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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 3578. (Read 26728525 times)

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Cruz says a few things that I find debatable; but he made some incisive points.

Near the end of his speech, Cruz warned Bitcoiners to remember Napster.  Although his analogy is imprecise due to Bitcoin’s greater decentralization, it is nonetheless a good and insightful analogy.  Cruz is alarmed, as I am, about Bitcoiners’ naïveté and complacency.

Please stop nitpicking and overextending analogies, as an excuse for continued naïveté and complacency.

You can't put Napster and Bitcoin in the same boat! One was facilitation the distribution of illegal warez and mp3z...

That's like saying to ebay, ohh watch out!.. you remember Silk Road right?... Baffled to think there is some kind of analogical correlation between the two!

Bitcoin facilitates terrorist financing, money laundering, drug dealing (you remember Silk Road, right?), killing cute puppies and kittens, evasion of virtuous sanctions by evil Russians, tax evasion, unregulated financial activity, making the FATF have a collective heart attack, evading KYC (gasp! horrors!), disrupting banks’ business models and making banks irrelevant (not allowed!), and evading the U.S. Federal Reserve’s divinely ordained absolute right to steal the value of people’s savings with inflation (definitely not allowed!)—and it literally destroys the Earth the universe with its insanely high energy usage.

I’d say that’s a fair sight worse than sharing some copyrighted songs.



A country of 1.4B+ bans bitcoin every a few years! What's another country of 300million going do...

If you think that the scenarios are in any way comparable, or that it’s only a matter of headcount, I am not sure how even to begin to explain this.

I am sick and tired of the stupid "Terrorist Financing/Money Laundering, illegal this illegal that rhetoric!!... Show me any other currency in the world that isn't being used for illegal purposes! Do we ban every other currency as well?

I am sure somewhere in this world, cattle is being traded for opium.. someone is bartering food for other products/services.. avoiding some taxation system.. do we ban that as well?

And that above illustrates my point... nothing to do with head count but rather country of influence... country with massive geopolitical and economical influence has banned bitcoin so many times, yet Bitcoin is not dead, far from it!

I love to see the reaction on El Chapo's successor face when he checks his bitstamp account and it down 40% or -$100B, I mean these cartels are laundering their money via bitcoin right?...
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Bounty campaign manager....
Ukraine's explosive allegations against Turkey...

Ukraine has been accusing Russia for stealing grain produced in its territory and shipping it away. They allege that several countries are buying these stolen grains. They said that Turkey is also on the list of those countries.

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Take profit in BTC. Account PnL in BTC. BTC=money.
I don't have a grudge against gold. I own some, as well as silver. I have a grudge against the criminal COMEX rigging of PMs. Gold should easily be at > $5K/oz. by now, Silver at > $200/oz.

Agreed, and due apologies for misunderstanding you.  But all markets are massively manipulated:  Gold, Bitcoin, everything else...  It is in the nature of free markets that markets do not price according to a rational appraisal of value, all theories to the contrary notwithstanding.  For in a free market, parties with terrifically high capital can be expected to manipulate the market.

Of course, this is nothing compared to the two-decade extreme “bear market” suppression of gold from the 1980s to 2000s.  I believe that that actually occurred for political motives that few people understand, and that I will not discuss here.  (Off-topic/inviting political flamewars not relevant to Bitcoin... something to do with gold-producing countries under international sanctions.)

I think that when Bitcoin is that heavily manipulated, it will signal in a sad way that Bitcoin has matured into a serious, powerful force in international finance.  Alas, I have a small suspicion that that may be starting now—and we are not yet ready for it.  We clearly no longer have the robustness reflected in that “Slaying of the Bearwhale” video I have been obsessively re-watching to comfort myself these past few months (for the newbies: 30k BTC dump under market price was fully absorbed in less than 4 minutes, then the price sprang right back to what it had been—as if nobody even noticed that someone had just dumped 30k BTC).  IMO, we need much more real-world adoption of Bitcoin as money to sustain the kind of pressure that the highly-capitalized market manipulators can bring to bear.

Bitcoin isn’t keeping up with real inflation, either.  $30k range in January 2022 was a drastic YOY loss compared to $30k range in January 2021, for starters.

I can cherry pick timeframes too.

Pick any timeframe you want.  My overarching point still applies:  Bitcoiners are misled just like everyone else, due to a fixation on pricing in dollars, PnL in dollars, etc.*  Inflation does not only steal away value:  It also corrupts pricing and distorts markets.

We are arguably under 2017 ATH right now, adjusting for real inflation.  Forget about 200 WMA.


