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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 4321. (Read 26713358 times)

legendary
Activity: 3962
Merit: 11519
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
.....attack has a 2 pronged effect.  ............ And people babies will die.

FTFY
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 4354
Merit: 9201
'The right to privacy matters'
Once it is done the next step will be hooking up with some PA investors. We need to see how it works out.  All in good time.

What's a PA investor-the one from Pennsylvania?
I know PE (private equity), don't know PA, unless it is, indeed, the state..

We have a spot in Carbondale PA. and the name is due to the coal mines in the area.

You drive around the area and see football field size stacks of low grade slag (shitty yield coal). Over 100 piles of it. Brownish rather than blackish.

We got a guy there we are looking to setup a 800kwatt mine and then supply ½ of it with a solar array. It is a 10 year time line.  most likely it will begin in 2022 or 2023.

I only wish I were 40 not 64 as  I see so much future in this fusing of solar and BTC
legendary
Activity: 3766
Merit: 5146
Note the unconventional cAPITALIZATION!
OT: All this talk in the MSM about the "relief rally" in stonks, and how the market "liked" the hawkish Fed news about tapering and potential 3 rate hikes in 2022.

Lol, what bullshit. The stonk market only likes free money, and more of it. They in fact hate tapering, and really hate higher interest rates. And they could give a shit about inflation.

A bunch of shorts got hammered, that is all.

What everyone should be very worried about is when the Fed really *does* start seriously tapering and raising rates. That would start the clock, and mean that another global black swan "event" is right around the corner. By design.

It's interesting to see the plan unfold.  

It seems to me THIS phase is mostly focused on supply chain problems, particularly with food supply.  They had no issue with killing us with an engineered virus, and they are going to starve some of us to death next.  The most interesting part is the worldwide UREA shortage being created by China (of course).

This is a chemical which has an underestimated importance.  Who knew the world would run on pig piss?  But it does.  It is a primary ingredient in fertilizer, and ALL modern diesel engines require it to run.  It is not a requirement, in that the engine needs it.  But the engines all now have systems built in that will either shut off the operation altogether, or seriously govern the speed when it is missing.

So this attack has a 2 pronged effect.  It will make food harder/more expensive to produce.  And it will make the delivery of all goods also harder and/or more expensive.  So food production AND supply chains are going to shut down to some extent.  And people will die.

We are JUST beginning to see the first effects of this attack.  But I think it's going to get worse.

I personally drive a little 4 cyl diesel truck.  I bought myself 20 gallons of DEF a little while back when I realized this attack was coming.  So I will be good, for several years... probably overdoing it, but it will at least give western pig farmers the time needed to build the systems needed to produce this ourselves.
legendary
Activity: 3402
Merit: 9199
icarus-cards.eu
hero member
Activity: 1029
Merit: 712
I'm seeing a lot of signs of long term weakness and some signs of short term strength in the market.

How strange, personally I'm seeing the complete opposite here, based on price and on-chain data. Price continues to rebound from the 200 Day MA for starters. Even zooming in to the 4hr chart, the buying pressure between the 50 Week MA (rising, bullish) and 200 Day MA (rising, bullish) remains strong. Until this long-term support is convincingly broken, I don't see an argument for long-term weakness, only short-term.



Of course there is a lack of confirmation, given that price is making lower highs and lower lows and remains weak in the short-term, but the long-term remains strong:



I respect the fact your are an OG in this space, with lots of time in the market as well as experience with Bitcoin's price movements, but I think this doesn't help with analysis when currently price is moving in a way that it hasn't really done before. Bitcoin has never taken this long to consolidate after an ATH within a bull market structure, after a parabolic high without a blow-off top, and hasn't had so much positive interaction with the 50 Week MA (if any) within a bull market either. Usually it's an MA to sell once the bear market starts, but in this cycle so far it has been an MA to buy as strong support.

Given the short-term weakness, I don't doubt price could fall lower and re-test the next accumulation level, but otherwise the on-chain data strongly suggests the bottom is already in. Just my two satoshis.

Tend to agree with you over Ognasty

I see an elongated cycle as ½ ing is losing its power to holy-covid

If things are really really really “good” today is like Jan 2017 when btc faltered just a bit

And oct 2020-dec 2021 compare more to jan 2016-jan 2017

if so the blow off top will be close to jan 2023 and 10-20x the current 48k

or not time will tell.

I'm not sure that Covid really has anything to do with it, I think it is simply that the numeric impact of each halving gets smaller each time, and it gets smaller faster than a simple halving would imply.

If you look at this table:



You can see that at the start if this epoch (3rd to 4th halving) 18.375 million coins had already been issued.  During this epoch only another 1.3 million coins will be issued, so the halving only impacts those 1.3 million coins, and that's just 7.1% of the coins already issued.  Whereas the last halving affected nearly 17% of the coins already issued.  Conversely the next halving will only affect 3.3%.

So although the emission rate halves each time, the impact (i.e. number of coins involved) actually drops off even faster.

Note: I am counting the coins that were issued at the start of the epoch, if you counted from the end it would seem even smaller.
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 3794
Merit: 5474
OT: All this talk in the MSM about the "relief rally" in stonks, and how the market "liked" the hawkish Fed news about tapering and potential 3 rate hikes in 2022.

