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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 9222. (Read 26714840 times)

legendary
Activity: 2520
Merit: 3038
via Imgflip Meme Generator

Amazing wine ....!!!

*cryptoqueeen found it the best one till now (this evening)

Those tart Rieslings are among the few white wines worth drinking IMO. Nice find Smiley

Next wine scored better points on somekind of calculator my GF looks at some times.... but the one I posted was South African with a nice Dutch word on it......

Was the better scoring wine still white? I know it's just a matter of personal taste, but I can't stand most "elegant" white wines. I'll take a Vinho Verde or a Sauvignon Blanc over Gewürztraminer or even Chablis any day!
sr. member
Activity: 854
Merit: 307
via Imgflip Meme Generator

Amazing wine ....!!!

*cryptoqueeen found it the best one till now (this evening)

If she had only choosen on the name, it was already a winner! (Peace and Lust). Enjoy!
legendary
Activity: 2520
Merit: 3038
That's the spirit, d_eddie!!!!   I was not trying to bust your balls over anything, especially in terms of some of the Opsec issues or even the potential "trade secret" problems that could come from too many "trading disclosures;"

I know. I don't think I'm busting my opsec, and I have no issue with would-be copycats. Firstly, I doubt there are any copycats in this context, and secondly my trading is labor-intensive enough to discourage the average lazy ass.

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yet frequently talking about trading strategies after they have been deployed should be less of a risk of the copy cat problem.. and sure if you want to refer to some kind of practice that you do in kind of an obscure way, that might be understandable too if you are trying to retain it as a kind of possible personal "trade secret" advantage that you believe that you might have.

No issue about the possible edge I could gain through my perfect, infallible personal trade secrets either.

One issue I have is that I try not to "jinx it", so to say. IOW, if a whale sniffing our waters figures my thinking is sound in a given context, and reckons many traders might be aligned with my entry points or moves, they could try and force a few stops just because they can. This is a good reason to be vague enough for the casual hunter not to sniff pray, while entertaining a meaningful conversation with like-minded gentlemen (or scoundrels, or different minded, for that matter).

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By the way, you are quite unlikely to get me attempting to even employ your various strategies,

Your numerous and extensive posts made this point quite clear  Tongue

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even though I frequently sigh some relief (when I read them) that I am NOT attempting to employ them (even if there may be considerable market move times that you could well likely be stacking decently more sats than me).  
Actually, now I manage to act with cool detachment. A little experience helps, of course, but this system has many soft levers, knobs and faders. The positions, as well as the P&L, evolve slowly over time, more so the more the positions are balanced. That's why I have time to think, calculate, project and act rationally rather than on emotion. The quiet satisfaction of bringing home 1% of my play stash, then 2%, then losing 1% and making up for it in the following 2 weeks doesn't compare to the adrenaline rush of a newfound lambo, of course, but it's good enough for me. And when maybe a couple months later I can stash away 10% or even 30%, I'm glad I found a viable "system" (of sorts) that works for me.

legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 13660
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
via Imgflip Meme Generator

Amazing wine ....!!!

*cryptoqueeen found it the best one till now (this evening)

Those tart Rieslings are among the few white wines worth drinking IMO. Nice find Smiley

Next wine scored better points on somekind of calculator my GF looks at some times.... but the one I posted was South African with a nice Dutch word on it......
legendary
Activity: 2520
Merit: 3038
via Imgflip Meme Generator

Amazing wine ....!!!

*cryptoqueeen found it the best one till now (this evening)

Those tart Rieslings are among the few white wines worth drinking IMO. Nice find Smiley
legendary
Activity: 3962
Merit: 11519
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
I am not asserting that you are NOT telling the truth, but it does seem a bit strange for any of us BTC HODLers to NOT attribute a decent amount of significance to the surprising dynamics of the April 1 to June 27 period.
I was trading in that period, but only long positions. Unfortunately I don't have trace of the details. As I said earlier, my shorts only began with the latest bear market in 2018. Originally it was meant as a hedge.


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You know I had been thinking that bitcoin's doubling in late 2015 was quite amazing, and it took place from about October 15 to November 5, but the rise was so goddamned gradual until the decisive break above $320 that brought BTC's prices up to $504 from November 1 to November 4.
Before 2016 I wasn't trading at all.

I know that you are probably starting to suspect that I am either stalking you or becoming a pest, but the relevant period for this particular line of "interrogations" is April 1, 2019 to June 27, 2019.. our most recent exponential BTC price run up.. and clearly you had been in the BTC shorting practice already, after having had gotten a decent amount of experience under your belt during our somewhat deep and painful bearish period of 2018.

Yes, a bit of a pest indeed.  Tongue

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And, also this 2019 BTC price run up would have been a BIG one to actually challenge any ongoing BTC shorting strategy.  That is if you would have kept your BTC shorting strategy as ongoing and it seems like you are saying that you weren't, even though there would not have seemed to have been any reason (except in retrospect) to actually NOT expect a significant and meaningful correction of 30% or more.. which is quite common in BTClandia.. but did not really seem to happen during this 2019 BTC price run up.

