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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 29525. (Read 26608895 times)

legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 2282
Degenerate bull hatter & Bitcoin monotheist
I'll have to try that next time I am at a party.   Jorge is obviously hodling.  

Did he mention the bit where one guy throws the $50 bill in the air and someone in Slovenia catches it.
hero member
Activity: 560
Merit: 500
Jorge, by the look of your Twitter account you seem fairly obsessed with demonizing Bitcoin and diminishing those involved. Charming. You seem to be relishing the price drop. Is that part of your purely academic reasoning for being here?

"Trading or mining bitcoins produces zero real wealth. Those who made money with it, did so by swindling someone else."
"Anyone who has invested in Bitcoin more than he has got out of it is a sucker,who exchanged something of value for something of no value,"
"The only hope such a sucker has to make up for his loss is to find an even bugger sucker who will buy his coins at a hight enough price."
"As in any Ponzi scheme, the profit of the smart ones who leave the bitcoin system early is the loss of those who remain in it,"
"Bitcoin is now back at ~800 US$. P. T. Barnum was right it seems 8-). Or at least many people believe he his. 8-) 8-)"
"It is just to show that investing in Bitcoin is playing the lottery" (translated)
"it has speculators who try to convince unwary BTC to invest in promising huge profits ..." (translated)

In a couple tweets Stolfi equates Bitcoin with Telexfree, a Brazilian ponzi.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Telexfree
"É por isso que acho Bitcoin uam Telexfree. Porque dinheiro comum sumiria? Porque *bitcoin* seria única cripto usada?"

-------
Jorge's plan to make money (a satire on Jorge's view about the Bitcoin ponzi):
http://www.ic.unicamp.br/~stolfi/bitcoin/2014-02-17-HowToMakeSomeEasyMoney.html

"I ask ten people to form a circle, each holding a 50 dollar bill. I tell each person to pass his bill to the next guy at his right, slowly at first but gradually quickening.

I show them mathematically that, at any moment, the sum that each one had, plus everything that he received from his Left neighbor, is always more than what he gave to his Right neighbor; so that everybody will win in the end.

I give the example by taking the bill from my Left neighbor and giving it to my Right neighbor, "like this, see." Soon the eleven of us are smoothly passing the ten bills around.

A passer-by asks, "may I join too?" "Sure, get a 50 dollar bill and enter the circle." "If I contribute two bills, will I get twice the profit?" "Of course!" He calls two of his friends, who call others, and so on.

Soon we are twenty-one people circulating thirty bills. Everybody notices that the method is working: each one now must grab another bill from Left before he has a chance to give his bill to Right.

A few minutes later, I stop for a moment to pick up the pen that I dropped on the floor. While doing so I discreetly pocket the bill that Left just handed me, and I immediately resume the play. With the bills in motion, no one can count them and notice that now there are only twenty nine going around.

No, wait, that guy across the circle is angrily staring at my pocket, he noticed my trick! I am done! But, instead of blowing the whistle, the scoundrel winks at me, pauses for a moment to blow his nose, discreetly pockets the bill from Left too, and goes on playing. Phew!

But I'd better play safe. I tell everybody, "sorry folks, I must pick up my turtle at the gym, you carry on without me." And I walk out holding high "my" bill, that I just got from Left. That scoundrel does the same. The other nineteeen guys thank me for the great opportunity and keep on passing the remaining twenty-six bills around, already thinking on how they will spend their profit."
legendary
Activity: 3374
Merit: 4738
diamond-handed zealot
KFR
hero member
Activity: 560
Merit: 500
Per ardua ad luna
legendary
Activity: 3374
Merit: 4738
diamond-handed zealot
Andreas obliterates Mt. Gox management team:

http://letstalkbitcoin.com/e85-mtgox-and-malleability/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter#.UwQ7JV5sgfE

For those who want real info and not just the usual tripe found on this thread.

that page is such a mess of scrypts I cant even figure out which one I have to allow to make it play

I refuse to consume media that I have to spawn a one use VM to safely receive.
legendary
Activity: 4200
Merit: 4887
You're never too old to think young.
Hey how do we know that GOX price is the real price of Bitcoin and the other exchanges are actually the ones that are fucked up?

