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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 18639. (Read 26706975 times)

legendary
Activity: 1680
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tera, got any TA for us?
hero member
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The tinfoil hat is out of style

full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
ha, ethereum is the Federal Reserve debt notes system re-incarnated ... increase forever funny money controlled by the 'all-knowing and wise' central committee and Chairman Buterin with the final word.

Vitalik is basically Janet Yellen, without the wig.
With the speed at which Microsoft adopted Ethereum after 1 year, while completely ignoring Bitcoin for 7 years, I wouldn't be surprised if Vitalik Buterin was in bed with Microsoft, who is in bed with the CIA/NSA, and he's ready to hand over control to Hilary Clinton when the time comes. It basically could be a grab of Bitcoin users and market share to migrate over to a system in their control.

Well if it's a tinfoil party...

Now we must ask why Blockstream, largest investor= insurance giant AXA... CEO of which is chairman of the bilderberg group (no joke)... is complicit in driving Bitcoin's potential userbase to ETH:

hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
ha, ethereum is the Federal Reserve debt notes system re-incarnated ... increase forever funny money controlled by the 'all-knowing and wise' central committee and Chairman Buterin with the final word.

Vitalik is basically Janet Yellen, without the wig.
With the speed at which Microsoft adopted Ethereum after 1 year, while completely ignoring Bitcoin for 7 years, I wouldn't be surprised if Vitalik Buterin was in bed with Microsoft, who is in bed with the CIA/NSA, and he's ready to hand over control to Hilary Clinton when the time comes. It basically could be a grab of Bitcoin users and market share to migrate over to a system in their control.
legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 2349
Eadem mutata resurgo
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
Insane how?


The bid depth has grown 115% in the past few weeks while the price grew 50% and I think it's at a record level for that exchange.
legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 2349
Eadem mutata resurgo
ha, ethereum is the Federal Reserve debt notes system re-incarnated ... increase forever funny money controlled by the 'all-knowing and wise' central committee and Chairman Buterin with the final word.

Vitalik is basically Janet Yellen, without the wig.
sr. member
Activity: 574
Merit: 250
In XEM we trust
ETH's got loads of keeners at the moment mining with GPU's or whatever, but once POS hits the whole ballgame changes. I wouldn't want to be around for the switch.
It's like they are killing themselves by taking away all the work from themselves. I didn't know such thing was possible Grin
legendary
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hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500


Holy bfx walls this is insane. The bid depth has doubled in the past month and there is a gox-style wall formation guarding 650. Meanwhile the ask has stopped its aggressive refilling and was down to 3K at one point during the rally.
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1116
ETH's got loads of keeners at the moment mining with GPU's or whatever, but once POS hits the whole ballgame changes. I wouldn't want to be around for the switch.
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
When's ETH make the switch to POS? There should be a moment of popcorn.



2017, apparently.

Can you trust 15 second confirmations?

Obviously less than one 10 min BTC confirmation, but it's nice to have a continuum vs waiting 30 min for an unlucky Bitcoin block.
But there has got to be a lot of issues caused by the 15 second block times. It just sounds so unstable for me. Also doesn't that cause a lot of bloat?
Didn't lighting network promise instant off chain confirmations? Wouldn't that make eths 15 sec block timer even more stupid?


Do people need contracts to be on the ledger?
How efficient are the "decentralized" contracts compared to "centralized" contracts offered by rootstock/conterparty?

I'm not sure, but if they want to, they'll pay the gas costs.
But how cost efficient is ethereums contract platform compared to its competitors? Wouldn't it be better for a business to run its contracts on the cheapest platform to keep costs to a minimum?


Which would be pretty damn bad. Something that isn't so easy with a couple hundred thousand GPU's scattered across the world.
Because people don't start warehouses full of GPU's for a business.
I know mining is more accessible to home miners with GPU mining. But that doesn't change the fact that people are going to try to scale their operations. Does it matter if people have warehouses full of bitcoin asics or Graphics cards (bob who has one gpu hashing at ether can vote, but his vote still isn't as important as wing-wang-wongs warehouse)


Obviously there are technological and practical limits but I'm pretty sure that 1MB isn't the magic number. I like the concept of Bitcoin Unlimited, a decentralized method of arriving at a schelling point for maxblocksize. It doesn't just mean "Accepts Unlimited Block Size" if that's what you think/have been told.
I bet it isn't going to stay at 1mb forever.
The thing is no one knows what the magic number is.

