You mostly seem to be full of shit and talking your book, but since you gave some borderline non-trollish responses, I will respond in turn.
If you are disappointed, likely you set up your own false expectations or over invested or failed to have a strategy.
Probably, you are just saying that you are disappointed b/c you seem to be trolling us, yet disappointed seems to be an awkward choice of words.. mostly you can be disappointed about yourself, which would make the most sense for a decent context for the use of the word.
short term i am really bearish, mid term stagnating at best, long term the chances are 30:70 against a bitcoin rise...
your odds are stated weirdly... are you saying only 30% chance that bitcoin will rise from it's present price? Actually, the odds seem pretty decent that BTC prices will rise from its present price in the very near future.. less than a month is very likely.. but I am NOT really very certain about these kinds of predictions.. if we are talking about a year or even 5 years, then the odds are pretty fricken high that BTC will rise from its current price.. and there is a matter of quantity and a matter of stability and a matter of considering whether cashing out at any point is appropriate as or after such rise has occurred and people will come to varying conclusions regarding that.
If you lost money, likely it is due to your trading. You do NOT lose money until you cash out, and if you picked unrealistic time lines then maybe you just had a bad strategy or a bad plan.
If you want to tell people that you are a stupid-ass fuck up, then that is your choice. Sometimes it would be better to frame the topic a little more objectively and a little bit beyond your own narrow experiences (especially if you made some stupid ass mistakes b/c you were greedy or if you just merely had some bad luck). In other words, bitcoin is far from over,and if you believe that there are going to be further losses, you and your friends may well miss the train or being running after it.
there really has to be a rise soon or mass market adoption will fail, cause everyone will consider bitcoin as too dangerous or will forget about it
Bitcoin does NOT appear to be in such a perilous stage as you seem to be describing it to be. Yes, there may be additional decreases in price and price may possibly (though seemingly unlikely) sink into the $300s again, but even that would NOT be a death knell to bitcoin absent some further negative developments above and beyond downward price manipulation.
I would NOT force or attempt to persuade anyone.. If you want to be helpful to people, you merely need to provide them some information and allow them to come to their own conclusion(s) regarding how and whether to proceed.
i tried to be really polite sound reasonable (if you like it or not)...and still you managed to call me piece of shit? well...fuck you