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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 30607. (Read 26710890 times)

full member
Activity: 125
Merit: 100
Less than 5 coin traded on stamp in the last 20 minutes! About the same on Gox. This sucks... I'm sitting on a quick short trade.
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1030
Sine secretum non libertas

After reading through that list earlier of all the shady moves that can be pulled by manipulators, isn't it precisely the regulations that make all that shit possible?

The regulating body makes a set of rules, then decides how and when to enforce those rules.  


Someone (wisely) said:  All human systems will be gamed.

I am not often robbed, but when I am, I prefer for it not to be under color of law.
legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1030
Sine secretum non libertas
715 becomes important support now for Gox. Can it hold until January the 6th. Will be interesting to see.

*shake*
outlook not so good
sr. member
Activity: 662
Merit: 250
How much of a hike?

The back n' forth here covers it pretty well:
http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1tx6u0/in_us_preserve_2013_bitcoin_gains_before_2014/

I'm positive that it is in fact a year late and was either ignorance, or an attempt at FUD.  As I believe that is the case, forgive me for even mentioning it in the first place.
member
Activity: 112
Merit: 10
Regarding US capital gains changes, I doubt many holders are looking to trade in dramatic fashion tomorrow to avoid the 2014 hike, but I'm not Nostradamus.

How much of a hike?
sr. member
Activity: 662
Merit: 250
Regarding US capital gains changes, I doubt many hodlers are looking to trade in dramatic fashion tomorrow to avoid the 2014 hike, but I'm not Nostradamus.

edit: spelling error - holders to hodlers
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1070
715 becomes important support now for Gox. Can it hold until January the 6th. Will be interesting to see.
legendary
Activity: 1204
Merit: 1002
Gresham's Lawyer
ok the china deadline is tomorrow

why is the market not reacting?

Tomorrow? It was the Chinese New Year, not? So, the deadline should be the 30.1.14.
Yup, it was Chinese new year, so we still have another month to go.
oh the deadline it on the 30th of next month.

shit

i thought it was tomorrow

There is a different deadline tomorrow:  Swiss Banking and USA Foreign Account Disclosure Compliance and taxation.
Swiss banks have a deadline of tomorrow to sign up for compliance.  Some are doing so:
http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/12/27/us-tax-switzerland-lombardodier-idUSBRE9BQ03T20131227

Everyone I know pays their taxes, and usually end up overpaying to be conservative...  But I imagine there might be some folks in the USA that have used Swiss accounts to hide money.  They might want to do something else with that money.

legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1000
@theshmadz
 It [fraud] also requires the deception to be practiced "in order to secure unfair or unlawful gain."  This second half is one thing that makes it different from a "hoax."
Of course this merely pushes the question back a square:  What is unfair?

Yes, exactly!  The Wikipedia definition requires the arbitror to not only conclude that the deception was deliberate, but that the gain that resulted from it was "unfair."  So we are back a square, indeed.  If a whale places a 3000 BTC ask wall to scare the small fish into selling, does that qualify as "deception"?  A larger whale could eat his wall in a single bite.  And even if one concludes that this is deliberate deception, is this also "unfair"?  The market participants are playing by the same rules, some of them just happen to hold more capital.  Lastly, I'm not even convinced that profitable manipulation is even possible over the long term. 

One reason that I'm excited about bitcoin and the power of the blockchain is that I believe it will allow us to write more exact contracts and motivate de-ambiguity or our legal system.  



After reading through that list earlier of all the shady moves that can be pulled by manipulators, isn't it precisely the regulations that make all that shit possible?

The regulating body makes a set of rules, then decides how and when to enforce those rules.  

Manipulation is a time-honoured tradition of the legacy financial system, and the regulators seem quite accustomed to looking the other way.

I say gloves off, anything goes, let bitcoin regulate itself.
hero member
Activity: 700
Merit: 500
 It [fraud] also requires the deception to be practiced "in order to secure unfair or unlawful gain."  This second half is one thing that makes it different from a "hoax."
Of course this merely pushes the question back a square:  What is unfair?

Yes, exactly!  The Wikipedia definition requires the arbitror to not only conclude that the deception was deliberate, but that the gain that resulted from it was "unfair."  So we are back a square, indeed.  If a whale places a 3000 BTC ask wall to scare the small fish into selling, does that qualify as "deception"?  A larger whale could eat his wall in a single bite.  And even if one concludes that this is deliberate deception, is this also "unfair"?  The market participants are playing by the same rules, some of them just happen to hold more capital.  Lastly, I'm not even convinced that profitable manipulation is even possible over the long term. 

One reason that I'm excited about bitcoin and the power of the blockchain is that I believe it will allow us to write more exact contracts and motivate de-ambiguity or our legal system.  

I think this is happening right now. 1100 BTC volume in the last hour and we barely moved.
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1007
 It [fraud] also requires the deception to be practiced "in order to secure unfair or unlawful gain."  This second half is one thing that makes it different from a "hoax."
Of course this merely pushes the question back a square:  What is unfair?

Yes, exactly!  The Wikipedia definition requires the arbitror to not only conclude that the deception was deliberate, but that the gain that resulted from it was "unfair."  So we are back a square, indeed.  If a whale places a 3000 BTC ask wall to scare the small fish into selling, does that qualify as "deception"?  A larger whale could eat his wall in a single bite.  And even if one concludes that this is deliberate deception, is this also "unfair"?  The market participants are playing by the same rules, some of them just happen to hold more capital.  Lastly, I'm not even convinced that profitable manipulation is even possible over the long term. 

One reason that I'm excited about bitcoin and the power of the blockchain is that I believe it will allow us to write more exact contracts and motivate de-ambiguity or our legal system.  
hero member
Activity: 700
Merit: 500
Look at this guy. He was somehow able to turn an entire 1000 red candle into green.  Smiley
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
Before July, it was very normal for individuals to have 10,000 or so coins.

Some people are under the impression that in 4 months there's been a complete paradigm shift, all the coins have been distributed, and nobody owns coins like that anymore. I think of it more like a well-played hand.
hero member
Activity: 700
Merit: 500
600 or so coins dumped. Small potatoes.  Tongue

Why does this feel like 1 individual doing this?  Undecided
hero member
Activity: 826
Merit: 508
600 or so coins dumped. Small potatoes.  Tongue
hero member
Activity: 700
Merit: 500
Mtgox 500 support wall at $781 was obliterated instantly.
legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1030
Sine secretum non libertas
 It [fraud] also requires the deception to be practiced "in order to secure unfair or unlawful gain."  This second half is one thing that makes it different from a "hoax."

Of course this merely pushes the question back a square:  What is unfair?
legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1006
100 satoshis -> ISO code
monetary economics is the only sphere of human activity immune to technological improvement.

That's a bold statement. Never really thought about it that way, but I'm not so sure I agree..

Where is it coming from? Could you explain it?

I would, intuitively and with not enough knowledge, say that technological improvement should somehow positively affect monetary economics. Why not?


Ah. You misread my post. I am summarizing Krugman's latest view - and disagree with it.
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