Lol, what bullshit. The stonk market only likes free money, and more of it. They in fact hate tapering, and really hate higher interest rates. And they could give a shit about inflation.

A bunch of shorts got hammered, that is all.

What everyone should be very worried about is when the Fed really *does* start seriously tapering and raising rates. That would start the clock, and mean that another global black swan "event" is right around the corner. By design.
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 2520
Merit: 3038
Quote
The central bank is now in talks with market players and experts about a possible ban.

I bet these "market players" and "experts" own crypto themselves so it's very unlikely they will ban anything.  Cool

My wild guess? They'll ban easy access for the plebs. U poor? Rubles it is!

(Or depending on your level of sophistication maybe dollars too,  USD safu OK, no risky is money very good!)
legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1230
Privacy Servers. Since 2009.
Quote
The central bank is now in talks with market players and experts about a possible ban.

I bet these "market players" and "experts" own crypto themselves so it's very unlikely they will ban anything.  Cool
hero member
Activity: 1029
Merit: 712
Roll Eyes

They are not even hiding it now. But the media is not helping to connect the dots. People should do that themselves.
When's the last time consumers in the UK spent £875 billion buying goods in a year? I reckon that is impossible.
 
-- image snipped for readability --

Edit:
Furthermore this also shows how tiny the BTC marketcap currently is and thus how much further it will grow.
When 1 single centralised bank purchases MORE than that in useless "assets" (debt) without even 1 person objecting.

£875 Bn is the total* purchases under the scheme since (I think) 2016 when it was instigated.  It's not an annual spend.

Edited to add: probably better to describe it as the limit on purchases they can make, not sure they have actually used it all yet.
legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1230
Privacy Servers. Since 2009.
Russian Ban:

Russian cenbank to seek ban on investment in cryptocurrencies, sources say


Quote
MOSCOW, Dec 16 (Reuters) - The Russian central bank would like to ban investments in cryptocurrencies in Russia, seeing risks to financial stability in the rising number of crypto transactions, two financial market sources close to the central bank said.

Bitcoin is dead.
Next 24h are critical.
Confirmed.

OMG we're screwed this is the end of it... haha NOT! HODLers not affected!  Cool
legendary
Activity: 3808
Merit: 7912
Saw on Twitter.



almost perfect, but instead of the sleigh we need the rollercoaster Smiley


 It's a Christmas miracle.

 
 
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 2520
Merit: 3038
Russian Ban:

Russian cenbank to seek ban on investment in cryptocurrencies, sources say


Quote
MOSCOW, Dec 16 (Reuters) - The Russian central bank would like to ban investments in cryptocurrencies in Russia, seeing risks to financial stability in the rising number of crypto transactions, two financial market sources close to the central bank said.

OMG after China, here comes "Russia bans bitcoin"!
What will we do?
It sure is going to be the death of our lil friend.
And all the Russian oligarchs had better sell their stashes for rubles.
Amirite?
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 17063
Fully fledged Merit Cycler - Golden Feather 22-23
Russian Ban:

Russian cenbank to seek ban on investment in cryptocurrencies, sources say


Quote
MOSCOW, Dec 16 (Reuters) - The Russian central bank would like to ban investments in cryptocurrencies in Russia, seeing risks to financial stability in the rising number of crypto transactions, two financial market sources close to the central bank said.

Bitcoin is dead.
Next 24h are critical.
Confirmed.
legendary
Activity: 3794
Merit: 5474
You might disagree with his focus (albeit not completely) on alts, but this is overall a very decent guy (Tyler aka Chico Crypto), imho.
Burned out.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0_FWxlKRYBc
It's sad to see that being under stress of producing content daily did something quite bad for his mental state.
A very honest, jarring video.
Don't get the "game" get to you.

Getting off a daily grind in bitcoin and kind of moving to a long term picture has been very good for me this cycle vs 2017-2018-first excitement, then crash, pins and needles.


Dang, it really pains me to see guys like this who have a serious addiction to caring so fkn much about crypto TA. Something that they don't even realize is a complete waste of time and life. There's nothing more depressing and soul-crushing for a man than to sit around trying to make sense of and trying to predict something that you have absolutely no control over whatsoever. This is the exact same shit that destroyed the lives of many young wanna-be daytraders of penny stocks back in the last few decades. Many of them ended up in massive bankruptcy and committed suicide.

The guy needs to gtfo of shitcoins, stop looking at the prices, get off the internet, and go do something product with his life. Learn a skill, get a hobby, make friends, get a girlfriend, travel. Whatever. Invest in himself and his future.

There is no "game". There is only your dumb ass for thinking there ever was one. It's all a delusion, dude. smh
legendary
Activity: 1526
Merit: 2617
Far, Far, Far Right Thug
 Roll Eyes

They are not even hiding it now. But the media is not helping to connect the dots. People should do that themselves.
When's the last time consumers in the UK spent £875 billion buying goods in a year? I reckon that is impossible.



Edit:
Furthermore this also shows how tiny the BTC marketcap currently is and thus how much further it will grow.
When 1 single centralised bank purchases MORE than that in useless "assets" (debt) without even 1 person objecting.
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
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