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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 29235. (Read 26609691 times)

legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
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legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1007
You are correct, kkaspar.  We are all just guessing--including yourself.

If you think bitcoin will be successful, then at some point in the future the price will be vastly higher than today.  You've done well so far by waiting, but why not deploy 25%-50% of your allocated funds now?  If yesterday was the bottom, you can enjoy the ride up from here.  But if we hit your $200-$300 target, then you can purchase more.

People don't have to buy and sell all at once.

Before the situation with gox, I was more certain that bitcoin has about 1-2 years still left in it. Right now I am not sure, because gox can hurt the integrity of the entire market sysem in a way that there won't be anymore rising at all.
I think that the market is too fragile to even invest 25%-50%. It makes more sense to me to wait until there is some certainty and then act. I don't like to invest on pure hype alone.


Thanks for the honest reply, kkaspar.  It is difficult to buy at the "bottoms" because the feel in the air is always so negative [although I'm not saying that yesterday was necessarily the bottom].  The recent Gox news has shaken some people's beliefs in bitcoin, and the price is lower to reflect that. 

But imagine the feel in the air if Gox returns a fair % of customer deposits, well-funded and professionally-audited exchanges open up in NY and London, and the price starts to rise.  Eventually we would look back to the days of getting Goxxed with whimsy--a bump along an enchanted road to great things. 

That being said, if you believe that bitcoin only has 1-2 years left, then I think you are gambling no matter what you do. 
legendary
Activity: 1232
Merit: 1011
wow, still discussing about failgox?



I guess we will go sideways now with little or no volume, but I am afraid that we will retest the lows in the following days.
full member
Activity: 196
Merit: 100
Lets leave MTgox behind us and move towards the $5000,- per BTC price Max K has been telling us about.

Max Keiser has as much market prediction capabilities as my grandmother.
Yet, I think we might see 5000$ this year during the next major rally (with a bit of luck).
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1003
And BTW: despite of the questionable business model of the aforementioned fund, AFAIK the theft of aprox. 10k bitcoins owned by Bitcoinrain indeed happened

Would you mind telling us how you know that?

for a guy who is supposed to have a background in cryptography

? Where did you get that?

I know the basics of modern cryptography, like any computer scientist should, but would not call that "background".

The good news is you didn't necessarily miss the train, just wake up, stop trolling and open your eyes.

Er, are you advising me to invest in bitcoin now? 

Where do you think that train is going to? What do you expect the price to be 3 years from now?
hero member
Activity: 574
Merit: 500
he helped you get the facts straight.

You too know for a fact that that providential just-in-time theft was real?

I am not saying it's fact, he's sharing...used the acronym AFAIK, meaning he isn't saying it's going on the blockchain as fact.

Rampion gave more first hand knowledge then either of us have here so I believe, and for a fact in my particular case...so you can speculate on your own assumptions if you like.

So unless you got a post to point towards where some blockchain forensics show something different perhaps, how is this theft any different then inputs.io?

Or Bernie Madoff, I am confused as to what relevance a sociopaths possibly ripping off others that trusted them with money has to do with bitcoin.
full member
Activity: 140
Merit: 100
banned but not broken
You are correct, kkaspar.  We are all just guessing--including yourself.

If you think bitcoin will be successful, then at some point in the future the price will be vastly higher than today.  You've done well so far by waiting, but why not deploy 25%-50% of your allocated funds now?  If yesterday was the bottom, you can enjoy the ride up from here.  But if we hit your $200-$300 target, then you can purchase more.

People don't have to buy and sell all at once.

Before the situation with gox, I was more certain that bitcoin has about 1-2 years still left in it. Right now I am not sure, because gox can hurt the integrity of the entire market sysem in a way that there won't be anymore rising at all.
I think that the market is too fragile to even invest 25%-50%. It makes more sense to me to wait until there is some certainty and then act. I don't like to invest on pure hype alone.
legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1047
Lets leave MTgox behind us and move towards the $5000,- per BTC price Max K has been telling us about.

Smiley Slow and steady wins the race.

legendary
Activity: 1064
Merit: 1000

I don't know Bitcoinrain's owner personally - I happen to know the current owner of Mercado Bitcoin, and they are two separate persons. The Bitcoinrain owner SOLD Mercado Bitcoin to a third party, who is completely unrelated to the ponzi/fund. And BTW: despite of the questionable business model of the aforementioned fund, AFAIK the theft of aprox. 10k bitcoins owned by Bitcoinrain indeed happened and it was not an "inside job" as you implied.

You are misinformed.

Bitcoinrain coins were mixed with mercadobitcoin coins, this is a fact easily verified in the blockchain. The owner of both was the same person and publicly stated  that rain's coins were stolen from INSIDE the exchange mercadobitcoin, he put everything there in ONE account as a safety measure before going on a trip, then never cared to prove it was really hacked. He also lied to the press, more than once.

Here is the clown: https://bitcointalksearch.org/user/leandro-cesar-10275

Tell me how come the new owner does not know this?
sr. member
Activity: 280
Merit: 250
If it's not a major player or group of players in the tech/finance spaces buying out Gox, then it will not survive. Gox needs to reorganize, recapitalize and rebrand.  Someone like Peter Thiel of PayPal worth billions. Ironically, They would need to keep Coffee Boy on the payroll for quite a while to aid with the transition. That clown didn't give a shit when it was his own money on the line, so he'll probably be even worse as an employee.

