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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 943. (Read 26713348 times)

hero member
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bitcoin retard
I was thinking about the following hypothetical the other day:

Let's assume that bitcoin goes to 100-300K (let's say, 200K average) this cycle and somewhere along the line you sell a substantial % to invest in property, luxuries, etc ( whichever you choose).
In 10 years afterwards, bitcoin goes to 5 mil, which means that you only "captured" just 4% of the potential value.

How would you feel about it? I guess, it would also depend on the remainder (that you didn't sell), but still.

Personally, I know that years later, I am not particularly fond of my decisions to sell AMZN, AAPL and TSLA early, even though I made very nice gains on them.
Sometimes, I consider these occurancies as my investment follies, but, again, you cannot be 100% efficient.

Of course, it is possible to NEVER sell btc and, basically, put this decision on the shoulders of descendants, but you cannot guarantee that they would be wise about it, right?
At least, I can't.

At some point, I would have to start to spend btc and this point is coming relatively soon.
Alas, to spend even a relatively small amount of btc on things like kitchen remodeling causes a bit of mixed feelings on my part as I contemplate the scenarios described above.
That could be one expensive kitchen 5-10 years down the road.
Withdrawals from IRA are taxable and I put all my stables back into the market during 2023.
I would probably do a mix of "things", but don't want to take on HELOC or anything like this.
Decisions, decisions...


Borrow against your bitcoin, no capital gains tax either. That is how rich people do it I am reading. Now I would not trust some random new startup to facilitate this but fine against IBIT in your brokerage account.

sounds like a not-your-keys-not-your-coins situation to me...



What, you selling your corn including covering for CGT?

Well, I think that's exactly the thing. I have corn, you have an IOU (ETF).

And do you think it's possible to go from real BTC into an ETF without selling BTC first? I suppose you'll have to pay CGT there too right?


That being said I actually might consider risking part of my stash for a never ending credit... as long BTC goes up forever... Laura  Wink


No you don't have bitcoin when you sell it for dollars. And you would have to sell more of it to cover for taxes. Borrowing against your assets is how rich people do it, you do you as with your previous sales of AMZN, AAPL and TSLA.

Since we are into the subject of IOU's you seem to dislike, can you explain what a dollar is?

I think you mistake me for Biodom. I have never sold any "AMZN, AAPL and TSLA"
I even said I'd consider using a small part of my stash to get repeating credit.


But let's play this through...

1)
As you have the credit running (which is lifetime in the "rich" people's game) you'd have to be lifetime in a not-your-keys-not-your-coins situation in order to provide collateral.

2)
The NYKNYC situation even intensifies, because you probably have to over-collateralize because of BTC volatility. For example, to get a 2M$ credit you may need to post 8M$ in BTC or even more. Means when I sell 2M you have 8M in limbo..

3)
We have seen many rug pulls in BTC (collapsing exchanges, lenders etc.). What happens in that case? You have to pay back your credit and worse you have lost x-times the collateral..  in our example, I sold 2M you lost 8M+....

So let's say I'm hesitant. But again, I'd consider a small amount.
 

Basically, I think BTC is built so that you can self custody, and that is what you should do as a private person. It's built as a "number goes up" thing, enough so that you don't have to borrow against it and can live from it by selling bit by bit. Ask Bob.


And you would have to sell more of it to cover for taxes.
again, it's the same when selling BTC for IBIT.

legendary
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legendary
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Hongkong is in the process of launching a Bitcoin-Spot-ETF.