Also why isn't there any support behind Bitcoin unlimted? It seems like a solid proposal, yet no miner is willing to get behind it. What's wrong with it?

You raise some good points above. I see ETH as a hedge to BTC's fear/capture around the issue of native growth, not as a turn key replacement.

As for Bitcoin Unlimited and mining support? Miners entered an agreement, with what was thought to be representatives from "blockstream" and "core".  To not run "incompatible" software for the "foreseeable" future. As luke-jr now thinks a HF is 5 years away... and no problem for 1 to 2 years... I see some conflict brewing.
sr. member
Activity: 574
Merit: 250
In XEM we trust
Can you trust 15 second confirmations?

Obviously less than one 10 min BTC confirmation, but it's nice to have a continuum vs waiting 30 min for an unlucky Bitcoin block.
But there has got to be a lot of issues caused by the 15 second block times. It just sounds so unstable for me. Also doesn't that cause a lot of bloat?
Didn't lighting network promise instant off chain confirmations? Wouldn't that make eths 15 sec block timer even more stupid?


Do people need contracts to be on the ledger?
How efficient are the "decentralized" contracts compared to "centralized" contracts offered by rootstock/conterparty?

I'm not sure, but if they want to, they'll pay the gas costs.
But how cost efficient is ethereums contract platform compared to its competitors? Wouldn't it be better for a business to run its contracts on the cheapest platform to keep costs to a minimum?


Which would be pretty damn bad. Something that isn't so easy with a couple hundred thousand GPU's scattered across the world.
Because people don't start warehouses full of GPU's for a business.
I know mining is more accessible to home miners with GPU mining. But that doesn't change the fact that people are going to try to scale their operations. Does it matter if people have warehouses full of bitcoin asics or Graphics cards (bob who has one gpu hashing at ether can vote, but his vote still isn't as important as wing-wang-wongs warehouse)


Obviously there are technological and practical limits but I'm pretty sure that 1MB isn't the magic number. I like the concept of Bitcoin Unlimited, a decentralized method of arriving at a schelling point for maxblocksize. It doesn't just mean "Accepts Unlimited Block Size" if that's what you think/have been told.
I bet it isn't going to stay at 1mb forever.
The thing is no one knows what the magic number is.

Also why isn't there any support behind Bitcoin unlimted? It seems like a solid proposal, yet no miner is willing to get behind it. What's wrong with it?
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1000
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1116
When's ETH make the switch to POS? There should be a moment of popcorn.

Edit: this was powerfully unhelpful.
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
What's the orphan rate on 15 second confirmation times?

There's a scheme called "uncle" blocks where orphaned blocks get compensated for their effort.

Can you trust 15 second confirmations?

Obviously less than one 10 min BTC confirmation, but it's nice to have a continuum vs waiting 30 min for an unlucky Bitcoin block.

Do people need contracts to be on the ledger?
How efficient are the "decentralized" contracts compared to "centralized" contracts offered by rootstock/conterparty?

I'm not sure, but if they want to, they'll pay the gas costs.

Can Vitalik leave as the CEO of ethereum or is he stuck with it until he kills it?

I think he'll probably stay pretty heavily involved, but like satoshi, the system doesn't stop if he does. I think that there would be a massive sell-off if he left, but that just means he is valued highly, and an asset to the future of the project.

3. How do we measure the level of centralization or decentralization in anything. If LN is going to be harmful for the scaling of bitcoin then people aren't going to use it.

I agree it's not a measurable variable, nor even really relevant when a small number of megawatt burning warehouses provide the "decentralized" security.

There's a reason Blockstream/Core wants to make on-chain transactions expensive and uncompetitive... they're going to be selling you the medicine for your "disease".

