my theory is that ww3 is short-term bearish, long-term bullish
For whom or what? Bitcoin?
This being the bitcoin price movement tracking and discussion thread, that was my intention, yes.
Russia has gradually escalated the invasion of the Donbass to the point (estimated 3 to 5 thousand uniformed) where the Ukrainian government considers it an outright invasion. European governments (except for
Honnecker Merkel) agree. Europe has a backbone composed of over-cooked pasta, but they do remember Hitler, and the parallels to Putin are pervasive, profound, and indicative. I am wishing that I did not have so much New York travel planned, at this point: A pre-emptive strike by Putin against the allied west is the likely end of any military escalation track. I should acquire an off-shore life insurance policy in case my domestic one should prove unsuited to the circumstances of my death.
All of this, I consider bearish in the short-term, on risk-aversion, and bullish in the long-term on the fundamental technical capability of crypto to provide value storage and liquidity transfer when other systems break down.
Is this you or the Monkey talking? I do not agree tbh I do not see Putin=Hitler and I do not see a pre-emptive strike from Russia, certainly not a direct overt one.. jesus christ the implications of that are profound... I can imagine a big bang somewhere.... followed by a
game of whodunit... followed by more actions.... which could then lead to mayhem... but a direct overt attack , pre-emptive from Russia... phew... that is the stuff of nightmares... as it could not be a slight attack, it would have to be an end game attack, and well M.A.D comes to mind... unthinkable... world as we know it done... dusted... game over, fuck Bitcoin if that happens... unless it is so surgical that it would boggle the realms of what is possible..
Far more likely a catalyst is needed, or rather an instigation, and then what exactly would pre-emptive mean anymore? or do you propose that Ukraine is already that catalyst? or are you talking escalation of military build up from US in places like Poland etc antagonising Putin? and/or possible future NATO involvement? kicking Russia out of G8 etc as ways of antagonising Putin into a pre-emptive attack? or do you see a bit by bit escalation with "unintended" consequences? or do you really see Putin as having desires to rebuild the USSR, and as a force that needs to be stopped? as opposed to being antagonised into action?
(edit: yes I do not want to believe it could happen)
(edit: maybe I am blind though... I wonder what is your train of thought? do you really see it escalating to that point "
absent some catastrophic and catalyzing event––like a new Pearl Harbor"
http://www.webcitation.org/5e3est5lT link to REBUILDING AMERICA’S DEFENSES Strategy, Forces and Resources For a New Century )
or should that be "absent
some another catastrophic and catalyzing event––like a new
Pearl Harbor 9/11" ?
my theory is that ww3 is short-term bearish, long-term bullish
Those were the days huh?
(talking of which where is aminorex these days?, still kicking?)