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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 28773. (Read 26623392 times)

legendary
Activity: 1844
Merit: 1338
XXXVII Fnord is toast without bread



Hmm, this makes perfect sense, people trying to hack into systems to steal something of only perceived value.
Do you re-read your comments before you hit the "post" button?
legendary
Activity: 1844
Merit: 1338
XXXVII Fnord is toast without bread
hero member
Activity: 700
Merit: 500


what's happening dear adam ? why is this going down ?

i have no idea

i only know why it goes up

going down makes no sense!

Yea this confuses me too. Any bad news recently? I thought the only major thing was Mtgox finding 200K BTC. That's considered bad news? :/
donator
Activity: 756
Merit: 500
-Bitcoin & Ripple-


what's happening dear adam ? why is this going down ?

i have no idea

i only know why it goes up

going down makes no sense!

maybe because bitcoin is only based on beliefs and no real  economy ?
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner


what's happening dear adam ? why is this going down ?

i have no idea

i only know why it goes up

going down makes no sense!
donator
Activity: 756
Merit: 500
-Bitcoin & Ripple-
legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1030
Sine secretum non libertas
DDOS on the exchanges again.  I'd like to hunt these people down and repay their kindness.

Actually, now that I have the mt.gox data, I might well be able to track these people down and remove the annoyance.
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 500

SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1030
Sine secretum non libertas
DDOS on the exchanges again.  I'd like to hunt these people down and repay their kindness.
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1000
World Class Cryptonaire
Chinese Slumber Method prediction for Saturday March 22

Prediction valid for: Saturday 2014-03-22, 19:00--19:59 UTC (not before, not after)
Huobi's predicted price: 3447 CNY.
Bitstamp's predicted price: 566 USD.



The red and green strokes are actual hourly prices (Huobi on the left, Bitstamp on the right).  The magenta square at right is the above prediction.  The blue square next to it is the last prediction (see below). The light blue-gray squares are the older predictions.   The blue dots are the Slumber Points, the mean prices ((L+H)/2) in the interval 19:00--19:59 UTC every day. On the Huobi plot, the size of the Albertosaurus under each dot indicates the night-time activity at Huobi. Specifically, the area of the reptile is proportional S = Vh/Vd, where Vh is Huobi's mean hourly volume in the three hour period 18:00--20:59 UTC (02:00am--04:59am China time), and Vd is Huobi's daily volume 00:00--23:59 UTC on the same date.  The largest Albertosauri correspond to the S = 0.010 or greater.   The size of each blue dot (on both plots) is proportional to its reliability weight, computed from Huobi's ratio S.  The brown lines on Huobi's plot are trends fitted a posteriori to the Slumber Points. The orange line is the trend assumed for the Huobi prediction above.

The trend assuemd now is the straight line A + B*(d-d0) where d is the day of the month, d0 = 19, A = 3745.85, B = -99.49, fitted by weighted least squares to the points Mar/19--21.  (It seems that there was indeed a break in the trend between Mar/18 and Mar/19, as suspected yesterday.)

The Bitstamp prediction, as usual, is the Huobi prediction divided by the currency conversion factor R, which today was 6.09 CNY/USD.

Checking the previous prediction

Prediction was posted on: Friday 2014-03-21, 00:02 UTC
Prediction was valid for: Friday 2014-03-21, 19:00--19:59 UTC (~19.5 hours later)

Huobi's predicted price: 3630 CNY.
Huobi's actual price (L+H)/2: 3547 CNY
Error: 83 CNY (~14 USD)

Bitstamp's predicted price: 591 USD.
Bitstamp's actual price (L+H)/2: 582 USD
Error: 9 USD

NOTE: By my count I still have 1 Note credit, so there is no Note today.



I predict $589 tomorrow.
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/lyth0s-bitcoin-price-trending-and-speculation-518871
legendary
Activity: 1680
Merit: 1045
Adam you are a motivator of men.
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1003
Chinese Slumber Method prediction for Saturday March 22

Prediction valid for: Saturday 2014-03-22, 19:00--19:59 UTC (not before, not after)
Huobi's predicted price: 3447 CNY.
Bitstamp's predicted price: 566 USD.



