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Topic: Which is your strategy on dice sites? - page 4. (Read 23131 times)

hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
Martingale is bad idea
Better bet whole balance 3 times with 1.1x multiplier Grin

Sure that sounds safe.



LMAO, to sandy, when you bet, you had better not ALLIN the money, it's possible you lose all within 3 bets, although 1.1X is very low.

Gamble principle:

1. don't all-in
2. don't gamble the money you can't lose.

So you see 7000BTC rich man, he lost all of his money with a very safe bet - 96% winning chance..  Cheesy
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
Martingale is bad idea
Better bet whole balance 3 times with 1.1x multiplier Grin

Sure that sounds safe.


betting all in is always a bad idea it does not mater on what rate. just bet the amount you can afford to loose
copper member
Activity: 1498
Merit: 1528
No I dont escrow anymore.
Martingale is bad idea
Better bet whole balance 3 times with 1.1x multiplier Grin

Sure that sounds safe.

member
Activity: 107
Merit: 10
Martingale is bad idea
Better bet whole balance 3 times with 1.1x multiplier Grin
legendary
Activity: 2394
Merit: 1131
not sure coz everytime i change my odds , it depends on the numbers that come out before I make a bet, but mostly I use 70% above

how many red streaks you can have using 70% chance??

using 70% chance good on risk:reward ratio? because what i know is martingale only wok on 47-50% chance its like coin flip..
no , im not use martingale with high %, martingale is shit method.. i just waiting a good time for hit with 10% from balance n back to basebet

can you explain more cleary about "best time" for hit with 10% from balance? ty
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1006
Black Panther
April 25, 2015, 10:27:00 AM
It's all luck.

I remember building 1 btc into over 4 on satoshidice, oy to squander them all by hoping to repeat that string of luck.

Because that Luck , I prefer rolling with low chance since I'm always got bust when I use 1,1x multiplier. With a low chance, I might win big like Hui (PD) for example. But recently I'm never seen Hui win against 9900x multiplier again...
sr. member
Activity: 266
Merit: 250
support.
April 25, 2015, 10:03:11 AM
Which is your strategy?? Let's share it  Grin

My personal strategy is:

Payout: 1.20/1.25x
On lose: 900%

Base bet 50 and stop session profit at 0.01!

I'm curios to know yours Smiley

Maybe it's the best strategy if you never tell your strategy.

So why should i believe your strategey?
Maybe you has created this thread only to find out how all the other player handle this?
 Grin
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 500
April 22, 2015, 09:33:20 PM
It's all luck.

I remember building 1 btc into over 4 on satoshidice, oy to squander them all by hoping to repeat that string of luck.
legendary
Activity: 905
Merit: 1000
April 22, 2015, 09:18:59 PM
I tried every dice strategy I could find, but eventually had to face the truth.  My best bet was playing against other players, and not against the house.  I realized that I needed to develop my poker skills.  I still gamble a lot, but now it is when I have an advantage against another player, not when the house has one against me.  It feels much better.  If another player is better than I am, I generally avoid playing against him unless I have a deceptive hand.
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 250
be your self
April 22, 2015, 08:41:50 PM
not sure coz everytime i change my odds , it depends on the numbers that come out before I make a bet, but mostly I use 70% above

how many red streaks you can have using 70% chance??

using 70% chance good on risk:reward ratio? because what i know is martingale only wok on 47-50% chance its like coin flip..
no , im not use martingale with high %, martingale is shit method.. i just waiting a good time for hit with 10% from balance n back to basebet
legendary
Activity: 896
Merit: 1000
April 22, 2015, 06:47:56 PM
unfortunately a lot of different strategies I've tried playing in a casino is only giving me a loss... I have nothing to tell you except simple truth - the casino wins only one person... is the owner of the casino  Sad
copper member
Activity: 1498
Merit: 1528
No I dont escrow anymore.
April 22, 2015, 03:35:10 PM
My dice strategy

