Just out of curiosity, are you an independent bitcoin miner?
I used to dabble a bit with mining and the surrounding ecosystem. Would probably mine if I had a house instead of being a city dweller though.
In summary, I just think what other coins are offering the newcomers in terms of mining is far more beneficial than bitcoin in its current state.
Agreed.
On the other hand it gives me comfort that BTC has only few alts to compete with regarding hashrate. Especially the BCH / BTC hashrate oscillations showed the negative effects of hashrate competition on network stability.
I think we are looking at it from different angles. You seem very knowledgeable on the technical side and I totally agree with what you're saying there. I guess for me, It's like most investments in that I am looking at it from a consumer facing perspective. I feel as though it will be whichever coin is the most attractive to consumers will take off.
Which is why I expect the most important factor to be transaction throughput, since people want cheap and fast transactions.
You can always put a fancy user interface on top afterwards. Bad technology with a fancy user interface is still bad technology. Anyone who used Kraken lately should know. (I kid, I kid! Kraken is still a solid exchange regardless of performance issues!)
Store of value comes in a close second. However I assume that Bitcoin's viability as a payment network is of great importance for Bitcoin's role as store of value, which brings us back to transaction throughput as mentioned above.
Bitcoin competes with gold on the store of value side and with credit cards -- or at least PayPal -- on the payment side. Combine both and we got ourselves a winner.
Just think, Myspace came before Facebook, and Yahoo before google. But who is sitting on top of the market right now? Motorolla were the pioneers of the mobile phone which was one of the biggest inventions to hit the world, yet kids these day' wouldn't have a clue who Motorolla is because they have been virtually sweeped to the side for newer improved versions.
The argument goes both ways:
AMD came before Intel.
Ebay came before Amazon.
Microsoft came before Apple. Wait. Nevermind. You get the point.
Given enough foothold, even deprecated technology -- whenever Bitcoin reaches that state -- can stick around amazingly long. Just look at IPv4 vs IPv6. A struggle that has been going on for decades, yet IPv4 still prevails. The network effect at play, quite literally.
I know crypto is a new world, so nobody knows, but I think it would be naïve to think that bitcoin will remain at the top just because they were the pioneers. Especially when all the other coins are aiming to solve the btc problems.
I fully agree with you.
On a personal level I agree with you on the decetrilisation part too. But look at the popularity of the centralised coins. They are booming and it's because of the consumer facing perspective. Most people are seeing that centralisation is the only way for digital currency to fully evolve. I think there is some truth to that argument too, that's why I am a fan of NEO. They have the motto that, Government's are not going away whether we like or not, so it's best to work with them on some level.
That's what worries me. Most people don't care about decentralization and trustlessness. Dismiss both principles and you can scale to your heart's content.
Not sure if a tokenized version of PayPal makes for a compelling value proposition to the average consumer though.
To some extend decentralization is just an ideal. But it's why I'm invested in crypto in the first place, otherwise I would have just continued lamenting PayPal.