Author

Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 1214. (Read 26623643 times)

legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
full member
Activity: 324
Merit: 221
My degenerate buy orders continue.  Thought I was out of powder until next week but, I rallied the troops.

Glad I don't have a S/O to answer to.  I imagine it would go something like this:

Me: "No, we can't go to that fancy restaurant you've been asking about. We don't have the money this week."

S/O: *stares silently with arms crossed*

Me: "Yes, I spent all of our left over money this week on a digital coin... no we can't spend it..."
legendary
Activity: 3892
Merit: 4331
Is this god candle in the room with us?

Yes, but it is an invisible one.
legendary
Activity: 3892
Merit: 4331
just had a buy pop at ~41.5k


this ETF stuff is like the most awesomest thingie ever..

I set my buys a bit too low oh well

40,404
39,398

Maybe we get these.

Maybe not.

There's this theory by British Hodl that the big buyers are on the sidelines with a few billions waiting for GBTC to bleed out completely. The commission is 1.5% yearly, while the new ETFs have undercut each other and the cheapest of the lot are at 0.15% - one tenth of GBTC's management fee. So GBTC customers will get out of there to get in some cheaper ETF. The buyers are just waiting for this wave of sell orders to reach a price bottom.

Here's the British Hodl guy explaining this in 17 minutes on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=reELJVofC3I

A thank you goes to @cAPSLOCK for pointing me to it.



That's a "funny" theory.
As Novo explained it...tracking+fee is what matters the most.
If your fee is 0.2%, but your tracking is off 10%, you would not attract anybody.
You have months to decide on this.
The other thing is "crypto bros" are happy to shell out roughly 0.4% for a trade on Coinbase (kraken's are about half of those), which is a 0.8% round trip (on ONE trade).
legendary
Activity: 2833
Merit: 1851
In order to dump coins one must have coins
just had a buy pop at ~41.5k


this ETF stuff is like the most awesomest thingie ever..

I set my buys a bit too low oh well

40,404
39,398

Maybe we get these.

Maybe not.

There's this theory by British Hodl that the big buyers are on the sidelines with a few billions waiting for GBTC to bleed out completely. The commission is 1.5% yearly, while the new ETFs have undercut each other and the cheapest of the lot are at 0.15% - one tenth of GBTC's management fee. So GBTC customers will get out of there to get in some cheaper ETF. The buyers are just waiting for this wave of sell orders to reach a price bottom.

Here's the British Hodl guy explaining this in 17 minutes on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=reELJVofC3I

A thank you goes to @cAPSLOCK for pointing me to it.



Who's at 0,15%? Cheapest that i know of is Franklin EZBC at 0,19%
Looks like GBTC had to sell another ~2.000BTC on the 12th or another day of -$88MM outflows, don't have inflow data for the 12th for other ETFs, anyone has a convenient source? There's still over 617k BTC in GBTC hopefully after first week majority would wash trade into other ETFs to save on the fees.

EDIT: Bloomberg is showing -$484,1MM outflow from GBTC on day2 so around -11k coins with inflows to other ETFs staying almost the same as day1
legendary
Activity: 2520
Merit: 3038
just had a buy pop at ~41.5k


this ETF stuff is like the most awesomest thingie ever..

I set my buys a bit too low oh well

40,404
39,398

Maybe we get these.

Maybe not.

There's this theory by British Hodl that the big buyers are on the sidelines with a few billions waiting for GBTC to bleed out completely. The commission is 1.5% yearly, while the new ETFs have undercut each other and the cheapest of the lot are at 0.15% - one tenth of GBTC's management fee. So GBTC customers will get out of there to get in some cheaper ETF. The buyers are just waiting for this wave of sell orders to reach a price bottom.

Here's the British Hodl guy explaining this in 17 minutes on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=reELJVofC3I

A thank you goes to @cAPSLOCK for pointing me to it.

legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
legendary
Activity: 4326
Merit: 8950
'The right to privacy matters'
just had a buy pop at ~41.5k


this ETF stuff is like the most awesomest thingie ever..

I set my buys a bit too low oh well

40,404
39,398

Maybe we get these.

Maybe not.
legendary
Activity: 2716
Merit: 13505
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
Is this god candle in the room with us?
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
legendary
Activity: 4354
Merit: 3614
what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?
just had a buy pop at ~41.5k


this ETF stuff is like the most awesomest thingie ever..
legendary
Activity: 4326
Merit: 8950
'The right to privacy matters'
And when you thought things couldn't get any weirder your cordless screwdriver starts acting up:

Vulnerabilities on Bosch Rexroth Nutrunners May Be Abused to Stop Production Lines, Tamper with Safety-Critical Tightenings

-> https://www.nozominetworks.com/blog/vulnerabilities-on-bosch-rexroth-nutrunners




Apparently it cost too much to pay a human to check mission critical systems with a analog device now.