* Pricing, measures of value, and how dollarization corrupts everything.  In my internal thought process, I have fully broken out of the dollarized mindset.  It feels natural to me to price in BTC, to price in XAU—to price in the currencies that I think have long-term value, not shitcoins like USD, EUR, et al.  And I strictly treat BTC exchange as forex, absolutely nothing like a stock!  I identify BTC as my native currency, and fiat as foreign exchange.  But most people are stuck measuring value in dollars; and worse, most people think of Bitcoin as a sort of a quasi-stock.  These is a major points that deserves little essays.  If I do that here, it will need to wait until after I finish a reply to Jay...
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Over 200K BTC now stored in Bitcoin ETFs and other institutional products

https://cointelegraph.com/news/over-200k-btc-now-stored-in-bitcoin-etfs-and-other-institutional-products/amp


And think this suggest in my opinion why Bitcoin is not gonna go to the lows It went to in the previous bear market ,
 because currently there's enough institutional money in BTC that is holding the market up right now.


legendary
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legendary
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People don’t buy gold to chase moons, to get rich quick, or to obsess over “when $100k?”.  (Well, not unless they are idiots.  Serious goldbugs are not idiots.)  Gold buyers are largely motivated by a desire to avoid losing value; I believe that’s what a “hedge vehicle” means.

Gold’s lower volatility compared to Bitcoin is in gold’s favor, not in Bitcoin’s favor.  I would kill for Bitcoin to have gold’s level of volatility.

Too bad that gold's appreciation can't even touch bitcoin's, nor can it keep up with real inflation. Volatility be damned.

What else you got?

Bitcoin isn’t keeping up with real inflation, either.  $30k range in January 2022 was a drastic YOY loss compared to $30k range in January 2021, for starters.

I can cherry pick timeframes too.

If you bought bitcoin in March 2020 @ $6-7K/btc, you're up 400%-500% on your investment. Inflation likely gained +30% since then.

If you bought Gold in March 2020 @ $1485/oz., you're only up 25% on your investment. Inflation likely gained +30% since then.

Bitcoin was then, and still is, the better hedge against inflation.

As for gold—I never understood why some Bitcoiners have a grudge against gold.  It doesn’t make sense, and it’s counterproductive.

I don't have a grudge against gold. I own some, as well as silver. I have a grudge against the criminal COMEX rigging of PMs. Gold should easily be at > $5K/oz. by now, Silver at > $200/oz.
hero member
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bitcoin retard
PS - Gave you 20 merits for one of yours posts I liked in error. Was supposed to be 10 but clicked refresh to check remaining sMerits so sent another 10. Please redistribute wisely.
(El duderino_is to blame for my generosity)

Now my account will be suspected to be a sockpuppet as well... Grin

Thanks for the golden smerit shower... #nohomo
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Take profit in BTC. Account PnL in BTC. BTC=money.
Where's Bitcoin CEO? Why he's not answering calls?
only bitcoin CEO can ban me for this.

He’ll ban you after he gets out of a private conference with Sam Bankman-Fried about how to make Bitcoin more awesome for VCs and big banks.
member
Activity: 70
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Take profit in BTC. Account PnL in BTC. BTC=money.
People don’t buy gold to chase moons, to get rich quick, or to obsess over “when $100k?”.  (Well, not unless they are idiots.  Serious goldbugs are not idiots.)  Gold buyers are largely motivated by a desire to avoid losing value; I believe that’s what a “hedge vehicle” means.

Gold’s lower volatility compared to Bitcoin is in gold’s favor, not in Bitcoin’s favor.  I would kill for Bitcoin to have gold’s level of volatility.

Too bad that gold's appreciation can't even touch bitcoin's, nor can it keep up with real inflation. Volatility be damned.

What else you got?

Bitcoin isn’t keeping up with real inflation, either.  $30k range in January 2022 was a drastic YOY loss compared to $30k range in January 2021, for starters.

A few months ago, I wrote a long rant to a friend about how the market is corrupted because traders figure PnL in dollars—everything is dollarized...  Years ago, a higher proportion of Bitcoin traders figured PnL in BTC.

Adjusted to pre-Covid dollars (adjusted for real inflation, not manipulated USG stats), I think we have probably already dipped far below 200 WMA.  Maybe even below 2017 ATH.  How much food, energy, real estate, etc. did $19k buy in 2017?  How many dollars are required to buy the same now?

I foresaw this problem years ago.  Sometimes, I hate to be proved so right.

As for gold—I never understood why some Bitcoiners have a grudge against gold.  It doesn’t make sense, and it’s counterproductive.
legendary
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'The right to privacy matters'
Where's Bitcoin CEO? Why he's not answering calls?


https://twitter.com/intangiblecoins/status/1532338855751389185?s=20

I would ban you from the wo if this was my website.

P O S = piece of shit

philipma, the joke must not have translated.

I believe that shahzadafzal was being sarcastic and facetious.

I will delete my rant. Grin

done deleted
copper member
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Where's Bitcoin CEO? Why he's not answering calls?


https://twitter.com/intangiblecoins/status/1532338855751389185?s=20

I would ban you from the wo if this was my website.

P O S = piece of shit

philipma, the joke must not have translated.