In their arrogance they discount/ignore the fact that there are competitors to the Bitcoin network that will be gleefully sweeping up the transactions and investment that won't fit in an artificially crippled Bitcoin.

Cheers  Smiley
The work that these warehouses do is the same everywhere. I don't think that these warehouses are the source of decentralization.

These warehouses create new blocks. Without them, Bitcoin doesn’t work. With control of them, Bitcoin can be effectively censored. The majority of them are located in China, under a government that has a fairly dim view of intellectual and financial freedom. You can stick your head in the sand about it, but that doesn’t make the issue go away. The only reason I raise it is because the Blockstream crowd likes to drape themselves in honorable cloak of decentralization, when the reality of the situation is in stark contrast.  

The fact that there aren't that many warehouses that mine bitcoin, tells us that the word of someone trying to destroy bitcoin would be out in hours. Also this would be only possible if the chinese government actually had any knowledge on how to do harm to bitcoin with all of that hashing power. I bet the most that they can do is shut the miners down.

Which would be pretty damn bad. Something that isn't so easy with a couple hundred thousand GPU's scattered across the world.

You're talking about crippling bitcoin by keeping the blocksize at 1mb? if so, isn't it good thing to keep spam out as long as we can? I mean bitcoin isn't even competitive with major institutions with its tiny fees.

Bitcoin isn’t competing with major financial institutions (yet). It’s competing with other cryptographic value transfer protocols. Keeping 1MB max is a competitive disadvantage, it also gives undue economic power to the devs with their hand on the maxblocksize lever. We now have a central bank of Bitcoin, and it’s called Core. Maxwell is the chairman of the board, not by election, but by social standing on IRC.

Also blockchain.info was developing thunder network, which will be competing with LN. So users have a choice of blueberry or orange flavored medicine for their problems.

This is all well and good. My only problem with payment channels is that they are having the playing field (intentionally) tilted in their favor. I support their competition with on-chain transactions in a free market scenario (miners choose their own block sizes and min fees).

You can't scale bitcoin by just increasing the blocksize. Wasn't bitcoin unlimited something similar to what you're proposing?

Obviously there are technological and practical limits but I'm pretty sure that 1MB isn't the magic number. I like the concept of Bitcoin Unlimited, a decentralized method of arriving at a schelling point for maxblocksize. It doesn't just mean "Accepts Unlimited Block Size" if that's what you think/have been told.
legendary
Activity: 3948
Merit: 11416
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
[edited out]

you're being to anal  about his use of "we". but wtv

I agree that the topic has become a kind of irrelevant side-tangent, and probably my only point is that such way of expressing yourself brings a false and unnecessary appeal to authority.  There are probably better ways to substantively make assertions, but I agree with you that it seems to be leading everyone including myself into irrelevant weeds.

the topic has died down a bit, but trust me it will surface again

It seems more relevant in threads that are created for such, but I suppose it comes up in this thread so much because there tends to be a bit of a larger audience and potential to spark some discussion.

I mean even you asserted in op that your intention was to attempt to keep this thread topically related to walls and price and those kinds of matters.. but whatever, we all recognize that this thread goes all over the place as well as the relevant wall and price watching discussions, which also can be part of it's excitement and proliferation.

this topic has been talk about at gr8 length since ... well ... forever!

I think you are exaggerating a bit when you assert "forever."

I don't know the exact history because I am sure it was discussed quite a bit longer than I realized it, but the topic really seemed to get a lot more attention after Gavin began pushing XT in about August or so.  During that time we got a spike up to $502 in early November.. and then it began to get a lot more vocalization in December and then February with Hearnia rage quit.. and then there seemed to also bring some removal of credibility to all of this with the connection of the Wright Satoshi claim and Gavin, which brought some discrediting to Gavin and the issues he was pushing.  So I think that the extensive discussions were only recent.




the release and soon to be adoption of segwit's trollishous "effective block size incress" has allow the community to sorta mark the scaling debate as "Resolved"

I think that it is more discrediting of Gavin and the community is kind of coming around to seeing that XT/Classic and some of the related proposals were really sabotage attempts rather than technically necessary. 