I'd like some of whatever you are smoking.  Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

Brisket?

Salmon!

Hot!
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1070
Andreas obliterates Mt. Gox management team:

http://letstalkbitcoin.com/e85-mtgox-and-malleability/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter#.UwQ7JV5sgfE

For those who want real info and not just the usual tripe found on this thread.

Windy, I agree with you mate.   Smiley

The problem is this information can be found hidden away on the Bitcoin Foundation site and has been available since the initial gox announcement....the problem is that rather than doing podcasts (and I'm sorry to keep going on about this) they need to be putting out Press Releases.   I can write at least two press releases in the time it takes to listen to this....nevermind record, edit and upload it.

You can rub yourself silly with 'new media' but the battle for perception is being fought in the 'traditional' news outlets: stop talking to each other and start engaging with the wider audience!

Sorry, got on a bit of rant there.

Its interesting. Andreas seems assured Gox is solvent. However, he thinks it will take them 2-4 weeks to get the malleability issue fixed and start withdraws again. Wow. 4 more weeks of this shit would suck.
sr. member
Activity: 560
Merit: 250
"Trading Platform of The Future!"
If those ATMs are successful they will spread like wildfire. Despite all this FUD, mass adoption is on its way.
Mass adoption is only if people actually use them. But if every person sees it and thinks "What is bitcoin? Oh it's this highly volatile speculative commodity with no protection. Why would I use that instead of a bank with fiat?" then it might not be mass adoption after all.
Bitcoin has a long way to go towards mass adoption. Right now we are seeing too much hype and pumping, with too little actual adoption.
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
If those ATMs are successful they will spread like wildfire. Despite all this FUD, mass adoption is on its way.
Mass adoption is only if people actually use them. But if every person sees it and thinks "What is bitcoin? Oh it's this highly volatile speculative commodity with no protection. Why would I use that instead of a bank with fiat?" then it might not be mass adoption after all.
hero member
Activity: 560
Merit: 500
Hey how do we know that GOX price is the real price of Bitcoin and the other exchanges are actually the ones that are fucked up?

I'd like some of whatever you are smoking.  Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

Brisket?
sr. member
Activity: 644
Merit: 250
If those ATMs are successful they will spread like wildfire. Despite all this FUD, mass adoption is on its way.
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1070
Andreas obliterates Mt. Gox management team:

http://letstalkbitcoin.com/e85-mtgox-and-malleability/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter#.UwQ7JV5sgfE

For those who want real info and not just the usual tripe found on this thread.

Yes, sir.

Listend to it all the way, and I agree.

For the onces doing yabba yabba: Listen from 51:80. K thanks.

It should be noted that Andreas does not think there is solvency problems and explains why.
And this is the man that has helped Gox coordinate fixing this issue.
hero member
Activity: 560
Merit: 500
Where have all the investigative journalists gone?

They morphed into bloggers with insufficient budget to investigate anything.
sr. member
Activity: 308
Merit: 250
Andreas obliterates Mt. Gox management team:

http://letstalkbitcoin.com/e85-mtgox-and-malleability/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter#.UwQ7JV5sgfE

For those who want real info and not just the usual tripe found on this thread.

Yes, sir.

Listend to it all the way, and I agree.

For the onces doing yabba yabba: Listen from 51:80. K thanks.
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1070
Andreas obliterates Mt. Gox management team:

http://letstalkbitcoin.com/e85-mtgox-and-malleability/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter#.UwQ7JV5sgfE

For those who want real info and not just the usual tripe found on this thread.
full member
Activity: 192
Merit: 100

I would consider legitimate (i.e. not "fake") any transaction between competing people or organizations, whether it is done manually or with the help of scripts and robots.  Any such transaction contributes to define the true "market price" of the item.   To a first approximation, it should not matter if the same coins are being traded back and forth many times, or how many distinct people are trading, as long as each transaction happens because both sides believe that the price is good.  To me a transaction is "fake" only if the buyer and seller are the same, or are colluding outside the market place.

