It ain't over guys...
[Edited Out]
Why are you wanting to come off as a much BIGGER baller than you likely are?
From my understanding of your situation is that you are largely in a BTC accumulation stage, probably for a decent amount of time into the future... maybe 5 more years or perhaps a couple of BTC cycles (which would be 8 years or more).. what is the rush from your perspective for the BTC price going up? You are considering selling and playing the up down roulette?
Surely, there are some folks who are early on in their BTC accumulation stage who are wanting to shave off some profits when the BTC price goes up, but very many people who are new to bitcoin (or early in their accumulation stages) and they are attempting to consider bitcoin investment as a long term play, so in that regard, they tend to be quite nervous for the first several years into bitcoin in terms of NOT really wanting to sell much if any of their BTC, even if they might be in profits of 50% or even 100% or more.. and some people even get worried about selling too much BTC after they are 3-5x or even higher level of profits in BTC because they are continuing to consider themselves in BTC accumulating for a several years (at minimum).... in terms of trying to reach certain goals.. and sure, if a guy/gal might have an investment portfolio of $100k to $500k, s/he might want to try to get to $2 million or more in these times before really starting to feel comfortable or cocky.
By the way someone who might be fairly aggressive about bitcoin and has a $100k to $500k investment in BTC might only have a 10% allocation in bitcoin which is between $10k and $50k - and surely might not be enough to really be considering the BTC allocation to something that they could take for granted... and that is assuming both an aggressive stance such as 10% and also assuming that the investor feels that s/he has reached the 10% allocation levels...
For example, there are a lot of newer investors who might be buying their personal home and buying contributing into a 401k (with employer matching funds) or something like that, and then if their goal is to invest 10% of their income, they might not have much left to invest into bitcoin after making some of those kinds of payments into their 401k and their housing payments.. so even assuming that some younger peeps might be able to feel comfortable assessing their total investment portfolio in the $100k to $500k range, their allocation to bitcoin might still ONLY be a relatively small part of that depending on their other investments or how they might be calculating their other investments. On a personal level, I have never really been feeling very comfortable to assign a very high value to a housing investment or even a business investment because those kinds of investments are not very liquid and there remains a decent amount of uncertainty regarding the extent to which the assessed value is very easy to extract from the property/business.. so maybe even $100k of value might ONLY be reasonably be assessed as $50k or so until you are able to get the cash into your grubby little hands.
So, in the end, one or two cycles seem to be a kind of minimum prudent level before really getting excited to have the BTC price go flying up.. Sure, we cannot really control (or even know for sure) if the BTC price goes flying up either... yet I still have some troubles considering why any newbie BTC accumulator is going to be getting excited about BTC prices going up, unless valuing the BTC in fiat and/or playing around with the trading to attempt to accumulate through trading, which surely is not tend to be as good of an accumulation strategy as just ongoingly buying...
So yeah, for anyone who is going to be o.k. to start shaving off some of their profits and wanting to use some of that money to buy back BTC, then hopefully they have either reached a kind of high level of accumulation already, yet how are they going to know when to shave off or how much to shave off .. well maybe until they start getting closer to their beginning level of fuck you status of a $2 million goal and they can kind of project their fuck you status.. otherwise, it seems that anyone new to bitcoin is not going to be close to fuck you status, unless s/he was already close to fuck you status before getting into bitcoin.
I Do Appreciate your concern J1G, but Damn if you aren't a Helluva Hard to Please gripening old curmudgeon!!!
First you have a lil hissy fit over my calling Downity looking trends and being happy to buy cheap corn. Now you have another little bleeding twat-bitch-fest over my calling an UPpity looking trend and saying "Fuckit, UP we Go!" Never once have I said "Yeah! Let's shoot for the Moon!" But my system is working very well by every metric I have judged it by and accumulation has moved along nicely. I'm better off than I expected to be by this point.
(OpSec - I have never stated what amounts I have invested or how many Sats it has got me) BUT, yes, truth be told another month of meandering through low 30's wouldn't be a bad thing for me. (Is that inconsiderate of me to say?) I'm simply trying to work with the cards as they're dealt. We're currently around 6:30ish EDT and bumping off the remaining $40k supports. Was I really that far off with my expectations?
Now as for my current status, yes I'm still early in my accumulation stage and I expect to be playing this system out for another 10+ years (assuming cycles hold to expectations based on past patterns). But fact of the matter is, every dime I'm spending is Fuck You money, and my Fuck You status has very little to do with money anyway. I have my house paid for and $0.00 debt. I live a fairly modest lifestyle and don't really get much joy out of wasting time or money. I have a gorgeous young wife who's also brilliant and engaging, great friends, a good, challenging career. If my BTC system works out I'll be really stoked to have succeeded in this particular game, but if not, Fuck Me oh well, what game shall I play next?
So as to "wanting to come off as a BIGGER baller" sorry if you got that impression, but my wanting is to try to avoid any situation where I end up discussing the size of my balls on an internet forum.
And as to my system of profit taking and acceleration of accumulation at various points in the proclaimed 4 year cycling, you don't wanna talk about it, but thus far it's worked very well in a fairly flat to dippening market and I'm interested in seeing if it continues to behave as expected in a uppity bullrun kind of situation. So yep, "King Daddy" says time for up, I'm ready, let's go! What are you whining about?
BTW it's now nearly 8:00 and we're still bumping against $39.5k resistances leading up to $40k so I MAY have been a little optimistic this morning but I can still see a $42k midnight finish as a possibility even if not so much a likelihood. (I know, I type slow and get distracted easily)
-Cope