Odd:3x
Increase on loss:80%
Start:at 4 satoshi
Bankroll at least:0.1 btc

random https://mega.co.nz/#!SkwCAIQK!d-TVuwN-adiw09vTOfgGkRgBrsUZ6zh1h9Kq2bo4pVs
hashes  https://mega.co.nz/#!K853ETyL!oD2ASRLleL-3HqQ0kL7HJqe-uwHkVE132sN7wVJu9E0

Mine is 47& chance, 2x on loss, basebet of 300 satoshi with atleast .1btc bankroll

random https://mega.co.nz/#!GoYCxZQB!fK3Xz2xUy4ddtQw_Y0ru_DOasDB7ciuRMJ5Q13uedGQ
hashes  https://mega.co.nz/#!zthCUapQ!iXbPTv0dZkoJEL_Ad8_B9D8RIJLJW8zoF3mjKesL5Xo

Make sure you copy the whole link, mega is strange in that regard.

I did run both 20,000 times, because they finished quite fast (~10 minutes per 10,000 simulations). Mainly because neither system actually makes the 109 rolls.


Edit: adding versions that are working with hashes instead of random numbers generated by the OS.
full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 100
April 22, 2015, 09:11:51 AM
Mine is 47& chance, 2x on loss, basebet of 300 satoshi with atleast .1btc bankroll
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
April 22, 2015, 08:53:08 AM
My dice strategy

Odd:3x
Increase on loss:80%
Start:at 4 satoshi
Bankroll at least:0.1 btc
copper member
Activity: 1498
Merit: 1528
No I dont escrow anymore.
April 22, 2015, 07:49:04 AM
not sure coz everytime i change my odds , it depends on the numbers that come out before I make a bet, but mostly I use 70% above

how many red streaks you can have using 70% chance??

using 70% chance good on risk:reward ratio? because what i know is martingale only wok on 47-50% chance its like coin flip..

If you give me "botable" values for a 70% win chance I can run a few simulations for you. I need values like below:

Code:
$prefix = "martingale22"
$numer_of_rolls_do_make = 10**9
$chance_to_win = 4950 # assumes lowest possible = 0000 and higest possible = 9999
$bankroll = 1*2**22 # how much satoshi do you start with
$basebet = 1 # in satoshi
$multiplier = 2 # if won
$increase_bet = 1.0 # percent to increase the bet, set 0 for flatbet; 1.0 for 100%

I typically run 10k simulations with up to 106 or 109 rolls each. Per simulation I store how many rolls have been made (number will be below the max if you bust), the overall profit (might still be positive in some cases even after a bust), number of rolls won, number of rolls lost, biggest streak (positive or negative number, depending on win/lost streak). The output is a .csv file.
hero member
Activity: 602
Merit: 500
April 22, 2015, 07:16:56 AM
not sure coz everytime i change my odds , it depends on the numbers that come out before I make a bet, but mostly I use 70% above

how many red streaks you can have using 70% chance??

using 70% chance good on risk:reward ratio? because what i know is martingale only wok on 47-50% chance its like coin flip..
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 250
be your self
April 22, 2015, 06:12:33 AM
not sure coz everytime i change my odds , it depends on the numbers that come out before I make a bet, but mostly I use 70% above
legendary
Activity: 1876
Merit: 1005
April 22, 2015, 04:46:35 AM
You can not apply same strategy on every dice site. I play with 50% chance with variable betting strategy what I want to say is I change little bit according to situation. I am not in loss at all. Last day I turned free bonus of 1mbtc into 16mbtc and took withdraw.Although the sum is not much but something is better than nothing.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
April 22, 2015, 04:36:52 AM
well people i notice that a 47% chance to double gets in martin gale like only 42% of double its very risky i woul not use constantly marin gale
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1000
April 07, 2015, 04:29:22 AM
Wow i fine the new strategy Smiley
Màrtingale in 33%chances and from small base bet Smiley

try martingale on 75% chance Smiley

Martingale would fail in both cases . It will lead to a bad streak in both, at 33% you will probably hit a streak of 50, and with 75% chance to win, you will still be hitting over 18 over long term. And since you multiply bets exponentially like 3x in 75%, you will be reaching the max bet very soon.
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