I don't doubt these statistics, but when on the field it can easily be seen that Spain excels in pressing, ball possession, and also in creating more opportunities. France has problems finishing and if it can't be fixed then Spain will easily finish this match quickly and achieve a landslide victory. Honestly, from this comparison alone it would make more sense that Spain is the favorite. Don't be surprised if France loses because their front line is very different from what Spain has, including Spain's rear defense which has really stressed many teams. Carvajal will indeed be absent but Nancho, Cucurella and Laporte are still able to cover Mbappe and Dembele movements, while Griezmann has always had difficulty taking advantage of opportunities from the start, his performance is not too dangerous.
Spain has been one of the best teams in this competition so far their style of play is just so good, good passes, excellent creativity and their ball handling and possession is so good. They seem to play with purpose and instruction but the same cannot be said for France, they play a different style which is really not clear to everyone they don’t seem to play under serious instruction and it is why they have not been convincing throughout the competition, Mbappe has not been at his best and that’s why their front line has not been clinical. The game will be an interesting one and i won’t be surprised as well if Spain wins the game
What about defense? How do you assess France's defense, how many goals did they concede in this tournament? Yes, Spain is very good now, but France is not much worse, but they play differently, different styles of play, and this is understandable, these are different countries, they have different coaches, but both of these teams are of a high level and they have a lot of experience in the playoffs , so maybe if Spain has an advantage in this match, it will be very small. I can’t determine for myself which of them can win today.
France seem to be strong in defense according to stats they have not conceded much in this tournament but that doesn’t mean they cannot lose. Saliba has really helped to strengthen the defense and with support of Kante they defend well but with Spain style it will be difficult to defend against them. Saying this doesn’t mean Spain are the favorites to win, it is still an unpredictable game.