To me that's not of much concern, the idea of remaining within the same range price has effectively been in for 12 months, without a parabolic top and after confirming a recovery, but
I can't speak for any investors or traders from the past year who think that $20K or $10K could end up getting re-tested, after getting in around $40K, simply because price has twice got rejected from $64K+. Each to their own I guess
Just watching the MACD turning Bullish on the 4hr....
Not surprised
I think it price were to go significanty lower, like sub $46.2K, then we would have seen it already. Despite the lack of quick recovery, there are more weak hands to flush out for stronger ones, about 10-month worth minimum, so it's not surpsing this may take a little longer than expected or usual, and until then a tight trading range will develop... above an accumulation zone non-ironically.
There's something off with your discussion of the possibilities of retesting $10k or $20k.. and gosh you might even come off as a bit bonkers to be suggesting that retesting of $30k has any kind of realistic chances.. been there done that, and that ship has sailed.
I don't think there's something off with my discussion at all, but other investors who are now considering these exact concepts, no doubt the ones from the past 10 months in the $30K-70K range, particularly around $40-$50K I imagine. For example those who don't want to see price drop to $20K or $10K or
"I have no idea how far price could drop pls help me sir" type price range. I see very little chance of it, but many are fearful of a bear market right now, without any idea how far price could drop, or any data to suggest such a theory. Many aren't even sure if this is still a bull market, as have very little grasp of being able to identify long-term bull vs bear. After all, they only know what a bull market looks like, and don't really understand the idea that price could re-test support, which it has. Like $30K and $40K all over again basically.
This is why I can see price taking a little longer than usual to recover, due to the current price structure (or time structure I should say). Many are fearful of the market right now, most of these are newbies who don't even know whether they should be buying, selling or hodling. Longer-term investors know there is no rush in these conditions, and simply take cheap Bitcoin as it comes back down to support.
I mean look at Billy for example, he's still waiting for $10K or whatever, and the reality is he's not the only one.
Sure, I know that anything can happen, but it seems that quite a bit of attention is being given to such highly unlikely scenarios.. and sure even you are saying that going below $46k could put some of those scenarios back into play.. but to me it seems that we would surely need pretty black swan events to be visiting $10k or $20k and we might even need a black swan event to get down to $30k-- even though of course, $30k has some kinds of outrageousness possibilities (maybe less than 15% odds?) that are quite a bit higher than $10k or $20k which seem to be less than 1.5% or 3% odds respectively..
Not sure where you heard me thinking that dropping below $46K would meaning creating lower prices than $30K, you must have me mistaken with those newer investors I referenced
As I've stated before, can't be bothered to quote, closing below key support would provide a good argument that the bull market is over, for now, and that given price is in a trading range of $30-70K, it's most likely to stay there - maybe for another year. Not something I've really considered as that likely either, or necessarily that worrying, although sure anything is possible.