Also i wonder you mention below or above market price. Is that the price the minute the auction closes?The price it was when the bids had to be in? The price on Stamp or somewhere else? Who decides what the market price actually is?
Could it be that noone really has a clue?
Notice that no one has even tried to give answers to your direct questions, except "blah blah blah
thinly traded market blah blah blah
market forces blah blah blah
waiting on auction results blah blah blah." It's because no one really has a fkn clue what is going on, and they just need some event horizon to point to and say definitively "That
there is the reason that this market is confused! I'm right, and everyone else is wrong!"
Here's a more plausible explanation of the past several weeks:
This silly immature Bitcoin market is still 80-90% dominated by pimply-faced teenagers and know-it-all nerdy 20-somethings, and all the teenagers/20-somethings went on summer break and forgot all about bitcoin. They stopped buying bitcoins, and only really care about buying more bitcoins when bitcoin is going up. If it's not going up or rallying, they really don't care to have their money locked up in anything. They also sold their bitcoins because a) bitcoin price is not doing anything right now, b) they can't day trade not enough volatility, and c) because they need their $100 for summer vacation to go party with. So the few whales left in the summer market are taking full advantage of the lack of buyers, and selling the market down lower. These whales will use any FUD they can drum up (including this stupid SR auction, the latest stupid FUD) to drive the price lower, and without the teenagers/20-somethings buying more coins during the summer months, the price will fall lower. Nothing will change until fall, when the teenagers/20-somethings come back from summer break and start buying bitcoins again.
Now do I really believe everything I just wrote? Maybe. Partially. Not totally.
But is it just as plausible an explanation as any of the other 1000 made up explanations for the market confusion presented on this sub forum? Without a doubt, yes.
And that there is the whole point: no one has a clue, and everyone is just talking out of their ass.