I believe that shahzadafzal was being sarcastic and facetious.

No philipma1957 you can’t… only bitcoin CEO can ban me for this.
legendary
Activity: 3822
Merit: 5504
People don’t buy gold to chase moons, to get rich quick, or to obsess over “when $100k?”.  (Well, not unless they are idiots.  Serious goldbugs are not idiots.)  Gold buyers are largely motivated by a desire to avoid losing value; I believe that’s what a “hedge vehicle” means.

Gold’s lower volatility compared to Bitcoin is in gold’s favor, not in Bitcoin’s favor.  I would kill for Bitcoin to have gold’s level of volatility.

Too bad that gold's appreciation can't even touch bitcoin's, nor can it keep up with real inflation. Volatility be damned.

What else you got?
member
Activity: 70
Merit: 320
Take profit in BTC. Account PnL in BTC. BTC=money.
OT Shower thought:

It just occurred to me this morning that the goldbugs and silverbugs would absolutely *kill* to have the Average Joe public FOMO into PMs every few years, and have the MSM constantly printing bull/bear articles about it.

Kill.

Poor PMs: The Rodney Dangerfield of hedge vehicles.

Actually, not.  No way.  A serious long-term store of value does not need hype-driven P&D!

People don’t buy gold to chase moons, to get rich quick, or to obsess over “when $100k?”.  (Well, not unless they are idiots.  Serious goldbugs are not idiots.)  Gold buyers are largely motivated by a desire to avoid losing value; I believe that’s what a “hedge vehicle” means.

Gold’s lower volatility compared to Bitcoin is in gold’s favor, not in Bitcoin’s favor.  I would kill for Bitcoin to have gold’s level of volatility.

(Related—  A few days ago, I began to write a reply to a post by OgNasty wherein I observed offhand that altcoins don’t actually take much capital from Bitcoin:  They take away some of the wild volatility driven by short-term speculators seeking rapid 500% price movements.  That’s is a good thing.  If we didn’t get a wild blow-off top last year as in 2017, that’s a good thing—and if we now avoid an 85% correction from last year’s high, that’s because alts took the wild blow-off-top, and they are now taking the drastic correction.  This also relates to discussion of “Bitcoin dominance”, a mostly-meaningless number.)
legendary
Activity: 3822
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Where's Bitcoin CEO? Why he's not answering calls?


https://twitter.com/intangiblecoins/status/1532338855751389185?s=20

I would ban you from the wo if this was my website.

P O S = piece of shit

philipma, the joke must not have translated.

I believe that shahzadafzal was being sarcastic and facetious.
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
copper member
Activity: 1526
Merit: 2890
legendary
Activity: 1974
Merit: 2124


You need to understand these billboards before you are left with worthless bills printed out of thin air in your hand.
legendary
Activity: 1526
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Far, Far, Far Right Thug
As it goes, I was kinda "forced" to watch Pirates of the Caribbean(s) by this chick I was fucking... and, actually I was surprised, I actually enjoyed it.

ps, yeah I could not give a fuck about the trial either, not really followed it.... but seems like a bitch got served for being a bitch... life's a bitch.


I was forced to watch Harry Potter 1 by a woman I was fucking some 10 years ago. It was a horrendous movie. Truly awful. "You will love this because you like adventure and sci fi. etc" she said. Well she clearly never appreciated my critical brain.  Grin

I am glad she didn't force you to watch the wrong version of Harry potter.  Grin Grin  Shocked



That would have been an improvement for sure.

At least one can turn to Emma Watson deepfakes if one desires. All she is good for if you ask me. She was also awful in The Circle. Probably Tom Hanks' worst movie.
legendary
Activity: 1526
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Far, Far, Far Right Thug
Putin is definitely definitively sick this time. It wasn't so definitive or definitely last time but now they are definitely thoroughly definitively convinced and sure he is terminally ill.

My guess he has Parkinson's, Cancer, Multiple Sclerosis, Motor Neuron Disease, a terminal heart condition, a stroke 5 times per day, bad breath and a touch of the shits.

Ukraine LIVE: 'End is near' for 'definitely sick' Putin – US officials break silence
https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1620110/ukraine-live-vladimir-putin-US-russia-donbas-nuclear-weapon-sanction-latest-update
legendary
Activity: 3822
Merit: 5504
In my humble opinion, it all comes down to the link between energy and value, complex and inexplicable as it may be. Energy may or may not create value, but value requires energy. There is no "free lunch" in this universe.

This is one of those complex, philosophical topics where the answer is "Yes, but..."

Yes to what you stated above.

But...there are so many "things" in this world today that took a lot of energy and manpower to create (and thus had high value when first created), but their value has now fallen to near zero because humans no longer value them. They don't just retain their value long term because they had a high energy input.

This could happen to any "thing" created, because value is also subjective and is applied to "things" by the emotions of human beings.
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