Hongkong was touted in the media last year as the new Crypto-Hub. Now they will probably be the second continent with a Bitcoin-Spot-ETF.
And what about Europe?  ......in 5 Years, maybe..........or........10?

https://cryptorank.io/news/feed/94129-hong-kong-set-to-introduce-bitcoin-etfs
legendary
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BTC + Crossfit, living life.
73k in one hour  Cool

Lets take a closer look this coming hour...
legendary
Activity: 2744
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BTC + Crossfit, living life.
I was thinking about the following hypothetical the other day:

Let's assume that bitcoin goes to 100-300K (let's say, 200K average) this cycle and somewhere along the line you sell a substantial % to invest in property, luxuries, etc ( whichever you choose).
In 10 years afterwards, bitcoin goes to 5 mil, which means that you only "captured" just 4% of the potential value.

How would you feel about it? I guess, it would also depend on the remainder (that you didn't sell), but still.

Personally, I know that years later, I am not particularly fond of my decisions to sell AMZN, AAPL and TSLA early, even though I made very nice gains on them.
Sometimes, I consider these occurancies as my investment follies, but, again, you cannot be 100% efficient.

Of course, it is possible to NEVER sell btc and, basically, put this decision on the shoulders of descendants, but you cannot guarantee that they would be wise about it, right?
At least, I can't.

At some point, I would have to start to spend btc and this point is coming relatively soon.
Alas, to spend even a relatively small amount of btc on things like kitchen remodeling causes a bit of mixed feelings on my part as I contemplate the scenarios described above.
That could be one expensive kitchen 5-10 years down the road.
Withdrawals from IRA are taxable and I put all my stables back into the market during 2023.
I would probably do a mix of "things", but don't want to take on HELOC or anything like this.
Decisions, decisions...

Read/listen to the book 'Die with Zero' - Bill Perkins. Working for money (or in our case, waiting for Bitcoin to go up) is a trade-off against your only real asset your life time.
Memories and experiences you have earlier in your life have greater value than the ones you have later because of the benefits they give after you have had them. Sharing and using, wisdom and memories both have significant value to your overall life happiness. (I think travel experiences often give great returns.).

Think about your grandparents, as you grow older, you will end up wanting less and are happy to stay at home, in fact, health issues mean you probably can't travel easily anymore, and this is when those earlier 'experience' investments in your life reach maturity.  Bizarrely,  living in the moment is an investment in your future. So the earlier you have these experiences the greater the return.
Dying with zero doesn't mean forgetting about looking after dependents or risking running out of money, but it helped me think about getting the correct balance between living in the moment and thinking longer term.

In the case of Bitcoin,  for me it was about setting very ambitious objectives about the things I wanted (property, cars etc, but whatever is reasonable to you with your current BTC holding) , and when Bitcoin was at a sufficient price,  and I would still have at least 50% of my BTC remaining, I pulled the trigger. (actually, my trigger price was $42k, in the last bull cycle, and I part-exited at $55K, and paid all the tax due.)
But I always live by, "Never have no Bitcoin."



Fully understand that.... when younger and more able to do certain things, never only think about the money or the future more value an asset can reach...

if you have a certain amount which will e significant anyway, take some early and keep livig the way you like to. Make great memories, do epic stuff.
Also spening on what is a personal issue. Maybe very strange but some people don't like to travel to much but love gadgets more.... if thats the case certainly np, get some stuffs ... But for me its about the doing things and exploring places nonetheless I like to do them on my terms.
Bitcoin most of all learns us not to be to greedy and start learning what matters as well ofc if hodling all of my previous coins I would have more coins/FIAT value today, but then I wasn't living where I live and didn't see the places I have been to with some of the people I like etc... wouldn't change a lot if I could go back.

BTW long time, good to read you.
legendary
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$120000 in 2024 Confirmed
legendary
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legendary
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Flippin' burgers since 1163.
I was thinking about the following hypothetical the other day:

Let's assume that bitcoin goes to 100-300K (let's say, 200K average) this cycle and somewhere along the line you sell a substantial % to invest in property, luxuries, etc ( whichever you choose).
In 10 years afterwards, bitcoin goes to 5 mil, which means that you only "captured" just 4% of the potential value.

How would you feel about it? I guess, it would also depend on the remainder (that you didn't sell), but still.