You made me take a look at my transfer history. I did well in the 2019 Spring Bull. And yes, in the Spring Bull I've been running all three basic strategies (one at a time), with the one-legged long less frequent than the two-legged balanced, more price agnostic approaches that tickle your curiosity. Maybe the surplus transfers (profit accumulation) were a bit less frequent transfers, OK. In retrospect, I could have done better by simply longing and waiting, hindsight 20/20 and all that. But as long as the bull run has pullbacks (and that one had quite a few IIRC), a bit of short scalping on the side doesn't hurt. More than anything, it's a safety net if things go astray. Otherwise, it's an encumbrance. No free lunch, of course, but knowing how whimsy and wanton she is, I prefer to err on the side of caution.

Caution is the reason most of my shorts have stops before the disaster line. When I'm feeling unsure, and she smells like she's raising her head, I can tighten the stop and let the short go, at a loss. The same goes for the other leg, although I tend to cling to my longs  with more pride. I've been swallowing small losses on both sides recently, including April-June 2019, and I did post about that at the time. Maybe you could go and dig out those posts. That would also help me to reconstruct past history.

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I was just using those older dates of late 2015 as a relative comparison of the magnanimity of this particular 3.5x BTC price rise (with hardly any significant price corrections of 10% or more within that decently extended 3 month period).
Ah, now I see.

I occasionally post "trading disclosures", as I call them. Since I don't have an all-encompassing rule book (and I probably never will), the best way to figure out how things are going is keep an eye on those disclosures.

That's the spirit, d_eddie!!!!   I was not trying to bust your balls over anything, especially in terms of some of the Opsec issues or even the potential "trade secret" problems that could come from too many "trading disclosures;"  however, it seems to be a nice thing to hear some of the particulars regarding how a comparative (and even seeming to be largely sensible) trading strategy is playing out.  

In the real world, we all likely make mistakes here and there, even including our attempts to real world implement our own trading strategies, and yeah, perhaps once in a while we will also become quite lucky or unlucky too, and attempting to learn from that (if possible) is something that I enjoy to share within this thread - to the extent that there is a willing participant, such as yourself... and I surely don't want to encourage anyone to either give up opsec or even to disclose any kinds of trading strategy secrets that might cause too much of a following to such strategy and then screw up the results - yet frequently talking about trading strategies after they have been deployed should be less of a risk of the copy cat problem.. and sure if you want to refer to some kind of practice that you do in kind of an obscure way, that might be understandable too if you are trying to retain it as a kind of possible personal "trade secret" advantage that you believe that you might have.

By the way, you are quite unlikely to get me attempting to even employ your various strategies, even if they might be helpful for me (and others) to attempt to understand.  I appreciate your various attempts and even creativity in explaining them, from time to time, even though I frequently sigh some relief (when I read them) that I am NOT attempting to employ them (even if there may be considerable market move times that you could well likely be stacking decently more sats than me).  
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 13660
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
via Imgflip Meme Generator

Amazing wine ....!!!

*cryptoqueeen found it the best one till now (this evening)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 13660
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
Have to get myself ready for proper F***up time .....

I think it is important to lay down a good "drinking base" by eating a hearty meal first.  In my younger days I found this approach greatly enhanced my stamina when it came to the shots.

These days I have to largely avoid both.  Enjoy it while you can, young Micgoossens.

Thanks for the advice, I do notice the little that I have eat today is making me faster drunk right now....
legendary
Activity: 4354
Merit: 3614
what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?
There are some pretty severe security concerns around Casa Hodl at the moment. 

https://twitter.com/jwweatherman_/status/1182486419580866560?s=21

transmitting seed words in clear text on your local network.. brilliant. all those IoT devices that are security nightmares to the network they are on will love it (well the hackers that took them over will). not to mention compromised PCs.

to isolate stuff as much as possible i wound up creating separate vlans (via a cisco managed switch) for my gear.. household stuff on one, the security camera system on its own with a dedicated nas for backup, and the miners, again with a dedicated nas for their backups.

the security cams are the worst, they all want to go online. thus isolating them (or any other IoT thing) is the 1st thing to do when planning any system that attaches to your network.

legendary
Activity: 3962
Merit: 11519
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
Good news YangGang. Our outspokenly pro Bitcoin/Crypto future President Andrew Yang has regained 3rd place again in Democratic Nomination betting markets.

He was briefly overtaken by Hillary Clinton and put into fourth as she stirred up speculation that she will run again. However Yang has conquered her and Biden and Warren are next on the hit list.

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/3633/Who-will-win-the-2020-Democratic-presidential-nomination

Trumps prospects look dimmer by the day as his own homies Foxnews have released a poll saying 51 percent of Americans back Impeaching and removing him from office. https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-poll-record-support-for-trump-impeachment

Whoever is the Dem nominee will likely be the 46th pres imo and imo that man is Andrew Yang. We can expect the debates to get unprecedented ratings as people realize how vulnerable Trump is. As America turns its gaze towards Yang he will surge in popularity as he exposes the other candidates as too old, too out of touch, or too much of a corporate whore.



