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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 30661. (Read 26713597 times)

donator
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1036
disclaimer: i sold a lot

Sold a little (BTC400) during the last 3 days (so far).

and you keep harping on that one without end.

Even if that were the case, it does not compel you to post solely to state the fact. It is called obsession, and is unfitting for longer time members such as you, and makes everyone here think you are gay.
legendary
Activity: 854
Merit: 1000
When decising whether to sell or not - just calculate the probabilities. For example, if you give a probability for crash 20 % - then simply sell 20 % of BTC-holdings.
If you give a probability of 50 % for crash, then sell 50 % of your stash and by this way actively manage your BTC-holdings.
When you give a probability for rise 20 %, then buy with 20 % of your disposal cash.

By this way, you will be richer than the average BTC-holder. Risto is trading because he is beating the markets. This is why I rather follow him than anyone of you who just advice "hold hold hold no matter if it crashes tomorrow - just hold like an idiot".

No, if it crashes tomorrow with 100 % - I will sell 100 % of them right now - give me even one reason why I shouldn't do this?
I gave 90 % probability for drop and sold 90 % of my BTC-holdings and I will rebuy them with discounted prices. If I am not able to do that, I am still happy with the dollars that I made with BitCoins. Then I will leave the stage with a handful of cash and only 10 % on the initial BTC-holdings.

In any case, buying high and selling low is not advisable!

In my socialist country, tax deduction for losses actually outweigh profit on gains after tax. Therefore I always buy high and sell low.

Oooopsie!!! You got me there!!  Cheesy Wink
Which country might that be?

Norway. And I might have been exaggerating just a tiny bit  Wink 

 Cheesy Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1007
[...]

This is to refute oda.krell who does not base his predictions of "trends" on anything, I at least try. Nobody has shown any proof on any trend other than this, except lines drawn on a whim. I don't understand much, but there is a great difference between founded and unfounded prediction.

It is very easy to buy at your desired level btw. It is called "limit order".


Heeey, look what happens when you leave the forum for an hour or two... the clown brigade comes to town.

a) If you're interested in my methods, go read masterluc's thread. I post some more detail there. Sometimes sloppy, but at least you'd learn what I work with -- short term averages mainly, some volume and order book analysis, bit of EW theory though I remain skeptical about that one.

b) Your single biggest problem: false pride. Example: earlier this year, some simplistic back-of-the-napkin calculation convinced you we would see 300k USD coins within a year. You kept harping on about that magical number until the forum ridicule for this prediction even got through to you.

Now recently it looks like you learned the basic of linear regression. Good for you, everyone should learn a bit of math. But what do you do with that new tool? You set a new (more bearish) goal and you keep harping on that one without end.

Would you possess a minimum of capacity to self reflect, you would notice that a linear regression analysis of the entire price history is a useful tool maybe, but not somehow the magical wand or crystal ball to answer all your BTC trading questions.


Short version: I don't mind your analysis. I do mind the unjustified arrogance with which you present it usually.

full member
Activity: 168
Merit: 100
When decising whether to sell or not - just calculate the probabilities. For example, if you give a probability for crash 20 % - then simply sell 20 % of BTC-holdings.
If you give a probability of 50 % for crash, then sell 50 % of your stash and by this way actively manage your BTC-holdings.
When you give a probability for rise 20 %, then buy with 20 % of your disposal cash.

By this way, you will be richer than the average BTC-holder. Risto is trading because he is beating the markets. This is why I rather follow him than anyone of you who just advice "hold hold hold no matter if it crashes tomorrow - just hold like an idiot".

No, if it crashes tomorrow with 100 % - I will sell 100 % of them right now - give me even one reason why I shouldn't do this?
I gave 90 % probability for drop and sold 90 % of my BTC-holdings and I will rebuy them with discounted prices. If I am not able to do that, I am still happy with the dollars that I made with BitCoins. Then I will leave the stage with a handful of cash and only 10 % on the initial BTC-holdings.

In any case, buying high and selling low is not advisable!

