It is very likely that a military conflict between Venezuela and Guyana will begin soon, or rather, it has already begun. And this conflict threatens to develop into a multilateral one, with the participation of many states. Information has already appeared that Venezuelan special operations forces have crossed the border with Guyana and are fighting in the Essequibo region with the defense forces of this country.
Guyana is now trying to enlist the support of Brazil, the US and Britain to curb Venezuela's appetites. Brazil has already made it clear to Venezuela several times that it will intervene in the event of hostilities. Brazil's Defense Ministry, which is supporting Guyana in the conflict, has decided to send additional troops to guard its northern border amid tensions between Venezuela and Guyana over a territorial dispute. The Pentagon has sent some of the leadership of the US 1st Security Force Assistance Brigade (SFAB) to Guyana.
The Guyana Armed Forces (GDF) number 12 thousand people. At the same time, the total strength of the Venezuelan army, including the police, is over 300 thousand people. Dictator Maduro in Venezuela is supported by other dictatorships - Russia, Cuba, Iran, North Korea, Belarus and China.
Source:
https://kp.ua/politics/a680699-vozmozhnaja-vojna-pod-bokom-u-ssha-venezuela-uhrozhaet-hajane-po-lekalam-putina
It appears that someone is trying to divert the attention of the United States and the West from the war in Ukraine and weaken the assistance provided to it. The fighting has not yet subsided as a result of the Hamas attack on Israel, and suddenly there is a new source of military tension. And evil tongues say that “Wagnerites” have long settled in Venezuela. But everything secret sooner or later becomes clear.
Topic: Venezuela vs Guyana. A new problem in the oil market ? - page 3. (Read 411 times)
Apparently, someone is not abandoning attempts to destabilize the oil market, and the world economy in general.
Now another hotbed of hostilities may emerge before our eyes, the key goal of which is to destabilize oil production in the world.
The reasons are banal - a neighboring country, Venezuela. And there on December 3, 2023 a referendum is scheduled in which Venezuelans must "decide" whether to take away 2/3 of the territory from the neighboring state. Why? There are a lot of "reasons" and "explanations". But we will discard the fairy tale options, let's return to reality. NEFT.
Since 2015, 46 oil fields have been discovered in Guyana (4 of them in 2023). This state, at the moment, has the world's fourth largest oil reserves - 10 billion barrels. Thus, it becomes the largest owner of oil reserves per capita. And geological exploration in the country continues. The neighboring country is Venezuela. A country that made its choice in favor of a populist president who brought the country to economic collapse, wild inflation, and the status of almost a "pariah country", and exactly a country with sanctions on oil.
It would seem - extract oil, get a huge income, make the country and its people rich and happy. But what to do if you are a populist to the bone !?? Right - you need to continue the show to distract the population from the real problems, and yourself to get away from the really difficult work. Especially after you yourself have driven the country into such a state.
What's the solution? The classic - a small victorious war, with the capture of foreign territories, and especially if they contain large oil deposits.
And especially if someone whispers behind your back "go ahead, go ahead, take someone else's, I will support you, I have experience"....
I am interested in the opinion of the respected community ! In case of conflict development, or rather the beginning of a full-scale invasion of Venezuela in Guyana, what consequences await the world economy, namely the oil market?
Now another hotbed of hostilities may emerge before our eyes, the key goal of which is to destabilize oil production in the world.
The reasons are banal - a neighboring country, Venezuela. And there on December 3, 2023 a referendum is scheduled in which Venezuelans must "decide" whether to take away 2/3 of the territory from the neighboring state. Why? There are a lot of "reasons" and "explanations". But we will discard the fairy tale options, let's return to reality. NEFT.
Since 2015, 46 oil fields have been discovered in Guyana (4 of them in 2023). This state, at the moment, has the world's fourth largest oil reserves - 10 billion barrels. Thus, it becomes the largest owner of oil reserves per capita. And geological exploration in the country continues. The neighboring country is Venezuela. A country that made its choice in favor of a populist president who brought the country to economic collapse, wild inflation, and the status of almost a "pariah country", and exactly a country with sanctions on oil.
It would seem - extract oil, get a huge income, make the country and its people rich and happy. But what to do if you are a populist to the bone !?? Right - you need to continue the show to distract the population from the real problems, and yourself to get away from the really difficult work. Especially after you yourself have driven the country into such a state.
What's the solution? The classic - a small victorious war, with the capture of foreign territories, and especially if they contain large oil deposits.
And especially if someone whispers behind your back "go ahead, go ahead, take someone else's, I will support you, I have experience"....
I am interested in the opinion of the respected community ! In case of conflict development, or rather the beginning of a full-scale invasion of Venezuela in Guyana, what consequences await the world economy, namely the oil market?
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