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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 3590. (Read 26723650 times)

hero member
Activity: 1876
Merit: 612
Plant 1xTree for each Satoshi earned!
Finally upgraded my LN Node to "LND 0.14.3-beta" and bitcoin-cpre 23.0

Was worried about database conversion issues as i was coming from 0.13 and there were many updates in between. Wasn't sure if i needed to step the upgrade or if i can go straight to the latest version. Documentations didn't mention anything about this, If needed to upgrade to 13.8->14.0->14.1 etc etc, so i assumed i didn't have to! We straight to the latest one!

Have also activated TOR and now running in Hybrid Mode. Both ClearNet and TOR! Which means i can finally initiate connects without having to ask TOR Nodes to add my node as a peer!

Makes participating in channel swaps more seamless!

Although one thing i have noticed, adding a peer via TOR is slower... not overly slow, but noticeably slower than ClearNet...

Routing seems to be very inconsistent over the last 2 weeks and the amount being router seems more consistent with someone spending (1,000 - 10,000SAT) rather than someone re-balancing (100,000+ SAT)... (i am assuming this, no real proof... but if it is, that a good thing!)

A few tips...

Compact your LN database.... use the following in your lnd.conf..

#[bolt]
db.bolt.auto-compact=true
db.bolt.auto-compact-min-age=0

Backup Backup Backup!

Store your unlock password somewhere! You are not going to memorize it! especially given the fact you only have to enter it when you restart your LN node... which in my case is almost never!

If you are looking at a hybrid model, and you have a minimal install of Linux... make sure you install tor daemon!!

LN Node Capacity: 430,447,220 SAT (~4.304 BTC)

Might follow bob and throw some more coins at it!

#LNMETA





Too bad you are using Windows.  Cheesy   Cheesy

Windows?... where is that batslap gif?...insert batslap gif

Specs
Intel(R) Core(TM) i5-6400 CPU @ 2.70GHz
Corsair 16GB DDR4
Gigabyte ITX Board (Small Form Factor)
3 x 1TB Samsung PRO SSD (2 Drives in RAID1 with 1 Spare (Not connected Still in a Box))
Corsair 550WATT PS
APC 750VA Smart UPS

Software: CentOS/bitcoind/lnd

Was going to use Slackware, but the last main release was 2016... i grew up with slack! one of my old qmail toaster is still running slack 13.37!

BTW, Slackware 15 is out! 5 months too late!

Broooooo.... Duuuuuuuuuuuddddddd!!! Cheesy Cheesy ... TMi !!!!!!!! TM f^cking informationnnnnn... Smiley))

Please delete your post, for your own safety. (and I will delete this quote)

You can be picked off just by the specs of your PC. Do not share your specs. Ever. Smiley  Roll Eyes  Roll Eyes
full member
Activity: 618
Merit: 145
Hello everyone, I always read this thread, it seems to me one of the most interesting and fun here on bitcointalk. I wanted to give my point of view on the behavior that Bitcoin has had in recent months. Speculation is that it will rally to two-week highs, which I think is fantastic given the uncertainties that have been going on lately. It recently returned to its $30,000 level ahead of the Wall Street open today May 25, showing range resistance as we can see.


According to data from the CryptoQuant chain analysis platform
Quote
the signs from the network transaction value (NVT) Golden Cross metric suggested a pullback was underway.

Further hinting that BTC's next all-time high would take place until 2024, when Bitcoin's next halving cycle begins. What do you think? Will we have to wait that long for another high?

Source: https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-finally-due-for-32-8k-as-long-term-btc-price-metric-flashes-overvalued
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1441

Força amiga! Vamos continuar sonhando em português!



Great, but, sorry, I don't think that it is sustainable long term.
The f-s are known to come back again and again, until they get their 'piece'.
Because of this and also geographical restrictions on purchases, I never applied for a 'golden visa' in Portugal.
US citizens have similar scheme in Puerto-Rico, but it is riddled with so many fees and limits that it is not sustainable as well.
Besides, they keep wanting to make a state out of it

But their economy has aids.... they need to bring in people with readies...I mean, you can get residency there without using golden visa, which you are right, is a lil restrictive... and kinda the price point too high on the golden visa, ,considering the absolute bargains you can get in Portugal. On a side note I see Madeira is trying to attract digital nomads too.

copper member
Activity: 1526
Merit: 2890
JPMorgan has said bitcoin's fair price is 28% higher than its current level, implying "significant upside from here"

So they have accepted the fair price is +28%, let’s wait until they accept the real price also which is +280%

https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/currencies/bitcoin-outlook-jpmorgan-cryptocurrencies-alternative-assets-2022-5
legendary
Activity: 3766
Merit: 5146
Note the unconventional cAPITALIZATION!
It feels to me like we're back in an accumulation phase with this sideways movement.  I'd be extremely bullish but there are a few factors to consider. 

