Hi Bitcoiners,
At some point in the not too distant future, the government of the United States will figure out that Bitcoin is a very high risk to its Hedgmony. (See
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hegemony, Alan Greenspan loved this word.) The United States will make cryto-currency illegal because it will threaten the government's form of money (Federal Reserve Notes). Something similar happened on April 5, 1933 with Executive Order 6102. (See
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Executive_Order_6102). History tends to repeat itself.
Those who disobey the upcoming Executive Order or new law will learn what truly backs a Federal Reserve Note, that is,
the force of its military and growing internal police state.
What is the solution to prevent the United States government from implementing such an action against cryto-currency?
I gotta admit that I wear the same tinfoil hat as you seem to, and in the security work I've done, I've kind of trained myself to assume the worst case scenarios.
Although it does not seem to be the consensus...at least on bitcointalk.org...I personally doubt that the policy makers in our government are stupid. They may have been and still be a bit ignorant about distributed crypto-currencies, but then again, so is everyone at this point.
I strongly suspect that the decisions about if/how/when to crack down on Bitcoin will be made with a decent amount of care in predicting the likely outcomes. If a course of action is counter-productive (e.g., it chases the solution underground where it is more difficult to monitor) then it probably won't be taken. A similar example would be to fragment things into a myriad of similar but smaller solutions.
This leads me to be strongly of the opinion that a durable distributed crypto-currency should do everything in it's power to retain a position of strength. This means to actively develop around attack vectors which are not currently presented. A sub-set of this is to remain jelously 'peer2peer' and to actively foster similar, and even 'competing' systems such that it would be less likely to successfully attack at one point.
If Bitcoin is on a trajectory which will make it easier to attack as time goes by, the wise course of action from the point of view of an attacker would be to sit on his hands. Similarly, if there are 'upsides' (e.g., participant identification / honeypot effect) it also may make sense to bid one's time. I would not rule out the possibility that both of these things are a factor right now.
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Oh ya, that reminds me...I still have an open question for the Bitcoin Foundation:
- What will you do if the regulators 'just say no' no matter how unfair/unjust/wrong it may be?
There are legitimate reasons to keep the answer something of a secret, but I think that the benefit of openness here will be cause more good than harm and is something which is worthwhile for the community to know.