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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 16106. (Read 26607588 times)

legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1116
The corporations in the space are legally mandated and by design incentivized to maximize shareholder profit. Bitcoin's longterm viability _as Bitcoin_ doesn't necessarily factor in for them.
legendary
Activity: 2520
Merit: 3038
It is better for the attack to come from within rather than from the governments.  

And how would you know that these patsies and muppets aren't being coerced or paid by govt or big corp aligned interests? The logic behind what they are constantly trying to do only makes sense in light of such. Absent of that, it really makes zero sense.
Yes, there probably is a certain government sponsoring the whole operation, but the point remains that this is a technical stress test performed with technical means - not a full-fledged open government campaign with electric power monitoring, localbitcoins infiltration and similar non-crypto means.
full member
Activity: 140
Merit: 100
It is better for the attack to come from within rather than from the governments.  

And how would you know that these patsies and muppets aren't being coerced or paid by govt or big corp aligned interests? The logic behind what they are constantly trying to do only makes sense in light of such. Absent of that, it really makes zero sense.

Of course, we could already be facing some sort of "Divide-and-Conquer" tactics with various "Two-Minute Hate" figures planted on both side.  But given the relative incompetence from figures such as Roger Ver over the past year, I would presume that a real government attack would be much more devastating, e.g. ban and then nationalize Chinese miners, then simply 51% attack and force a PoW change/hardfork. 
legendary
Activity: 3780
Merit: 5429
It is better for the attack to come from within rather than from the governments.  

And how would you know that these patsies and muppets aren't being coerced or paid by govt or big corp aligned interests? The logic behind what they are constantly trying to do only makes sense in light of such. Absent of that, it really makes zero sense.
legendary
Activity: 2520
Merit: 3038

Your post makes lots of sense. But maybe there's an alternative explanation?
Couldn't it be just an attempt to revive the vanishing BCH price, rather than to reduce the S1X/S2X price gap?
I mean, a way to repay back the "faithful" miners who mined BCH at a loss for a long time.
In any case, I'm waiting at the window with the bucket of my residual BCH ready to dump.


The point is that while the act itself may be self-interested, the date chosen is deliberate, since they can do the algo change at any time and ease the suffering of "mysterious miner" even today.  But they had to chose a date right before S2X fork and hence it is a scheme to help the S2X succeed.  Whether the scheme will succeed or not, who knows, but these kind of attacks are good in that it tests whether bitcoin can resist centralization.  It is better for the attack to come from within rather than from the governments.  
Of course the date is deliberate, but what I meant is that the chosen date is likely to maximize the impact of the action, whether it is support to the S2X attack or a simple attempt at pumping BCH. The date choice alone does not necessarily point to an attack (other considerations could indeed reinforce the hypothesis of a coordinated attack).
legendary
Activity: 3598
Merit: 2386
Viva Ut Vivas
full member
Activity: 140
Merit: 100

Your post makes lots of sense. But maybe there's an alternative explanation?
Couldn't it be just an attempt to revive the vanishing BCH price, rather than to reduce the S1X/S2X price gap?
I mean, a way to repay back the "faithful" miners who mined BCH at a loss for a long time.
In any case, I'm waiting at the window with the bucket of my residual BCH ready to dump.


The point is that while the act itself may be self-interested, the date chosen is deliberate, since they can do the algo change at any time and ease the suffering of "mysterious miner" even today.  But they had to chose a date right before S2X fork and hence it is a scheme to help the S2X succeed.  Whether the scheme will succeed or not, who knows, but these kind of attacks are good in that it tests whether bitcoin can resist centralization.  It is better for the attack to come from within rather than from the governments.  
member
Activity: 101
Merit: 10
truely information is power indeed
legendary
Activity: 2520
Merit: 3038
Since we are discussing politics, we might as well discussing Bitcoin politics.  As people may know already, BCH is set to hard fork on Nov. 13, 2017 to change their EDA/DAA.  
https://bitsonline.com/bitcoin-cash-hard-fork/
Now while people may laugh it off as just another joke from an ALT.  I believe the date is chosen to deliberately cause max disruption.
As we know, the S2X fork is set to happen around Nov 14, 2017 and that the next BTC difficulty adjustment will likely increase difficulty by at least 10%.  So with another difficulty adjustment around Nov 10, we would likely see difficulty rise to at least 15~20% higher than the current level.