1)  We are at the point in the cycle where another drop is to be expected.

2)  Mtgox coins are still hanging over the market's head.

3) Leveraged long positions on bitfinex are at an all time high meaning a lot of selling needs to take place to cover those positions.

Those are 3 factors that shouldn't be ignored by anyone looking to invest.  It is still quite likely that there's another big drop in store, even if the market is feeling particularly bullish.

#3 is the worst one...  I think we might be just about to see those things closed out one way or the other...
donator
Activity: 4760
Merit: 4323
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
It feels to me like we're back in an accumulation phase with this sideways movement.  I'd be extremely bullish but there are a few factors to consider. 

1)  We are at the point in the cycle where another drop is to be expected.

2)  Mtgox coins are still hanging over the market's head.

3) Leveraged long positions on bitfinex are at an all time high meaning a lot of selling needs to take place to cover those positions.

Those are 3 factors that shouldn't be ignored by anyone looking to invest.  It is still quite likely that there's another big drop in store, even if the market is feeling particularly bullish.
legendary
Activity: 3766
Merit: 5146
Note the unconventional cAPITALIZATION!
I had promised myself I was not come here to post for a while...  But this price action.

We REALLY need to see some volume right here with a decisive break above the top resistance.

I would give this a better chance of being a headfake before a big dump, but if we can see that volume come in?

Kind of a hail mary.



Somewhere between 30500 and 31 is the target...  I do not think we will see it.  But I would love to be wrong about that.  Maybe Klaus Schwab just keeled over on stage or something... c'mon corn! Wink

jr. member
Activity: 35
Merit: 2
FOMC minutes drop in 15 mins



Not only that, all the tokens are in the same condition due to BTC going down. In 2022, the bad news for BTC is getting worse. As a result, BTC is going down again and again. And this is why all the tokens in the market are sinking. I think good news will come from BTC soon. And BTC will see k 100k in 2023. And if we can see this look of BTC then all the tokens will go up. And it is better not to take any entry at this time.
copper member
Activity: 1526
Merit: 2890
legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1441
FOMC minutes drop in 15 mins

So let me try to follow this.

The FOMC released minutes from a meeting they had May 3rd-4th (over 20 days ago when the market was in a very different place than today), that said they still might raise rates in the future.

But they did not raise rates today, when the minutes were released.

Nor did the minutes indicate when the next rate hike will be, nor by how much.

And the stonk market somehow cares about this....non news.







Yuh, today was just about the minutes drop, which show/confirm they are talking about raising rates 50 bps at at least the next few meetings.... potentially means a 2-3% hike this year.  But yes, its old minutes, mainly regarding priced in expectations, and yes things have changed a bit since meeting, that s true.

Market participants sorta care, because the world is on fire, and investors are jumpy as fuck....and looking for any signal on good or bad news,  anyways, no major immediate reaction as of yet for sure, though next hour or four could see a bit of a swing.  Gold had a mini hunter wick. Algos dong their things mainly. Though could provide fuel and momentum for a lil spike here, before it get shorted back down. We shall see.



 These minutes are mainly about confirming expectations, and if expectations remain unchanged, then often have muted response... its when something unexpected pops up they sometimes have more dramatic outcomes.


As you were.



legendary
Activity: 4004
Merit: 4656

Força amiga! Vamos continuar sonhando em português!



Great, but, sorry, I don't think that it is sustainable long term.
The f-s are known to come back again and again, until they get their 'piece'.
Because of this and also geographical restrictions on purchases, I never applied for a 'golden visa' in Portugal.
US citizens have similar scheme in Puerto-Rico, but it is riddled with so many fees and limits that it is not sustainable as well.
Besides, they keep wanting to make a state out of it
legendary
Activity: 3794
Merit: 5474
FOMC minutes drop in 15 mins

So let me try to follow this.

The FOMC released minutes from a meeting they had May 3rd-4th (over 20 days ago when the market was in a very different place than today), that said they still might raise rates in the future.

But they did not raise rates today, when the minutes were released.