I doubt that seg wit and lightning network or thunder or any of these variations are going to resolve these kinds of issues, but we may come to realize that bitcoin is not broken, which seems to had been part of the assumptions of XT and classic and their attempts to change bitcoin governance.

but its really not and it never will be, and the block size limit MUST change,  its not optional, sooner or later as bitcoin grows and grows even with LN blocksize limit will need to be bumped up.

Maybe, we don't really know that.  I mean maybe you are smarter than me, but it seems like we gotta see how things play out with seg wit.  In essence, I think that there is quite a bit of consensus that some day the blockchain limit will need to increase, so no one is really precluding that from being considered, but I seem to have more issues with the presumption that there is something broken in bitcoin and there is some kind of emergency needs to make changes for the sake of change...   That kind of thing does not seem to be good for bitcoin to be able to easily change it... And, anyhow, a lot of the agreed to changes such as seg wit seem to be bringing a lot of increased capacity too... so shouldn't we be looking forward and positive rather than focusing on the negative that is not even an actual issue at the moment?
full member
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   Further, there are a few bips out there on the topic of hard fork and blocksize limit increase that have been drafted including XT/Classic, and they have largely been rejected or at least not yet passed and/or received any meaningful support...   The topic seems mostly dead or dying, except folks keep bringing it up in order to  continue to argue the point with the wrong folks, including what the fuck good does it do on this particular thread to talk about dead proposals and keep trying to bring them up and suggest that "we" want this and that.. blah blah blah?

Wow, BIP’s not in the roadmap of Gregory’s email to the mailing list… And they haven’t found support among Gregory, his employees, and his IRC buddies, imagine that.

If you recall, there was a meeting in Hong Kong to stop miners from running and activating Classic? Blockstream sent several team members there to give the illusion of authority? Remember?

Now, the rug has been pulled from under the miners at that meeting by luke-jr (a blockstream contractor):



After being made to look like fools… what do you suppose the miners are thinking right now?



Wake the hell up, friends.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
Who's "we"? you got a rock in your pocket. 

He can count me... so there's a we. (Though I suspect there are more of us.)

jbreher has my support aswell, when it comes to the scaling debate.

Yeah, jbreher can get a thousand of you folks or even 10 thousand chiming in this thread, but such voting doesn't really cause a meaningful "we" in the context of his earlier statement. 

You don't achieve consensus and start to talk about "we" want this or "we" want that on a topic by surveying the bitcoin talk threads.. and then saying that what you say represent some kind of meaningful "we."  it seems like a big waste of time to attempt to establish consensus in that kind of manner.

I'm sure adam could do a poll, but there are also other threads on that topic, too, no?

   Further, there are a few bips out there on the topic of hard fork and blocksize limit increase that have been drafted including XT/Classic, and they have largely been rejected or at least not yet passed and/or received any meaningful support...   The topic seems mostly dead or dying, except folks keep bringing it up in order to  continue to argue the point with the wrong folks, including what the fuck good does it do on this particular thread to talk about dead proposals and keep trying to bring them up and suggest that "we" want this and that.. blah blah blah?

you're being to anal  about his use of "we". but wtv

the topic has died down a bit, but trust me it will surface again
this topic has been talk about at gr8 length since ... well ... forever!
the release and soon to be adoption of segwit's trollishous "effective block size incress" has allow the community to sorta mark the scaling debate as "Resolved" but its really not and it never will be, and the block size limit MUST change,  its not optional, sooner or later as bitcoin grows and grows even with LN blocksize limit will need to be bumped up.






sr. member
Activity: 574
Merit: 250
In XEM we trust
2. Miners agree to any change Vitalik makes. Doesn't matter if it will end up breaking or making ethereum. Also rolling out huge changes to the protocol isn't something to be proud of. It shows the lack of immutability.

And currently... miners of BTC run whatever core puts out. Users run whatever is listed on bitcoin.org. If they run and activate segwit... we will see that Bitcoin is quite mutable. I guess you will be quite ashamed when the rewrite of Bitcoin that is segwit, activates.