No news is bad news here and I think it's safe to assume the worst. Nobody is coming to the rescue. That way the only surprises are pleasant ones. Really hope I'm wrong, but there are only a handful of people who could pull it off and I doubt any of them want to. MtGox may very well be liquidated and claimants will get pennies on the dollar.

Incorrect.  Absolutely, flat out incorrect.  Gox won't require a "big name" to survive.  It's survived this long with a world class jack off at the helm.  All of these exchange owners were no names until Bitcoin became popular.  We don't know exactly how much debt Gox owes, but it's likely that the debt could be paid off in a year or two from exchange fees.
sr. member
Activity: 308
Merit: 250
Lets leave MTgox behind us and move towards the $5000,- per BTC price Max K has been telling us about.
legendary
Activity: 1106
Merit: 1007
Hide your women
If it's not a major player or group of players in the tech/finance spaces buying out Gox, then it will not survive. Gox needs to reorganize, recapitalize and rebrand.  Someone like Peter Thiel of PayPal worth billions. Ironically, They would need to keep Coffee Boy on the payroll for quite a while to aid with the transition. That clown didn't give a shit when it was his own money on the line, so he'll probably be even worse as an employee.

No news is bad news here and I think it's safe to assume the worst. Nobody is coming to the rescue. That way the only surprises are pleasant ones. Really hope I'm wrong, but there are only a handful of people who could pull it off and I doubt any of them want to. MtGox may very well be liquidated and claimants will get pennies on the dollar.
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1003
he helped you get the facts straight.

You too know for a fact that that providential just-in-time theft was real?
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1018
Clearly you don't know when your comments look like 100% troll.. and in my opinion they we're and stand by Rampion's comment.
Your starting to look like a jack ass

All I know is that Mr. whatever himself wrote in a previous post that he knew Bitcoinrain's owner personally, and defended him.

What I don understand is why he still calls me "Mr. Stelfi".

I don't know Bitcoinrain's owner personally - I happen to know the current owner of Mercado Bitcoin, and they are two separate persons. The Bitcoinrain owner SOLD Mercado Bitcoin to a third party, who is completely unrelated to the ponzi/fund. And BTW: despite of the questionable business model of the aforementioned fund, AFAIK the theft of aprox. 10k bitcoins owned by Bitcoinrain indeed happened and it was not an "inside job" as you implied.

I explained the above just to point out how you are just mis-reading shit on forums and then making up assumptions to support your old-and-already-debunked arguments regarding how Bitcoin is a zero-sum scam, a ponzi, etc. That's not the kind of behaviour I would expect from an intellectual, that's the kind of behaviour I would expect from a troll.

Do you want to contribute in any meaningful way to this community? Then STFU a little while, read a learn and try to ADD to what has already been said instead of repeating the same old songs mixing them with misconceptions and mistakes originating in the little knowledge you have of both the technology and the ecosystem.

And honestly: for a guy who is supposed to have a background in cryptography you have been pretty out of this world to arrive SO LATE to Bitcoin. Wake up Mr.Stolfi, we are in 2014. The good news is you didn't necessarily miss the train, just wake up, stop trolling and open your eyes.
legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1047
New look (for now)
hero member
Activity: 574
Merit: 500
I checked his posts don't see anything like what your reporting.. as in him defending the owner of the scamming Latin American fund.

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.5313572

been going at that one for 2 days, and yet again he helped you get the facts straight.
full member
Activity: 378
Merit: 100
did anyone notice that they've changed the mtgox.com update a bit? Added "in the light of" to the begging.

If it is true that they are *trying* to negotiate a takeover of the company, it probably makes sense that they put up a statement that said even less than usual. The mere fact that something got posted on the site was a lot better than having a blank page. But being in negotiations, nothing of substance can really be said without risking damage to the process.
Yet Karpeles then goes blabbing to Reuters:

"We should have an official announcement ready soon-ish. We are currently at a turning point for the business. I can't tell much more for now as this also involves other parties."

...which almost certainly means, or is intended to imply, a buyer, real or not.

Karpeles has no clue about Due Diligence. Amongst other things.
hero member
Activity: 546
Merit: 500
hm
Bitstamp has so far the second highest volume in their histroy, over 100 000btc already. btc-e will get the 3. highest volume in their history...

Huoboi 350 000 so far. I don't trust their numbers...
member
Activity: 70
Merit: 10
But being in negotiations, nothing of substance can really be said without risking damage to the process.

Leaving Bitcoin Foundation, presenting a blank page to the customers, deleting all tweets... Do you think that this behavior will bring Karpeles into better position in such negotiations?


Rumors of acquisition and the upmove today...I'm very sceptical... Maybe it's the way Karpeles shows the community his finger with a bull trap one last time.
full member
Activity: 125
Merit: 100
Your money is going be to waiting a long time then. I doubt we retest $400 at all.

People here have been telling me this all the way down from 1000$.
What I have learned is that most people here have no clue what they're talking about. So, I think that I can manage without your advice.
Without the coming of new markets with proper volume, in new geographical locations, everything above 300 is too fragile for my taste. And I don't care if I miss out some temporal rises, because buying and selling those is not trading but gambling.

Yep, yep. Not trying to give you advice, just speculating.

Wouldn't the fact that sub-$300 prices would be a major break of the long term trend make you uneasy?

$400 is right on the 200 EMA on the week chart. A perfect place to bounce up off of just like we did in July 2013 at the bottom of the last bear market.
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