+1

These coins I bought some of them sub 100 levels, the vast majority has been bought around 400-600 dollars. Now I am reading Rpietila's analysis and I have to admit I have "bought them". He is bearish and he has been usually right so it is probably smart to follow him.
I think even this price it is excellent time to sell - it is still far more than 300-400 USD.  Wink
full member
Activity: 294
Merit: 100
When decising whether to sell or not - just calculate the probabilities. For example, if you give a probability for crash 20 % - then simply sell 20 % of BTC-holdings.
If you give a probability of 50 % for crash, then sell 50 % of your stash and by this way actively manage your BTC-holdings.
When you give a probability for rise 20 %, then buy with 20 % of your disposal cash.

By this way, you will be richer than the average BTC-holder. Risto is trading because he is beating the markets. This is why I rather follow him than anyone of you who just advice "hold hold hold no matter if it crashes tomorrow - just hold like an idiot".

No, if it crashes tomorrow with 100 % - I will sell 100 % of them right now - give me even one reason why I shouldn't do this?
I gave 90 % probability for drop and sold 90 % of my BTC-holdings and I will rebuy them with discounted prices. If I am not able to do that, I am still happy with the dollars that I made with BitCoins. Then I will leave the stage with a handful of cash and only 10 % on the initial BTC-holdings.

In any case, buying high and selling low is not advisable!

In my socialist country, tax deduction for losses actually outweigh profit on gains after tax. Therefore I always buy high and sell low.

Oooopsie!!! You got me there!!  Cheesy Wink
Which country might that be?

Norway. And I might have been exaggerating just a tiny bit  Wink 
legendary
Activity: 854
Merit: 1000
When decising whether to sell or not - just calculate the probabilities. For example, if you give a probability for crash 20 % - then simply sell 20 % of BTC-holdings.
If you give a probability of 50 % for crash, then sell 50 % of your stash and by this way actively manage your BTC-holdings.
When you give a probability for rise 20 %, then buy with 20 % of your disposal cash.

By this way, you will be richer than the average BTC-holder. Risto is trading because he is beating the markets. This is why I rather follow him than anyone of you who just advice "hold hold hold no matter if it crashes tomorrow - just hold like an idiot".

No, if it crashes tomorrow with 100 % - I will sell 100 % of them right now - give me even one reason why I shouldn't do this?
I gave 90 % probability for drop and sold 90 % of my BTC-holdings and I will rebuy them with discounted prices. If I am not able to do that, I am still happy with the dollars that I made with BitCoins. Then I will leave the stage with a handful of cash and only 10 % on the initial BTC-holdings.

In any case, buying high and selling low is not advisable!

In my socialist country, tax deduction for losses actually outweigh profit on gains after tax. Therefore I always buy high and sell low.

Oooopsie!!! You got me there!!  Cheesy Wink
Which country might that be?
full member
Activity: 294
Merit: 100
When decising whether to sell or not - just calculate the probabilities. For example, if you give a probability for crash 20 % - then simply sell 20 % of BTC-holdings.
If you give a probability of 50 % for crash, then sell 50 % of your stash and by this way actively manage your BTC-holdings.
When you give a probability for rise 20 %, then buy with 20 % of your disposal cash.

By this way, you will be richer than the average BTC-holder. Risto is trading because he is beating the markets. This is why I rather follow him than anyone of you who just advice "hold hold hold no matter if it crashes tomorrow - just hold like an idiot".

No, if it crashes tomorrow with 100 % - I will sell 100 % of them right now - give me even one reason why I shouldn't do this?
I gave 90 % probability for drop and sold 90 % of my BTC-holdings and I will rebuy them with discounted prices. If I am not able to do that, I am still happy with the dollars that I made with BitCoins. Then I will leave the stage with a handful of cash and only 10 % on the initial BTC-holdings.

In any case, buying high and selling low is not advisable!

In my socialist country, tax deduction for losses actually outweigh profit on gains after tax. Therefore I always buy high and sell low.
legendary
Activity: 854
Merit: 1000
700 bid wall less than 3k now. Have a feeling we will see 600's on gox tonight.

Yeah its such a crash. On a Saturday. When has this happened before?

Wake me up when we are below 550 on Gox today.

Why U so passive agressive? Hodling too much gas?

No, he's right, such a drop in a weekend!! What to do, what to do!
legendary
Activity: 854
Merit: 1000
When decising whether to sell or not - just calculate the probabilities. For example, if you give a probability for crash 20 % - then simply sell 20 % of BTC-holdings.
If you give a probability of 50 % for crash, then sell 50 % of your stash and by this way actively manage your BTC-holdings.
When you give a probability for rise 20 %, then buy with 20 % of your disposal cash.

