Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 3663. (Read 26608419 times)

You might have anywhere between 10% and 30% odds of achieving less than $30k at some point in bitcoin's future. I would not hold my breath.. and for sure, if you are adequately prepared for UP, then it may well not hurt to have some amount of low ball buy orders.  I think that quite a few longer time bitcoiners will save some fiat for those kinds of lower price scenarios, even if they believe them to be less likely.

Some of the problems with either no coiners or those folks who have not adequately/sufficiently prepared for the possibility of UP would come when they are holding too much value and waiting for a low entry BTC price point that might not end up materializing.. then they are just stuck without any coins.. so in that regard there should be some level of balance to at least have some value already invested so that you are adequately and sufficiently prepared for UP, too. 

The amount that you have prepared for each BTC price direction is surely a matter of discretion that should be largely tailored to all of your own personal circumstances; therefore, there are probably not any two people who structure their balances in terms of how much to prepare for UP, DOWN or sideways in the same exact way.


There is going to be some variation, but any of us who have been into bitcoin for several years (even a whole cycle) are not going to be feeling too much "doom" and gloom these days so long as our portfolios were largely already established prior to September 2020..

On the other hand, if you were still establishing after September 2020 or just getting started at some point after September 2020, then there could be various levels of nervousness in regards to how you might have played your buys/sells/HODLs or whatever.

I am not going to completely ignore the folks who might have thought that they  had been mostly prepared for UP prior to September 2020, and then figured out that they were not as "prepared" as they had thought that they had been... so in those respects, some of those folks might have ended up feeling way more doom and gloom than they should have felt in the event that they had gone through with a more adequate/meaningful preparations prior to September 2020.

You are welcome https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.59809876

$1 million BTC bought every day, regardless of price

https://twitter.com/Capital15C/status/1512593429422919680/photo/1

Can guestimate... its usually around million words per post kinda ball park. 

Congratulations on 25,000 posts JJG.
I will make a tool to count the number of words you have posted in total 25k posts on a weekend.

Ah, I have these settings since 2020.



Maybe you ignored this post then

Explanation

I doubt that I was defending you to that extent, but I do question whether some members might be arriving at the wrong conclusion (that you are bitter for having had sold too many coin too soon) merely based on your being a dweeb in other regards.

Ultimately, they could be correct, but there are no real facts to support such assertions... and the logical conclusions are speculations that seem to contain way too many assumptions - even though it seems that most "normal" coiners (if there is such a thing) would not find it to be a very good use of their time to be engaged in attacking actual bitcoiners and even diverting us in this thread. 

We do likely have a pretty high level of coiners regularly participating in this thread - as compared to other random public bitcoin threads out there.


Your numbers do not account for all of the possible BTC price directions.  You say80% odds for sideways within $40k and $55k for the remaining of 2022 and 20% odds for breaking out to the upside.  So, by deduction, you are asserting that there are 0% odds that we go below $40k?  Sure I like your optimism, but you are way too pie in the sky to be assigning such low odds to down (and probably your odds for staying in the range is too high.. so you probably would have been better off with 20/60/20.. so that your odds for breaking down or breaking up are equal.. even though I personally would give higher odds to UP too, but I surely would not assign up as 20% and down as 0%.. that is just too fantasylandia and failure/refusal to actually account for all of the possibilities (even if you might end up being wrong in terms of how much to assign to each, but it is a much better practice to attempt to account for all possibilities, even if you give a very low probability to some of the options - hint: it's gonna be nonzero even for some outrageous possibilities).

There is a FULL MOON IN LIBRA in a few days. That means until that it might crash a bit more, and after that IT WILL F^CK ALL RECORDS OF ALL TIME HIGHS !!   


Because Libra rules: Law, Inherited Wealth, Balancing, Rules, Calibrating, Re-Calibrating, China. (Yes.. China is in the sign of Libra, & it is getting f^cked well around this time, and probably after the Full Moon it will remove all quarantines & lockdowns.. because reasons.)   

Basically why I accused you of that is because if you are a ignorant whore like me.
You don't see the posts of other people unless you do the print screen from your own account on the default settings.    

You had to change the default settings to be able to do that.    

Bitcoin new update News. Bitcoin strong support 40k USD.

https://twitter.com/BitcoinMagazine/status/1513507306658488324

BEST SOLUTION EVER !!   

So looks like the whales are gunning for Bitcoin sub $40k and Eth sub $3k. It's mostly the Eth shitcoin market they play these days.

Trying to spook the n00bs to panic sell again. Typical.

There is either some whale seller or a bunch of suicidal longs who regularly dump their salary at the end of each month. I have a theory that the ammassing of longs in exchanges, where actual purchase/sell of BTC is involved leads to the collapse of the system. Whether it is helped by manipulators I don't know, but it is evident, that for 2 years the long/short liquidation ratio is huge, may be 9 to 1. Btw, this is so tragically stupid, to lose money and never actually own BTC's. Whatever might be the reason for this dump, the good thing is that the exchanges are drained out of BTC's with about 30K BTC's each month. The supply shock will be huge, when the weak hands give for nothing their BTC's to people like Michael Saylor and countless hodlers and institutions.  And when the next big bull run starts, everyone who sold will be very unhappy. Ask mindrust if you don't believe me.  

Explanation

Perhaps perhaps....who knows what the man thinks.

All I know, is that the PTB at Twitter have wielded Twitter as a weapon .....and they stick their noses into things that have zero to do with them.... issues of politics and issues of societal issues, their sense of self importance is fucking gross, who the fucking hell do they think they are? I have no interest in what a moderator, or a board member thinks, or what they want me to think, or what they want you to think, none... I have more interest in what a local homeless would have to say about it all rather than the twitter gestapo.  They are just a chat board, keep the tweets coming, and stay the fuck out of it, they ain't nothing but a service provider and I could not care less about their political leanings, or which narratives they choose to amplify and which they choose to crush.  Not to mention who they decide to cancel .... whilst leaving absolute scum  to continue to tweet their drivel.  Like stay the fuck out of it, and leave it a level playing field and let people decide what they follow, like, engage with or.... not.  I have no more interest in their political leanings any more than I do the water company that supplies my water. Fucking ferrets.  Same goes for Facebook and all the rest, they have all gotten far far far too big for their boots.

They are desperate not be classified as "publishers" with editorial control, for obvious reasons.....  well they cannot have their cake and eat it......

https://twitter.com/Purple_Hill/likes

Visits to crypto trading exchanges increased to 360 million in March.

It's pretty clear to me now that he's controlled opposition. A supposed "man of the people" controlled puppet, propped up to influence and sway the dumb masses.

Remember how he screwed over a bunch of his Twitter followers with his whole "Dogecoin to the moon!" bullshit. Yeah, just go look at that chart. Lol.

Maybe Musk didn't like the conditions of taking a seat on the board. The Chief Executive said he would have "to act in the best interests of the company and all our shareholders". Best interests is an umbrella term that could mean anything the company wants it to.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10706401/Elon-Musk-NOT-join-board-Twitter-CEO-says-believe-best.html