I think you misunderstood me. I don't believe the block reward halving is priced in already..
I did misunderstand you. Thanks for clearing that up.
Topic: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - page 1051. (Read 1811592 times)
I did misunderstand you. Thanks for clearing that up.
It's impossible to have all the information. But they do all have the same information and most will be able to draw the same conclusions.
I agree with the first sentence, but the second is what I am disputing.
The primacy of this event is what I think will cause wildly diverging conclusions.
To add some speculation:
The bull run towards the split has only just begun and I expect some epic trading action from October as the actors begin to fully grok the supply drop.
Game theory doesn't tell you what will happen just what is likely to happen given what is the best strategy out of all the available strategies in the game that is being being played, the players and the available information.
Thanks for that.
I think you misunderstood me. I don't believe the block reward halving is priced in already.. But I do believe it will get priced in before it actually happens.
its the end of the road SELL SELL SELL
Not....yet
no its over, this is the TOP, sell now and you can buy back MUCH MUCH lower
trust me, sell
It's impossible to have all the information. But they do all have the same information and most will be able to draw the same conclusions.
I agree with the first sentence, but the second is what I am disputing.
The primacy of this event is what I think will cause wildly diverging conclusions.
To add some speculation:
The bull run towards the split has only just begun and I expect some epic trading action from October as the actors begin to fully grok the supply drop.
Game theory doesn't tell you what will happen just what is likely to happen given what is the best strategy out of all the available strategies in the game that is being being played, the players and the available information.
Thanks for that.
All of it.
So you think that the price action is fully priced and the actors have all the information to be rational?
I'm skeptical.
It's impossible to have all the information. But they do all have the same information and most will be able to draw the same conclusions.
Well I suggest you study it because it pretty much can explain most of how the world works.
I'm a keen student and will delve deeper, but the notion of "A theory for everything" is not a good sales pitch.
Human history is littered with "theories for everything."
Thanks for the heads up.
Game theory doesn't tell you what will happen just what is likely to happen given what is the best strategy out of all the available strategies in the game that is being being played, the players and the available information.
Bitcoin Watch says:
Bitcoins sent last 24h 29,845,489.11 BTC
Wow!
Bitcoins sent last 24h 29,845,489.11 BTC
Wow!
Interesting - what is that figure usually at?
Bitcoin Watch says:
Bitcoins sent last 24h 29,845,489.11 BTC
Wow!
Bitcoins sent last 24h 29,845,489.11 BTC
Wow!
Interesting - what is that figure usually at?
All of it.
So you think that the price action is fully priced and the actors have all the information to be rational?
I'm skeptical.
Well I suggest you study it because it pretty much can explain most of how the world works.
I'm a keen student and will delve deeper, but the notion of "A theory for everything" is not a good sales pitch.
Human history is littered with "theories for everything."
Thanks for the heads up.
its the end of the road SELL SELL SELL
Not....yet
its the end of the road SELL SELL SELL
Pirate again jumping off a cliff.
What a dumbass lol
What a dumbass lol
Who is going to fall for it? 
Game theory says you are wrong. Study it before you say anything else: http://academicearth.org/courses/game-theory
Which bit is wrong? The price discovery and rational picture?
All of it.
I know a little bit about Game Theory but am not conversant in it.
Well I suggest you study it because it pretty much can explain most of how the world works.
Game theory says you are wrong. Study it before you say anything else: http://academicearth.org/courses/game-theory
Which bit is wrong? The price discovery and rational picture?
I know a little bit about Game Theory but am not conversant in it.
Bitcoin Watch says:
Bitcoins sent last 24h 29,845,489.11 BTC
Wow!
Bitcoins sent last 24h 29,845,489.11 BTC
Wow!
I have absolutely no proof to back this up, but it looks like someone w/ a decent amount of backing is putting up walls to pressure price down, buying @ a reduced rate, removing some of the wall, letting price bounce back up, selling a bit at the higher rate, then throwing down another wall to pressure price back down. Just the impression i get from watching for the past few hours while i stare at my screen at work.
They're investing in bitcoins for little to nothing is what they're doing.
it feels like a dump could happen any moment, but until it does we are moving up.
and when the dump does happen, price will bounce back fast.
i have no clue why... that's just the feeling i get, the market is under extreme pressure both ways and UP is winning hands down.
and when the dump does happen, price will bounce back fast.
i have no clue why... that's just the feeling i get, the market is under extreme pressure both ways and UP is winning hands down.
I have absolutely no proof to back this up, but it looks like someone w/ a decent amount of backing is putting up walls to pressure price down, buying @ a reduced rate, removing some of the wall, letting price bounce back up, selling a bit at the higher rate, then throwing down another wall to pressure price back down. Just the impression i get from watching for the past few hours while i stare at my screen at work.
it feels like a dump could happen any moment, but until it does we are moving up.
and when the dump does happen, price will bounce back fast.
i have no clue why... that's just the feeling i get, the market is under extreme pressure both ways and UP is winning hands down.
and when the dump does happen, price will bounce back fast.
i have no clue why... that's just the feeling i get, the market is under extreme pressure both ways and UP is winning hands down.
$13 tomorrow. It'll at least hit a high of just over $13 tomorrow. I'm like, totally sure!! OMG.
I don't know. Someone is definitely manipulating the ask walls, and pretty effectively judging by the last hour and change.
$13 tomorrow. It'll at least hit a high of just over $13 tomorrow. I'm like, totally sure!! OMG.
looks that way to me too...
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