*glad I'm not going to be around for this future.

I am lucky 67 all kids are dead.

Just me and the wife.  We had a good amount of fun for years and still have fun now.

If it all collapses in more than 15 years I would be 82 so I caught a break. Compared to most people under 45 at this moment.
legendary
Activity: 3122
Merit: 1538
yes
I do think that this is the correction dump or right side Bart following the recent fake pump.

[...]

Totally reasonable, imo.
When i was entering BTC, i was facing a bear trap that made me sell everything again. A few days later i had to enter at a higher price. That was the day my diamond hands were born.

Lost the most by unplanned selling.

Indeed, only sell with a predetermined plan or .... never sell  Roll Eyes
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
legendary
Activity: 1526
Merit: 2617
Far, Far, Far Right Thug
Time to load up or time to sing.

legendary
Activity: 1708
Merit: 3439
Man who stares at charts (and stars, too...)
I do think that this is the correction dump or right side Bart following the recent fake pump.

May look like a Bart, but it's just 2k bitcoin Grayscale dump on Coinbase followed by a leverage liquidation.
Gary knew what he was doing when he demanded cash creation and redemption.

This is different from normal bear market crashes because this money is coming back to bitcoin. It's actually a great opportunity to buy because it's a planned dump where they have to sell to be able to convert their trust. One of the greatest bear traps of all time if you ask me.

Totally reasonable, imo.
When i was entering BTC, i was facing a bear trap that made me sell everything again. A few days later i had to enter at a higher price. That was the day my diamond hands were born.
sr. member
Activity: 1092
Merit: 342
WOLFBET.COM - Exclusive VIP Rewards
Bitcoin ETFs were approved and now everyone is wondering why the price dropped to $43k? If they approved you, why didn't it go up? and if they had not approved them, it would still have gone down, these are the things that many ask, but you have to be patient, some what they say is this:

SEC Chair Says Bitcoin Is Centralized After Approving ETFs

Quote
Bitcoin descended 6% to $43,500 on Thursday as many investors rotated out of the asset after its highly anticipated ETF launch actually passed.

“Investors, I think, should be aware that the underlying asset is a highly speculative, volatile asset,” said Gensler regarding the ETFs, stressing that the agency does not “approve” or “endorse” Bitcoin.

The chairman expanded on his Wednesday statement explaining the approvals, in which he named “ransomware, money laundering, sanction evasion, and terrorist financing,” among Bitcoin’s alleged use cases. Its alleged use cases as a store of value and medium of exchange, he argued, remain suspect.

Furthermore, while Gensler respects certain innovations with blockchain as an “accounting system,” he claimed that there’s a certain “irony” around approving an ETF for a supposedly “decentralized” system.

    “Think about the irony of those who would say this week is historic,” he said. “Now you can buy [Bitcoin] through this thing called an exchange-traded product that’s, well, centralized.”

Many within the Bitcoin community share Gensler’s view around ETF products, advising followers to hold their own BTC on a personal wallet where possible, rather than with an ETF.

Source: https://cryptopotato.com/sec-chair-says-bitcoin-is-centralized-after-approving-etfs/


It catches my attention because they say Irony, but Irony? What they thought was that by approving the ETFs Bitcoin would rise at once, they were wrong, this doesn't work like that.

Now a big milestone! Did the SEC sabotage it?



Source: https://twitter.com/SenLummis/status/1744860826392047845

lol and this?

It seems like a favorable move to see how bitcoin rises... I don't know, Rick...
legendary
Activity: 2520
Merit: 3038
Hey,
Looks like the ETF approval hasn't made him wake up, come on, it's time to wake up guys..

Who, Proudhon?
legendary
Activity: 2833
Merit: 1851
In order to dump coins one must have coins
Bitcoin ETFs Drew $655 Million in Net Inflows on Their First Day
As expected GBTC saw $95MM in outflows the first day.
https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-dow-jones-bank-earnings-01-12-2024/card/bitcoin-etfs-drew-655-million-in-net-inflows-on-their-first-day-6KdjuBWBe2JyS9XDqvPi

$655MM at $45k/BTC is about 14.500 bitcoins that got sucked into ETF in one day (vs 900 mined [about to become 450 in 3 months but shhh don't tell anyone]). I thank those that are selling now
legendary
Activity: 2478
Merit: 1360
Don't let others control your BTC -> self custody
I do think that this is the correction dump or right side Bart following the recent fake pump.

May look like a Bart, but it's just 2k bitcoin Grayscale dump on Coinbase followed by a leverage liquidation.
Gary knew what he was doing when he demanded cash creation and redemption.

This is different from normal bear market crashes because this money is coming back to bitcoin. It's actually a great opportunity to buy because it's a planned dump where they have to sell to be able to convert their trust. One of the greatest bear traps of all time if you ask me.
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