Cassidy was a pretty big surprise, he gave an interview afterwards saying that the legal defenses 'disorganized and random' argument it what swayed him to vote yes.
Many of the lawyers who represented Trump in his last impeachment trial have declined to do so this time around because it is of their opinion that this trial is nothing more than political theater.
I'm pretty sure this is not true, but if you have any sources I'd be interested in seeing them. I know Dershowitz called it political theater, but he didn't say that's why he isn't on the team.
There are multiple reports that some of the lawyers from impeachment #1 consider what he did indefensible and according to Keith Whittington, a politics professor at Princeton University:
“I’m not terribly surprised that top tier conservative attorneys who a Republican president might normally turn to would not be interested in jumping on this particular grenade. Those who might have been sympathetic to defending the president in other contexts such as his first impeachment don’t necessarily want to defend what he’s done here -- both because they aren’t easy to defend and they’ll tarnish people’s professional reputation down the road.”
https://news.bloomberglaw.com/us-law-week/trump-struggles-to-build-legal-team-as-impeachment-trial-nearsMy best guess is Trump will not get convicted, but if he does, I would say that any conviction will be thrown out by the SC.
This was discussed when he was impeached the first time. Legal experts seem to agree that SCOTUS does not have the authority to overturn an impeachment due to separation of power and the fact that the constitution gives the house sole power to impeach and the senate sole power to convict. I agree he probably won't be convicted though, my guess is the final vote will be 55-45 in favor of convicting (they need 2/3).
I am not sure how this is even a decision. The House called no witnesses and held no hearings. I am not sure how anyone would consider voting to convict without any evidence.
There's tons of evidence. Footage of the attack, his speech, records of all of his public statements and social media posts, plus every member of the Senate is basically already a witness.
the impeachment is about stripping a president(current or former) of all honour and privilege and to remove them from ever having a chance of office again. .. and then normal criminal law can apply to them
There is no part of the constitution that allows for the Senate to impeach a former President. The constitution allows for the Senate to
remove a President from office, however, Trump cannot be removed from office because he does not currently hold the office of the President.
The House has sole power to impeach. The Senate has sole power to convict. Impeachment results in two thing: removal from office and the ability for congress to make him ineligible to run for office again.
By claiming that he cant be convicted if he leaves office after being impeached would allow for officials to commit impeachable offenses without being held accountable by simply leaving office.
There's also precedent from like 100 years ago, so this wouldn't be the first time.
I skipped the video portion on purpose. Did they include Trump’s comment during the last debate regarding Proud Boys and Antifa?
“Disorganized and random” is accurate and the referrals to The Federalist Papers were odd and out of place for the point they were trying to make.
It was disappointing but not surprising to see only a handful of the GOP voting for an impeachment trial.
On the same but other note, Why his Georgia phone call isn’t enough to keep him from holding any public office again (aka: impeached) is also disappointing.
I believe they only included stuff from Jan 6th. The video is intense. I encourage anyone that thinks what happened isn't a big deal or that Trump played no roll in what happened to watch it.
There's a decent chance Trump is indicted for what he tried to do to the Georgia SS.
, and then liable to future court actions for criminal charges
I don't think being impeached would have much affect on criminal charges. Like you said, the two are supposed to be completely separate. It's possible prosecutors are waiting for the impeachment process to conclude before filing charges though, but I don't think it matters what the outcome is.