The coming six years will be ruff for you.

Inaccurate, these predictions are all in good fun, Ill be enjoying my life regardless of who wins.  Cheesy Its not like I complain about big things in life or even little ones like a few post being deleted.  Wink

hahahahaha   That's hilarious that even Lambie's sometimes seemingly ranting and bullshit posts are not even coming close to the level of Arriemoller's deletions, and I would imagine that Lambie would complain a whole-hell-of-a-lot less than Arriemoller, even if more of his (Lambie's) posts were deleted.  In other words, Arriemoller appears to be a whiny-ass lil bitch.  Probably he should hang out with fatty?  Of course, we already know that Arriemoller has a tendency to hang out (in terms of taking sides) with roach on some of the bullshit right wing rants... so just accept fatty, too.. It might be a soothing experience for you, Arriemoller?  Perhaps?  Perhaps?
sr. member
Activity: 728
Merit: 317
nothing to see here
Your life has been marked as a "Spam Life", a designation given to citizens of chronically low consumption rates.  Please see the Spam Life Warning for more information on spam lives.

Note that continued spamming of the economy or social services may lead to imprisonment or execution.

Okay I understand

This is fucked up and it does not contribute to the public acceptance of bitcoin.
The concept is great, but the ecosystem slowly goes fuckwards, step by step (or: bit by bit).
Feeling angry now.
legendary
Activity: 3388
Merit: 4775
diamond-handed zealot
Your life has been marked as a "Spam Life", a designation given to citizens of chronically low consumption rates.  Please see the Spam Life Warning for more information on spam lives.

Note that continued spamming of the economy or social services may lead to imprisonment or execution.

Okay I understand
hv_
legendary
Activity: 2548
Merit: 1055
Clean Code and Scale
Some more 'low level' infos for those who might get it ( or think of trolling...)

Smart contracts on Bitcoin are here


https://youtu.be/51ZFe_8mSPw

 Wink
hero member
Activity: 1132
Merit: 536
are this spikes normal on BitMEX? stop hunting as its best.


they are absolutely normal, and very little spikes actually

we have seen much more changes in seconds there which had made very longer dogi on charts
so if u wanna be there, you need to play with whales, there is no kids place there
legendary
Activity: 2856
Merit: 1520
Bitcoin Legal Tender Countries: 2 of 206
are this spikes normal on BitMEX? stop hunting as its best I would say.  Roll Eyes

legendary
Activity: 2856
Merit: 1520
Bitcoin Legal Tender Countries: 2 of 206
if you want to trade on BitMEX: they don't like small boys.  Grin



https://testnet.bitmex.com/app/restAPI#Order-Minimum-Size-Limits

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Order Minimum Size Limits

We intentionally set the contract sizes of BitMEX products at low values to encourage traders both large and small to trade on BitMEX. However, some traders abuse this and spam the orderbook or trade feed with many small orders.

Accounts with too many open orders with a gross value less than 0.0025 XBT each will be labeled as a Spam Account.

If you are marked as a Spam Account:

  • Orders below 0.0025 XBT in value will automatically become hidden orders.
  • Hidden orders do not show in the orderbook and always pay the taker fee.
  • Post-Only spam orders will be Rejected instead of being hidden.
  • Too many spam orders may be grounds to temporarily ban an account from trading.
  • Spam Account designations are re-evaluated and lifted automatically every 24 hours if user behavior has changed.
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 2282
Degenerate bull hatter & Bitcoin monotheist
There are some pretty severe security concerns around Casa Hodl at the moment. 

https://twitter.com/jwweatherman_/status/1182486419580866560?s=21
legendary
Activity: 2282
Merit: 1767
Cлaвa Укpaїнi!
Why is that not clickable?
legendary
Activity: 2282
Merit: 1767
Cлaвa Укpaїнi!
The Simpsons precede Greta.


2007 clip  https://youtu.be/epKaBv6ALcI
legendary
Activity: 1722
Merit: 2213
200 Day MA & EMA bear cross confirmed for October 14th by MA & EMA forecasts.
The crossover price is currently forecasted at $8,710 (EMA) and $8,725 (MA).


Here is a close up of the strong resistance from these moving averages, starting to look similar to when the price rallied into the death cross last year:



So, let me get this straight.  You are predicting BTC prices to be going down, while we are in a bull market?  You might be correct in the short term, but you are likely going to need a quite a bit of luck with that in the event that you are putting very much reliance on such negative projections.  AmiNOTrite?

I don't believe we're still in a bull market no, but that's complete subjective to the time-frame. Why do you assume I'm putting such reliance on negative projections? I hodl long-term and accumulate more as the price drops. A short call doesn't necessarily mean I'm going to trade it, and in this case I definitely wouldn't as a bounce is due at anytime to re-test $9K, so clearly way too risky. It's simply what certain indicators and comparisons are telling me. I don't just blindly follow them, that would be ridiculous.

Just because probability is telling me one thing, doesn't mean it will occur, that should be obvious to be honest.
Buy the f**king dip. That better?
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