The red and green strokes are actual hourly prices (Huobi on the left, Bitstamp on the right).  The magenta square at right is the above prediction.  The blue square next to it is the last prediction (see below). The light blue-gray squares are the older predictions.   The blue dots are the Slumber Points, the mean prices ((L+H)/2) in the interval 19:00--19:59 UTC every day. On the Huobi plot, the size of the Albertosaurus under each dot indicates the night-time activity at Huobi. Specifically, the area of the reptile is proportional S = Vh/Vd, where Vh is Huobi's mean hourly volume in the three hour period 18:00--20:59 UTC (02:00am--04:59am China time), and Vd is Huobi's daily volume 00:00--23:59 UTC on the same date.  The largest Albertosauri correspond to the S = 0.010 or greater.   The size of each blue dot (on both plots) is proportional to its reliability weight, computed from Huobi's ratio S.  The brown lines on Huobi's plot are trends fitted a posteriori to the Slumber Points. The orange line is the trend assumed for the Huobi prediction above.

The trend assuemd now is the straight line A + B*(d-d0) where d is the day of the month, d0 = 19, A = 3745.85, B = -99.49, fitted by weighted least squares to the points Mar/19--21.  (It seems that there was indeed a break in the trend between Mar/18 and Mar/19, as suspected yesterday.)

The Bitstamp prediction, as usual, is the Huobi prediction divided by the currency conversion factor R, which today was 6.09 CNY/USD.

Checking the previous prediction

Prediction was posted on: Friday 2014-03-21, 00:02 UTC
Prediction was valid for: Friday 2014-03-21, 19:00--19:59 UTC (~19.5 hours later)

Huobi's predicted price: 3630 CNY.
Huobi's actual price (L+H)/2: 3547 CNY
Error: 83 CNY (~14 USD)

Bitstamp's predicted price: 591 USD.
Bitstamp's actual price (L+H)/2: 582 USD
Error: 9 USD

NOTE: By my count I still have 1 Note credit, so there is no Note today.
hero member
Activity: 812
Merit: 1000
market really likes this new move lately - fake mini-rally to the further dump
legendary
Activity: 1133
Merit: 1163
Imposition of ORder = Escalation of Chaos
how did the bitcoin get to the other side of the world in a few seconds?
...
idk it fucking magic!
but i'm pretty sure this has something to do with it.

CCMF

haha I love your style Adam  Cheesy
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000


but your friend would be freshly out of fiat as well.

You'd think but a large part of my friends wouldn't buy even if we went really low. Meanwhile I'd be loading up, locking them in the freezer and wait till I've got enough for my island  Cool


What would you be locking in the freezer?  Your friends?  Hopefully, they would be issued space heater and oxygen, too.

...but he made a pun based on the idea of cold storage requiring a Fridge/Freezer.

Lol yes the coins , not the friends, would be in the coldest of storage.


Meanwhile support has been building some what and $1.5 mill added to the total bids sum. I've made my position clear but I do wonder how much further down we realistically will go.

I agreed with the guy yesterday who thought we'd only see $550 with some good quality FUD. That's happened so where to now ? The fact that China dumped to around $40 lower than Stamp suggests the selling on Stamp is loosing its legs a bit. The last few days of creeping downwards has felt much more like a bottom than $400 flash.

legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
how did the bitcoin get to the other side of the world in a few seconds?
...
idk it fucking magic!
but i'm pretty sure this has something to do with it.

CCMF
full member
Activity: 862
Merit: 100
14-day RSI at rock bottom. Extremely strong buy signal.
hero member
Activity: 574
Merit: 500


COLD STORAGE
ALL THE FRIENDS!

Puts Adam in the freezer first. I'll just manage your coins till the big de thaw of 2020
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
bitcoin is worth more then cash.
thats a fact.

CCMF
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