By this way, you will be richer than the average BTC-holder. Risto is trading because he is beating the markets. This is why I rather follow him than anyone of you who just advice "hold hold hold no matter if it crashes tomorrow - just hold like an idiot".

No, if it crashes tomorrow with 100 % - I will sell 100 % of them right now - give me even one reason why I shouldn't do this?
I gave 90 % probability for drop and sold 90 % of my BTC-holdings and I will rebuy them with discounted prices. If I am not able to do that, I am still happy with the dollars that I made with BitCoins. Then I will leave the stage with a handful of cash and only 10 % on the initial BTC-holdings.

In any case, buying high and selling low is not advisable!
full member
Activity: 294
Merit: 100
700 bid wall less than 3k now. Have a feeling we will see 600's on gox tonight.

Yeah its such a crash. On a Saturday. When has this happened before?

Wake me up when we are below 550 on Gox today.

Why U so passive agressive? Hodling too much gas?
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1070
700 bid wall less than 3k now. Have a feeling we will see 600's on gox tonight.

Yeah its such a crash. On a Saturday. When has this happened before?

Wake me up when we are below 550 on Gox today.
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100


bid/ask is going down

this bounce has now volume

drop had major volume

important support was broken ($700)

i would say that it's not looking good for hodlers

disclaimer: i sold a lot

Good grief.

Drops almost ALWAYS have more volume. Duh.

I tell you what, a few months ago this board was much more the place for healthy discussion. Now its just a place for people to posts agendas based on their current positions.

Everyone posters that they know what will happen next. No one does. We are at about $750 because that is the general overall consensus of value.

Pretty freaking simple.

sure, my post is just a guess and there's a disclaimer if you didn't notice
full member
Activity: 294
Merit: 100
700 bid wall less than 3k now. Have a feeling we will see 600's on gox tonight.
full member
Activity: 168
Merit: 100
When decising whether to sell or not - just calculate the probabilities. For example, if you give a probability for crash 20 % - then simply sell 20 % of BTC-holdings.
If you give a probability of 50 % for crash, then sell 50 % of your stash and by this way actively manage your BTC-holdings.
When you give a probability for rise 20 %, then buy with 20 % of your disposal cash.

By this way, you will be richer than the average BTC-holder. Risto is trading because he is beating the markets. This is why I rather follow him than anyone of you who just advice "hold hold hold no matter if it crashes tomorrow - just hold like an idiot".

No, if it crashes tomorrow with 100 % - I will sell 100 % of them right now - give me even one reason why I shouldn't do this?
I gave 90 % probability for drop and sold 90 % of my BTC-holdings and I will rebuy them with discounted prices. If I am not able to do that, I am still happy with the dollars that I made with BitCoins. Then I will leave the stage with a handful of cash and only 10 % on the initial BTC-holdings.
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1070


bid/ask is going down

this bounce has now volume

drop had major volume

important support was broken ($700)

i would say that it's not looking good for hodlers

disclaimer: i sold a lot

Good grief.

Drops almost ALWAYS have more volume. Duh.

I tell you what, a few months ago this board was much more the place for healthy discussion. Now its just a place for people to posts agendas based on their current positions.

Everyone posters that they know what will happen next. No one does. We are at about $750 because that is the general overall consensus of value.

Pretty freaking simple.
full member
Activity: 202
Merit: 100
Nah ... looks more like the end of a bull trap to me, and a pretty predictable one at that

New lows in the  next 2 weeks IMO and months before we see $1000 again

Maybe then people will stop using this childish 'HODLING' word after they get a good SPANKING


Nah - even if I get a good SPNAKING I'll still HODL  Smiley
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 854
Merit: 1000



i would say that it's not looking good for hodlers



It always looks good for hodlers!!  Grin
legendary
Activity: 854
Merit: 1000
unlimited money - just sell high and buy low - why isn't everyone a trader?

Eh, good question LOL!!!  Cheesy

Thumbs up!
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100


bid/ask is going down

this bounce has now volume

drop had major volume

important support was broken ($700)

i would say that it's not looking good for hodlers

disclaimer: i sold a lot
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