In our latest run up, we have hardly had any meaningful corrections since October 2023.. and largely maybe we can go all the way back to November 2022 and suggest that there have ONLY been a few corrections since then that were greater than 20%... do a lot of people who have been waiting to get into bitcoin since November 2022 and maybe even earlier than that, and the right thing would have probably been to just jump in and do what you can.. and build your bitcoin holdings... which likely could take a newbie 10 years or longer to build up a bitcoin holdings.. so surely it is better to get started than either to wait or to continue to whine about how it is supposedly too late for you while BTC prices continues to go up and you continue to remain a whining no coiner who fails/refuses to act and just continues to say it is too late, when that is truly not true... and it is still not too late, but I imagine that we will find you 5 years from now still whining that you haven't bought any coins yet..
I'm still seeing many people out there waiting for Bitcoin's correction to start buying. Before Bitcoin broke its ATH, many people thought that Bitcoin would definitely have a big correction before the halving by referring to past data (including me
), and almost missed a major growth spurt of Bitcoin. It seems that things are changing in this cycle as the growth period seems to be much shorter than the cycles before Bitcoin EFT was approved. The large amount of money from funds and the dwindling number of Bitcoins circulating in the market have made Bitcoin prices move extremely unpredictable. My previous predictions were wrong, and I corrected them by allocating all my remaining capital to buy Bitcoin at 68k USD instead of waiting in vain. Not too bad for the crazy growth cycle ahead, right?
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I don't have any problem with lump sum investing and/or front-loading your investment into BTC out of anticipation of further up, yet I have always had money available for buying dips, and maybe especially true during times that you are still building your BTC stash.
So of course the three techniques for accumulating BTC are lump sum, DCA and buying on dips, so if you front load with a lump sum at $68k-ish, then I think it would be good to still be able to DCA and/or to buy on dips.. even though of course, I agree with you that our current times are actually feeling quite bullish, which includes that it may end up being the case that BTC prices go up yet they do not come back down and correct below current prices (including but not limited to $68k)..
How much to hold back for buying on dips (or how much you have for DCA'ing) will be within your own determination, and yeah, if you already made your lump sum buy, then surely you can ride it out better if you are prepared for either price direction... both psychologically and financially.