Methinks that the volume of legitimate transactions is a good measure of the importance of a market.


Although I agree with your basic premise behind a legitimate transaction, I think that how many people trade the system and how many actual coins make-up the market hold important implications for true value approximation - first approximations are too general for me. This information becomes even more important if you really dissect the concept of a "fake" transaction.

Lax regulation, back-room deals for large holders, and a highly interconnected group of large stakeholders (listen to Andreas towards the middle of the talk when he speaks of how the various "good" actors reacted to the Mt. Gox press release http://letstalkbitcoin.com/e85-mtgox-and-malleability/#.UwQ8K4V_e_y) create a perfect breeding ground for acts like self-trading and collusion. Houbi is likely rife with less than legitimate transactions if we use the strict definition of "fake" as per your text. Unfortunately, since these forms of collusion often are hard to discern from volume and technical analysis even in good market conditions, an unlimited algo assisted trade environment does not make the task any easier. I know I kind of went on a rant there, but the point is to acknowledge the grey nature of the environment and see that certain technical metrics are less effective at understanding the reality of the stakeholders within this market.


The higher the volume, the higher the liquidity and the smaller is the spread, therefore the price is pinned down more accurately.  At BTC-e, forexample, the price often is bouncing rapidly up and down by a few dollars, so that the 1-minute plot look like a broad belt.  You hardly see that at Huobi; the plot looks more like a line than a belt.

Usually, the higher the volume, the smaller is the effect on the price of buying or selling a fixed amount of coins.  Therefore, arbitrage trading between a high-volume market and a low-volume market generally has little effect on the price of the former, instead copies the price to the latter.  For example, I would guess that the sharp steps one can see in the 1-minute plots of BTC-China and Bitstamp (but not on Huobi's), at periods when there seems to be little real activity, are arbitrage transactions aligning their prices with the global market.

For all I have seen in the past 2-3 months, I believe that most of Huobi's volume is legitimate in this sense.  At the other exchanges, I am not so sure; but even if it is all legitimate, the volume at non-Chinese exchanges is only 1/3 to 1/4 of the volume at Huobi and OKCoin.   Whatever one may think of the "quality" or "meaningfulness" of their trade, it counts the same for the definition of BTC's price.


Ditto.


Also I do not think that there is any government interference with the bitcoin trading inside the exchanges.  My understanding of the news is that the PBOC, having blocked the use of BTC as a currency in commerce, and prohibited banks from playing with it, now sees bitcoin trading within the exchanges as a kind of gambling, and therefore does not care about it at all.


Agreed, the government does not have direct influence inside the exchange per say, but they are still indirectly in control of how the future of trading bitcoin unfolds via regulation and other tools of submission.


Note that I said "bitcoin trading", not "bitcoin".   Bitcoin development and other activities (such as promoting its commercial use) seem to be mostly "non-Chinese things".   Given the restrictions on use of BTC in China, I do not expect that there will be any significant development or advocacy there, except perhaps in mining technology.


True, I should have read that sentence more carefully - BTC trading is but a part (a very large one) of the entire system and are not the same thing.
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1028
Duelbits.com
Sorry for OT guise, but just a quick question...

Can you buy fiat with BTC at these new ATMs? I cannot tell you how useful this would be for me.

You can with those Lamassu ATM's I think.

Not yet. The Lamassu only sells bitcoins. Robocoin allows 2-way conversion.

might be, one of those two does it.
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250


Wow!

This number is increasing at about 10K/day now. Was just 38K when I looked at it this morning.

hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
Here's something interesting. Gox appears to breaking some type of trend. That's if you use linear scale. But if you use logarithmic scale, then it is not. I'm not sure which one to use.

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