As we discussed before, S2X coin is now trading far below the S1X/Core at the current rate (6:1).  So the NYA miners are looking at 80%~90% mining loss right off gate if they choose to follow the S2X chain.  There is no EDA either, so as more miners bail, the remaining miners would face an impossible task in getting to 100 blocks to collect their pay at the current projected difficulty.  We also know that at least 30% of current hashrate is "mercenary" in that they are profit seeking and will jump to the currently most profitable chain, based on BCH experience.  

So by changing the BCH algorithm on Nov 13, it seeks to draw in the most opportunistic miners right before the S2X fork, so that remaining miners would have a better chance of enforcing a NYA outcome and make S2X succeed.  We already know that F2Pool pulled out of NYA and that ViaBTC would offer its miners the option to mine either S1X or S2X chain.  By making BCH profitable to mine on Nov. 13, miners who would have bailed on NYA on Nov 14 because S2X price is so unprofitable, would be unavailable on S1X/Core chain.

By trying to draw as much of profit-seeking hashrate to BCH instead of having them jump over to S1X chain right from the start, I presume the purpose is to try to crash the S1X price, or at least try to narrow the huge price difference between S1X and S2X so that people like Roger Ver, who make the 1000 BTC swap bet, can at least cover their ass and not look as bad.  It could also make the forking debacle more drawn out than expected, as its ultimately a power struggle between miners and hodlers.  Miners have to pay for electricity and depreciation, while it's free for hodler to hodl and not making any tx.  So narrowing the price difference between S1X and S2X would make miners' struggle easier.  

Your post makes lots of sense. But maybe there's an alternative explanation?
Couldn't it be just an attempt to revive the vanishing BCH price, rather than to reduce the S1X/S2X price gap?
I mean, a way to repay back the "faithful" miners who mined BCH at a loss for a long time.
In any case, I'm waiting at the window with the bucket of my residual BCH ready to dump.
full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 101
Not that I care, but since we are OT I might just troll a bit.
I like how people use fascism as an alternative to nazism (I guess it is more of a mouthfull), though most are probably unable to tell the difference between the two.
That is not to say it wasn't an oppressive regime, but well, was definitely not what most people think. I don't see fascism (and I mean fascism per se, not what nazism wanted fascism to do) as particularly evil when compared to certain communist regimes (Castro or Stalin).
full member
Activity: 140
Merit: 100
Since we are discussing politics, we might as well discussing Bitcoin politics.  As people may know already, BCH is set to hard fork on Nov. 13, 2017 to change their EDA/DAA.  
https://bitsonline.com/bitcoin-cash-hard-fork/
Now while people may laugh it off as just another joke from an ALT.  I believe the date is chosen to deliberately cause max disruption.  

As we know, the S2X fork is set to happen around Nov 14, 2017 and that the next BTC difficulty adjustment will likely increase difficulty by at least 10%.  So with another difficulty adjustment around Nov 10, we would likely see difficulty rise to at least 15~20% higher than the current level.

As we discussed before, S2X coin is now trading far below the S1X/Core at the current rate (6:1).  So the NYA miners are looking at 80%~90% mining loss right off gate if they choose to follow the S2X chain.  There is no EDA either, so as more miners bail, the remaining miners would face an impossible task in getting to 100 blocks to collect their pay at the current projected difficulty.  We also know that at least 30% of current hashrate is "mercenary" in that they are profit seeking and will jump to the currently most profitable chain, based on BCH experience.  

So by changing the BCH algorithm on Nov 13, it seeks to draw in the most opportunistic miners right before the S2X fork, so that remaining miners would have a better chance of enforcing a NYA outcome and make S2X succeed.  We already know that F2Pool pulled out of NYA and that ViaBTC would offer its miners the option to mine either S1X or S2X chain.  By making BCH profitable to mine on Nov. 13, miners who would have bailed on NYA on Nov 14 because S2X price is so unprofitable, would be unavailable on S1X/Core chain.

By trying to draw as much of profit-seeking hashrate to BCH instead of having them jump over to S1X chain right from the start, I presume the purpose is to try to crash the S1X price, or at least try to narrow the huge price difference between S1X and S2X so that people like Roger Ver, who make the 1000 BTC swap bet, can at least cover their ass and not look as bad.  It could also make the forking debacle more drawn out than expected, as its ultimately a power struggle between miners and hodlers.  Miners have to pay for electricity and depreciation, while it's free for hodler to hodl and not making any tx.  So narrowing the price difference between S1X and S2X would make miners' struggle easier.  
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1278
Women vote more uniformly than men, which means the moment women got the vote, women controlled politics. And women always vote for more security at the expense of freedom. Which, as every american knows, means you will get neither.