However, when ethereum gets stuck in anything, they'll just ask their godess Vitalik. What if Vitalik unknowingly kills his project. At what point does "I didn't know it would do that" come into play?

While Vitalik is very important to the project, rightly so IMO, he isn’t a god. There are some very smart people involved with a lot of value on the line with the incentive to vet what he says and does. You are aware that there are 7 different client implementations in 7 different languages: Go, C++, Python, Javascript, Java, Rust and Ruby? That the inflation schedule by % outstanding is infinitely decaying?

Your concern applies equally to Bitcoin Core, at what point does “I didn’t know segwit would do that” come into play?

I agree that Ethereum seems willing to take on more risk than Bitcoin, that can be a good and/or bad thing. It’s important not to get too religious or tribal about this stuff… it’s software. To be honest… I wouldn’t have diversified at all into ETH this year if it wasn’t for the 1MB4EVA crowd. Network effect is a powerful thing, not an all-powerful thing. Granted it’s played out fantastically for me financially, but I would have rather seen BTC grow gracefully without centrally planned production quotas. I'm more philosophically and emotionally tied to BTC. The small blockists forced my hand here. After playing around with ETH I realized it had some very real advantages… 15 second confirmations, ASIC proof mining, natively more capable with contracts and scripting. Pretending that it doesn’t exist as a competitor is a fool’s errand.

What's the orphan rate on 15 second confirmation times?
Can you trust 15 second confirmations?
Do people need contracts to be on the ledger?
How efficient are the "decentralized" contracts compared to "centralized" contracts offered by rootstock/conterparty?
Can Vitalik leave as the CEO of ethereum or is he stuck with it until he kills it?

3. How do we measure the level of centralization or decentralization in anything. If LN is going to be harmful for the scaling of bitcoin then people aren't going to use it.

I agree it's not a measurable variable, nor even really relevant when a small number of megawatt burning warehouses provide the "decentralized" security.

There's a reason Blockstream/Core wants to make on-chain transactions expensive and uncompetitive... they're going to be selling you the medicine for your "disease".

In their arrogance they discount/ignore the fact that there are competitors to the Bitcoin network that will be gleefully sweeping up the transactions and investment that won't fit in an artificially crippled Bitcoin.

Cheers  Smiley
The work that these warehouses do is the same everywhere. I don't think that these warehouses are the source of decentralization.

These warehouses create new blocks. Without them, Bitcoin doesn’t work. With control of them, Bitcoin can be effectively censored. The majority of them are located in China, under a government that has a fairly dim view of intellectual and financial freedom. You can stick your head in the sand about it, but that doesn’t make the issue go away. The only reason I raise it is because the Blockstream crowd likes to drape themselves in honorable cloak of decentralization, when the reality of the situation is in stark contrast.  

The fact that there aren't that many warehouses that mine bitcoin, tells us that the word of someone trying to destroy bitcoin would be out in hours. Also this would be only possible if the chinese government actually had any knowledge on how to do harm to bitcoin with all of that hashing power. I bet the most that they can do is shut the miners down.

You're talking about crippling bitcoin by keeping the blocksize at 1mb? if so, isn't it good thing to keep spam out as long as we can? I mean bitcoin isn't even competitive with major institutions with its tiny fees.

Bitcoin isn’t competing with major financial institutions (yet). It’s competing with other cryptographic value transfer protocols. Keeping 1MB max is a competitive disadvantage, it also gives undue economic power to the devs with their hand on the maxblocksize lever. We now have a central bank of Bitcoin, and it’s called Core. Maxwell is the chairman of the board, not by election, but by social standing on IRC.

Also blockchain.info was developing thunder network, which will be competing with LN. So users have a choice of blueberry or orange flavored medicine for their problems.

This is all well and good. My only problem with payment channels is that they are having the playing field (intentionally) tilted in their favor. I support their competition with on-chain transactions in a free market scenario (miners choose their own block sizes and min fees).

You can't scale bitcoin by just increasing the blocksize. Wasn't bitcoin unlimited something similar to what you're proposing?
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