Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 14473. (Read 26609024 times)

I have no idea what you mean by that quote or from where you got it.


Your facts don't even sound correct.  The bull market started in about October 2015.  So, if you are talking about the latest price rise from November to December 2017, you seem to be relying on an out of context set of facts, no?



Of fucking course, this time is different... get a fucking grip.  MTGOX was a different historical time with different dynamics, so if you are trying to act like the BTC market is the same, then you are on a wacky trip.  You gotta be more specific than just throwing out random and baseless prediction assertions that might only be by looking at a chart or some other non contextualized identification of supposed patterns.


That is your fucking lack of foresight.... what the fuck would you be telling folks to be doing nearly the opposite of what they should be doing.  you can sell on the way up and buy on the way down, but yeah, if you did not sell enough, then you made a mistake, and probably the better thing to do would be to hold through it, but sometimes you do have to take a bullet when you fucked up by not selling enough while the price was going up....

So currently we are in a buy situation or in a hodl situation.. not a sedl situation.


You can feel all that you like, the facts are not with you and you are coming off as a nonsense FUD spreader.

Sure, it could be correct that it ends up being a 2014 situation, but not seeming too likely at the moment.


That is a pretty pessimistic view.  You better sell all your BTC and get the fuck out then.  Maybe if it goes back to $500, then you might consider buying at that point.


I think that you personally should sell everything right now, because you don't have any confidence in BTC.. so get out while you can.

Other folks should probably consider both the upside and the downside, so this does not seem like a good time to be selling, but surely everyone needs to decide based on their own situations.

This is what is happening.  



The reason is Badger decided he didnt want to go through  breath testing at $12k and turned his car around and now he is running from the police.  

Also once again.

Notice

How

Everything

Is Pegged

To

Bitcoin

I don't think we went above 12k during this time.

But OK, we went below

EDIT: Are these the stop-loss orders now?

Because we are dropping like a stone at the moment.

Then you were wrong already.

3 weeks ago I wrote we will not see above 10k to 12k this year.

I think more and more that I might be wright ...

If i just knew...people keep saying futures (and of course manipulation...) is not the reason, but i think it's a real coincidence that about 1 day before last trade day of CME futures price get's dumped.

I'm making this months rent, is what's happening. Woo! Yes!

Go home badger you’re drunk

<10k. Fuck.

So Whats going on guys? Can someone explain?

And we are in the 9000s again  

fuck

qft

Only less then 400 BTC to go before we break 10K downwards.
it's going to happen now. sell power is too high.

Edit : broken 10K downwards in 2 seconds.

There are quite a few guys (and gal) here that are likely sick of hearing my personal BTC related plan because it really does not change too much, even if I come out with some strong assertions regarding my anticipated market directions that I believe to be more likely than others. 

I already concede that I could be wrong and on an ongoing basis, and I prepare and re-prepare for BTC prices in both directions.. it's an ongoing approach and tweaking of mine.

So, it seems to me that my ongoing presumption is very much similar to yours - however the only thing that I seem to be doing that is different from you is that I have an ongoing strategy to continue to sell BTC in small amounts all the way up (about 1% selling for every 10% price rise) and to continue to buy all the way down (similar amounts), and just like you I presume that the chances of UP (especially in the long run) are pretty decent, but I don't want to put all my eggs into that UP-scenario basket... and that is part of the rationale for continuing to sell BTC all the way up..   Buying  on the way down is largely a way to attempt to make lemonade out of a kind of lemon set of circumstances... So sure, I don't really like it when BTC prices go down, but at the same time, it seems to be almost inevitable in BTClandia that we are going to get both UP and DOWN, and that seems to be one of the BIGGEST guarantees in bitcoin (aka volatility).  WE can probably bank on volatility more than we can bank on either UP or DOWN - even if we presume that UP is a bit more likely than DOWN.

In other words:  I probably would be too stressed with a BTC HODL only strategy, but certainly, I do not disagree with such buy and HODL strategy. 

At any point, it is possible that BTC prices will stagnate - and for example, BTC prices never go above $10k again, so in some sense we have to prepare for that scenario too.. or even a worse scenario, that BTC  prices go down to $1k and then hover between $1k and $3k and never go above $3k again... I personally believe that any below $20k scenarios in the next 5 years are the less likely scenarios, yet it still seems prudent to prepare for the possible happening of such negative scenarios (and we are in a better state of preparation if we are already 10x, 20x or 30x in profits).

Even if we believe that the above $20k in 5 years is the more likely scenario (even the more likely scenario is no where near inevitable and I only consider it as more likely rather than inevitable), we gotta be financially and psychologically prepared in the event that it does not happen.  Currently, I consider that $50k in 5 years has a pretty decent chance of happening, maybe in the 30-40% arena, and $50k has raised that far into the state of higher probabilities based on our recent outrageously bullish outcome going way past expectations into the $20k range, when previously $5k was the top of likely bullish scenarios (3x to 5x greater than expected price performance).  So $50k is possible in 5 years and even higher numbers are possible in that time frame or even shorter time frames, and surely we are sitting pretty even if our average price per BTC is in the $3k to $5k range, but of course, the lower our average cost per BTC, the more cushion we have for our level of comfort to feel better prepared psychologically and financially for a larger variety of scenarios.

They just will never get it. Hell, I think some Bitcoin maximalists will never get it either.

Bitcoin is not being bought by Average Joe to be spent. Period. The non-existent mempool proves this.

It's being bought as a deflationary hedge against the the fiat monetary system, like digital Gold. It's being held. The fact that it can be spent directly with some merchants online is just a bonus (something that can't be done with PMs).

Average Joe is not even spending his hard earned fiat right now (as witnessed by the deflationary environment we are in globally). He's trying to save money for the future. He's probably also desperately trying to pay down debt. So why in the hell would he go through the hassle and fees of buying Bitcoin just to turn around and spent it? A: He isn't and he won't. He's hodling it.

From this


As the bull market started in November 17, I saw the similar patterns to 2014. Posted a few times here that it will end like the MtGox desaster but earned "this time is different" posts. I am a long time holder since 2013 and it felt like the time is right to sell. But had no balls to sell at 19k.

Maybe I wrote that first post just out of frustration. I have no idea where we are heading to. But it really feels like 2014 again. And seeing 2.5k would hurt damn much. I am pretty doubtfull it would recover from there ever again.

Question is, sell now and be happy with what you have or just go full risk and wait until end 2018 or 2019 :/

Hmm maybe nothing but CME futures last trade day is 23th feb, settlement on 28th

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blood,_toil,_tears,_and_sweat edited to add: is all you can expect from bitcoin sorry
edit oo i like Garibaldi "I offer hunger, thirst, forced marches, battle, and death." expect this lol