Personally, I know that years later, I am not particularly fond of my decisions to sell AMZN, AAPL and TSLA early, even though I made very nice gains on them.
Sometimes, I consider these occurancies as my investment follies, but, again, you cannot be 100% efficient.

Of course, it is possible to NEVER sell btc and, basically, put this decision on the shoulders of descendants, but you cannot guarantee that they would be wise about it, right?
At least, I can't.

At some point, I would have to start to spend btc and this point is coming relatively soon.
Alas, to spend even a relatively small amount of btc on things like kitchen remodeling causes a bit of mixed feelings on my part as I contemplate the scenarios described above.
That could be one expensive kitchen 5-10 years down the road.
Withdrawals from IRA are taxable and I put all my stables back into the market during 2023.
I would probably do a mix of "things", but don't want to take on HELOC or anything like this.
Decisions, decisions...


Borrow against your bitcoin, no capital gains tax either. That is how rich people do it I am reading. Now I would not trust some random new startup to facilitate this but fine against IBIT in your brokerage account.

sounds like a not-your-keys-not-your-coins situation to me...



What, you selling your corn including covering for CGT?

Well, I think that's exactly the thing. I have corn, you have an IOU (ETF).

And do you think it's possible to go from real BTC into an ETF without selling BTC first? I suppose you'll have to pay CGT there too right?


That being said I actually might consider risking part of my stash for a never ending credit... as long BTC goes up forever... Laura  Wink


No you don't have bitcoin when you sell it for dollars. And you would have to sell more of it to cover for taxes. Borrowing against your assets is how rich people do it, you do you.

Since we are into the subject of IOU's you seem to dislike, can you explain what a dollar is?
donator
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Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
lots of 70s look good.

70 has proven very tough to pass. maybe by next week

70s are starting to feel boring. Hard to believe… I wouldn’t be surprised if we made another leg up soon. More and more markets are getting opened up to Bitcoin. There’s such a tidal wave of fiat on the way I wouldn’t be surprised no matter how high the price goes in the coming year. $100K is starting to feel like a conservative estimate.
legendary
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Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
Lol at the headlines. Inflation is .1% above expectations.
And when you sell bitcoin because inflation is higher, you really don't get it.
yep it looks like I will be getting some cheap corn today or tomorrow.

Yeah, and waiting for lower prices might not be very good an idea.  Lower BTC prices are far from guaranteed.

ETFs -> n00bs
n00bs -> weak hands

Gotta shake em out every cycle.

The shaking also goes in the other direction, from time to time there is no more coins to shake... especially when the demand is much higher than the supply.

But yeah, sure, expect prices to drop from here when the have already been consolidating around these prices (by the way in noman's land to boot) for over a month.

Good luck with your expectations of down before up.  You will likely need it.

Bought some today around $68100
With the one day chart,  I plan to start taking taking profits around $73K.

That is pretty dumb.
legendary
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Well, clearly it WILL happen.  Tongue


https://www.reuters.com/technology/grayscale-ceo-sees-bitcoin-etf-outflows-reaching-equilibrium-2024-04-10/

Quote
Outflows from the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC.P), may be reaching an equilibrium after months of investor selling,
Michael Sonnenshein, CEO of crypto asset manager Grayscale Investments, told Reuters on the latest episode of Inside ETFs.



Maybe there is some truth to what Sonnenshein is saying. Worst day for GBTC yesterday, so far.





Last 24 hours of #Bitcoin have been absolute madness

Hot CPI Print - everything dumps
#Bitcoin Catches a Bid
GBTC Stops selling
Everybody Else buying
13F Filings show Banks are buying ETFs
Reuters reports China ETFs about to be approved


SOURCE; https://x.com/thomas_fahrer/status/1778236782875906295
legendary
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legendary
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lots of 70s look good.

70 has proven very tough to pass. maybe by next week
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Fly free sweet Mango.
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