$50 is not going to happen... The price was stable around $10-$12-$15 back in 2012 before the media took the ball and ran with it.. We then saw two pumps.. One to $250 range, which crashed back down to about $50 and then the infamous willybot pump to $1200.
We've witnessed some major changes since the $10-$15 range (besides the pumps), for example: Major retailer adoption, Major VC investments, ETF's and OTC funds. Obviously these changes must add some value to btc and by my math its good for a gain between 7-10x from the stable pre craziness phase of $10-$15.
I've got buys set from $80- $160 because in my heart of hearts I believe we'll hit that before we can build a new uptrend.
"Major retail adoption" -> no, it's only companies accepting USD through a bitcoin dump out of self promotion. While a lot of merchants and companies "accept bitcoin", nobody is spending them, retail transaction volume with these merchants has totally stalled and is insignificant anyway.
Bitcoiners HODL their coins, don't spend them.
"Major VC investments" --> VC investments are very risky stuff by definition and the majority of them blow up, not a guarantee of anything. VC investments in the bitcoin space are not even that amazing in absolute terms, they just increased from virtually nothing (2012 for example) to something (today)
"ETFs ad OTC funds" -> the winklevoss ETF is taking forever, we never know if it will ever happen. Barry Silbert pink sheet penny stock little fund has not done anything so far, still 0 trades and the bids are a few grand worth, Basically, nobody cares.
Hey troller!
By major retail adoption I was speaking about the large companies who are using BTC as a form of getting paid for their services and goods. And while transactions may be low today it makes me wonder how many people were using the USD in its first 6 years around. I'm sure most "major retailers" were preferring the good ol gold and silver still, and not paying too much attention to the usd which had a major flaw in the beginning due to ease of counterfeiting.
VC investments.. Listen bud.. You can argue all you want but Marc Andreessen is an all star when it comes to the internet.. He built the first major widely used web browser Mosaic before moving on to co-create Netscape. While lots of VC money goes up in smoke i'm still feeling good knowing that such a powerhouse is behind a large portion of the vc funding coming into BTC. And yes while it may only be a few hundred million today that's been invested compared to almost none in 2012, its a great start, and lends more credence to my belief that one day BTC will be a major player out there.
ETF and OTC..... Firstly.. The ETF will be listed.. I dont know how long it should take, but I don't think its unreasonable to think it could take years to get approved. Its been in the process for what seems like almost a year now so I'm sure soon we'll be getting some news. And yes.. The BIT fund has not got any real action yet, but that's to be expected. To be able to sell a share of BIT you must have held it for at least 1 year. That means most of the BIT holders paid over $600 for their BTC held in the fund. Why would they sell the shares at a $300 value? What needs to happen here is either the spot price of BTC needs to move up to to appease the bit share holders or Barry needs to flood his fund with cheap btc to bring the avg cost down which will induce some trading.. He also mentioned somewhere that there is a way to create new shares based on the spot price now and let those shares trade, and I think he's also trying to get the bit fund listed on the NYSE.... Anyway.. Just be patient dude. Ecosystems take time to build, Investor confidence takes tome to grow, bureaucratic red tape is to be expected when applying for an ETF to be listed on the NASDAQ.