the finals. There is only one match in the middle and the result is determined in 90 minutes. Therefore, we can say that both sides are equidistant from the cup.
I don't get your statement. Being the better team usually means winning the whole thing so are you saying Liverpool would likely choke in the Finals? There's no denying that Benzema had been phenomenal for Real Madrid this season but I just have a hunch he will be restricted.
What I mean is exactly as I described above. There is not a huge difference in quality between the two teams. Both sides can win the trophy. We cannot predict what will happen in the match. An early goal or red card can change the course of the match. I just see Real Madrid one step ahead. It's like 51% vs. 49%, not 70 to 30.
Well, my opinion is that if Real Madrid wins the CL title, that one will go down in history for a reason because the turnarounds Real Madrid managed to pull off this year will probably never happen again. And whatever one may think or argue, there was also luck involved. Sure people talk about strong moral and so on, but look at how it was turned around PSG (insane mistake by the goalkeeper), or the header against Manchester City in the 92nd minute. The ball was even deflected before it hit the head of Rodrygo, and because it was deflected the ball had the perfect curve and went back into the net. These things don't repeat usually over 4-5-6 games, but this year it happened.
As you said though, it is almost impossible to predict as an early red card can turn the game upside down immediately. Plus it is not as if Real Madrid couldn't score. They can definitely score and if you fall behind agains them and hit the bar five times over the course of the game, you still lose despite being better on paper. Overall I think Liverpool has played an outstanding season in all competitions, really all competitions. Losing against Man City in the PL is no shame. Winning the Primera Division against a Barcelona that was literally falling apart and Atletico Madrid, which conceded so many goals 10 years ago in one season I think, is not really such an amazing achievement. Copa del Rey was over early as well.
I'd still bet on Liverpool. At least they are able to control a game over 70 - 80 minutes, which is really nice to watch.