This explains why there's no women into bitcoin. Bitcoin is all freedom and very risky.

Women's nature is passive. There's no way to change it, despite what hysterical feminists want.



Passive or passive-aggressive? There is a difference... Oh well, what the hell do I know about women?  Cheesy
Both.
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1278
I...well, I guess if you want to call it triggered you can.

You will take away my sister's, my mother's, my lover's, my daughter's franchise when you overrun our trenches.  I would say best of luck, but in this I really don't wish you any.

Cheers mate
?
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1278
We are currently declining, and millions if not billions of people will soon die. Places like Venezuela are just the start.

Is this your opening line of conversation at the dinner table?

Anyway, seems like we're having another crack at 6,000. There was a little more resistance than I was expecting. Perhaps traders are wary as the combined crypto cap is forming a double top.
I eat alone.
legendary
Activity: 1806
Merit: 1828
Women vote more uniformly than men, which means the moment women got the vote, women controlled politics. And women always vote for more security at the expense of freedom. Which, as every american knows, means you will get neither.


This explains why there's no women into bitcoin. Bitcoin is all freedom and very risky.

Women's nature is passive. There's no way to change it, despite what hysterical feminists want.



Passive or passive-aggressive? There is a difference... Oh well, what the hell do I know about women?  Cheesy
sr. member
Activity: 1400
Merit: 347
Women vote more uniformly than men, which means the moment women got the vote, women controlled politics. And women always vote for more security at the expense of freedom. Which, as every american knows, means you will get neither.


This explains why there's no women into bitcoin. Bitcoin is all freedom and very risky.

Women's nature is passive. There's no way to change it, despite what hysterical feminists want.

legendary
Activity: 3374
Merit: 4738
diamond-handed zealot
I...well, I guess if you want to call it triggered you can.

You will take away my sister's, my mother's, my lover's, my daughter's franchise when you overrun our trenches.  I would say best of luck, but in this I really don't wish you any.

Cheers mate
legendary
Activity: 2842
Merit: 1511
We are currently declining, and millions if not billions of people will soon die. Places like Venezuela are just the start.

Is this your opening line of conversation at the dinner table?

Anyway, seems like we're having another crack at 6,000. There was a little more resistance than I was expecting. Perhaps traders are wary as the combined crypto cap is forming a double top.
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1278
Wow Ibian...have some more rope man...
There is never enough rope.

Would you like to verbalize your particular objections?

Not directed toward your comment Ibian...

But like I said, this is exactly why honest, thoughtful, and peaceful debate never occurs in our society anymore. Because people already have their minds made up, their positions solidified. They only use discourse to verbally assault, demean, condescend, and try to shut down the other person.

So I wouldn't even bother discussing anything off topic here.


Amygdala hijacking is an art. This is practice.
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1278
A SJW is a communist. We use a different term at the moment because humans are frightened animals that refuse to accept that we are sliding back towards state totalitarianism.

I didn't realize there was an actual time period since the dawn of civilization where we slipped out of state totalitarianism. So not quite sure how we are going slip back into a state that we are already in. Cheesy

Sure, some forms may appear more benign than others. However, when push comes to shove, any government will show it's true nature and unleash its full power over the "common" people. I don't care what label you put on it. Communism, socialism, democracy, fuedalism, imperialism, rebublic: all just the same bullshit. Just repackaged. And no, I'm not an anarchist either. Mob rule, which is what anarchy would degrade to, would be just as bad.
There wasn't. That's the point. History is a cycle. It goes from some kind of mass dieoff (war, plague, famine - death in whatever cloak) to a thriving civilization to decadence to decline to another dieoff.

We are currently declining, and millions if not billions of people will soon die. Places like Venezuela are just the start.

And democracy is mob rule. BEFORE women got the right to vote, we did not have mob rule.

We had mob rule because the States all decided to turn the electoral college into what is now 50 individual popularity contests, and decided to let people "vote" for Senators rather than them being appointed by (hopefully) qualified individuals. Women being allowed to vote is usually just additional rubber stamps on what their particular clan believes anyway.
Women vote more uniformly than men, which means the moment women got the vote, women controlled politics. And women always vote for more security at the expense of freedom. Which, as every american knows, means you will get neither.
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