Nor did the minutes indicate when the next rate hike will be, nor by how much.

And the stonk market somehow cares about this....non news.





legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 17063
Fully fledged Merit Cycler - Golden Feather 22-23

Força amiga! Vamos continuar sonhando em português!


legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1441
FOMC minutes drop in 15 mins
hero member
Activity: 758
Merit: 1844
Finally upgraded my LN Node to "LND 0.14.3-beta" and bitcoin-cpre 23.0

Was worried about database conversion issues as i was coming from 0.13 and there were many updates in between. Wasn't sure if i needed to step the upgrade or if i can go straight to the latest version. Documentations didn't mention anything about this, If needed to upgrade to 13.8->14.0->14.1 etc etc, so i assumed i didn't have to! We straight to the latest one!

Have also activated TOR and now running in Hybrid Mode. Both ClearNet and TOR! Which means i can finally initiate connects without having to ask TOR Nodes to add my node as a peer!

Makes participating in channel swaps more seamless!

Although one thing i have noticed, adding a peer via TOR is slower... not overly slow, but noticeably slower than ClearNet...

Routing seems to be very inconsistent over the last 2 weeks and the amount being router seems more consistent with someone spending (1,000 - 10,000SAT) rather than someone re-balancing (100,000+ SAT)... (i am assuming this, no real proof... but if it is, that a good thing!)

A few tips...

Compact your LN database.... use the following in your lnd.conf..

#[bolt]
db.bolt.auto-compact=true
db.bolt.auto-compact-min-age=0

Backup Backup Backup!

Store your unlock password somewhere! You are not going to memorize it! especially given the fact you only have to enter it when you restart your LN node... which in my case is almost never!

If you are looking at a hybrid model, and you have a minimal install of Linux... make sure you install tor daemon!!

LN Node Capacity: 430,447,220 SAT (~4.304 BTC)

Might follow bob and throw some more coins at it!

#LNMETA





Too bad you are using Windows.  Cheesy   Cheesy

Windows?... where is that batslap gif?...insert batslap gif

Specs
Intel(R) Core(TM) i5-6400 CPU @ 2.70GHz
Corsair 16GB DDR4
Gigabyte ITX Board (Small Form Factor)
3 x 1TB Samsung PRO SSD (2 Drives in RAID1 with 1 Spare (Not connected Still in a Box))
Corsair 550WATT PS
APC 750VA Smart UPS

Software: CentOS/bitcoind/lnd

Was going to use Slackware, but the last main release was 2016... i grew up with slack! one of my old qmail toaster is still running slack 13.37!

BTW, Slackware 15 is out! 5 months too late!
legendary
Activity: 2674
Merit: 2373
1RichyTrEwPYjZSeAYxeiFBNnKC9UjC5k
These shooters get guns that can fire 10, 20, 30 rounds and reload in five seconds I have no problem on a longer background check for buyers of weapons that can do 10,20,30 rounds or easily modified to be able to do that. A shotgun like this one below :

They already frequently do not do the existing background checks properly. Further, frequently they enforce them when people break the laws associated with them. Solutions not relying on the diligence of the government would probably be the way to look. My first place to aim the microscope would be the schools themselves.
legendary
Activity: 4382
Merit: 9330
'The right to privacy matters'
I can understand both of those things. Regarding the government overreach perhaps an alternative would be to take control of the armed forces away from the government, put it in the hands of the people somehow. Then perhaps the 2nd amendment would not be necessary for at least that side of things.

That was what the second amendment was supposed to be for. Funny how that worked out.

Bingo.

Btw, American colonists were all armed to the teeth, multiple guns in every household... but no mass school shootings. Huh?

Yeah, but let's not address today's youth mental health crisis in America, let's just take away everyone's right to bear arms instead. That will fix everything.  Roll Eyes

Well I have 2 shotguns old school 2 barrel.
I also have an armor vest.

But a 2 barrel break load shotgun is not a mass assault weapon.

These shooters get guns that can fire 10, 20, 30 rounds and reload in five seconds I have no problem on a longer background check for buyers of weapons that can do 10,20,30 rounds or easily modified to be able to do that. A shotgun like this one below :




would have very little or no back ground check

and an ak-47 has very strict background check.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AK-47

I have a right to bear arms in USA doe that mean I get to have 2 tactical Nukes? A dozen missiles etc.?

I would say no. But my opinion does not count for much. And many in the usa have a stupid amount of guns and ammo as they wait for the end of times.
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