Fear & Greed Index has reached 21 "Extreme Fear" today. Time to start feeling bullish again
When was the last times Fear & Greed reached these extreme levels? Have a look at the green arrows representing extreme fear:
For over a month I've been feeling neutral, even slightly bearish short-term on price since $65K. Now the correction has reached my target, I've shed my short-term bearish bias.
Now that price has found support at the 0.618 on the shorter-term time-frames, I've gone for a high leveraged (10x) long position with tight stop loss
DYOR
Of course, many of us assert that normies should NOT be screwing around with leverage, and I imagine any kind of leverage like that does need a decently sized stop loss.
Couldn't agree more! Especially not 10x leverage, unless you are an experienced day trader looking at the 10/15/30 minutes chart, or 1hr at best.
3/4x leverage would be a lot more sensible when trading the 4hr or Daily, but personally was a eyeing up the short-term risk/reward, rather than medium-term.
I don't believe in stop losses also, but I can appreciate if anyone is playing with decently high levels of leverage then the stop loss will be a godsend.
Yeh neither do I, unless leverage trading, then it's a must. I don't mind losing 10% in trade, but I do mind losing 100%, even if only 0.3% of total holdings.
By the way you likely realize that we have not seen anyone wicks in recent times, and for sure there is an ongoing practice and dynamic for bearwhales to trigger stop losses prior to moving up.. and of course, a wick is not a prerequisite, but wicks do happen quite frequently to screw up the potentially prematurely order placements of leveraged guys.
Honestly, I had overlooked that so I appreciate your insight. Alas my trade didn't last long, I tightened up the stop loss to break-even when $55K was rejected, given price had moved 1% (+10% profit) above my entry ($54.6K) and my stop loss was previously 0.75% below (7.5% loss). As I said, this was only a short-term time-frame trade, the target for me was around previous resistance of $57.5K and $61K, nothing special manoeuvre. The reason being was knowing that if $55K was rejected, followed by price finding support again at $54K, then this merely confirms a bear flag pattern targeting $50K, and thus the risk/reward for a short-term high leverage long-term has passed imo. No doubt there will be another opportunity, whether at higher prices or lower prices, but price is irrelevant to the risk-reward ratio when trading.
Now price is around the same level, but instead despite finding support from a newly found accumulation zone around $54K, $54.5K has become short-term resistance, as opposed to having breathing room to the upside as was previously the case, while the short-term target would be a measly $55.5K, based on remaining within a bear flag structure. Obviously none of this is relevant to longer-term time-frames, only a short-term speculative trade, it's barely even relevant to mid-term time-frames. But the volume gap between $53K to $50K looks quite releant, especially given a bear flag targeting through it:
Ideally, this is where a bear trap wick can be seen, down to $49K-$50K strong volume support, and likely back upto $53K within a 4hr period. Am now remaining neutral again short-term until the bear flag is invalidated (price breaking above last weeks low of $55.6k), or otherwise $50K is re-tested. This would place the Fear & Greed Index further into the bulls favour, as well as shorts being over-leveraged I imagine.