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Topic: Which is your strategy on dice sites? - page 5. (Read 23116 times)

sr. member
Activity: 392
Merit: 250
April 07, 2015, 03:30:35 AM
Wow i fine the new strategy Smiley
Màrtingale in 33%chances and from small base bet Smiley
MArtingale with small or big will eventually fail at the end. At one point you will have a streak big enough that your bankroll won't be able to cover the bet.
legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 1081
#SWGT CERTIK Audited
April 07, 2015, 03:22:39 AM
I have been using a different strategy lately. Its sort of similar to martingale but very different. I did a simulation of dice by betting at 93%, and the maximum losses I have ever got in a row at 8, with 8 being only once and mostly 7. So I have been running a bot by betting 0 satoshi or lowest amount, and wait for such a streak. And after 7 losses, I bet around 1 BTC at the odds.

I know it sounds like gamblers fallacy, but since the maximum losses in a row have been 7 or 8, I don't mind risking it on the stats I have got before. I started about a week back and have made the bet of 1 BTC 3 times till now. So its been going good till now.
huh, you sure? I just wonder how long it took till eventually you find that 8x lose in a row

I am more like banking on the fact that if I do get that 8th loss, I have the bankroll for the 9th, and I won't be afraid to put that bet in. But hasn't happened till now, so fine with it.
sr. member
Activity: 490
Merit: 250
April 07, 2015, 03:01:06 AM
Wow i fine the new strategy Smiley
Màrtingale in 33%chances and from small base bet Smiley

Does anyone can create a table to performe a confrontation with the different percentages?
hero member
Activity: 688
Merit: 506
CryptoCurrency Evangelist
April 07, 2015, 02:21:06 AM
My strategy is to win big and then to run away.
newbie
Activity: 51
Merit: 0
April 07, 2015, 01:04:23 AM
Wow i fine the new strategy Smiley
Màrtingale in 33%chances and from small base bet Smiley

try martingale on 75% chance Smiley
sed
hero member
Activity: 532
Merit: 500
April 07, 2015, 12:45:53 AM
I'm thinking that nowadays my strategy is to stay away from dice sites.  I've lost too much money gambling and now I'm embarrassed. Well not so much that I'm in trouble but I'm starting to think harder about how and where I spend my BTC.
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
April 06, 2015, 11:58:11 PM
Wow i fine the new strategy Smiley
Màrtingale in 33%chances and from small base bet Smiley
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 250
be your self
April 06, 2015, 09:22:48 PM
I have been using a different strategy lately. Its sort of similar to martingale but very different. I did a simulation of dice by betting at 93%, and the maximum losses I have ever got in a row at 8, with 8 being only once and mostly 7. So I have been running a bot by betting 0 satoshi or lowest amount, and wait for such a streak. And after 7 losses, I bet around 1 BTC at the odds.

I know it sounds like gamblers fallacy, but since the maximum losses in a row have been 7 or 8, I don't mind risking it on the stats I have got before. I started about a week back and have made the bet of 1 BTC 3 times till now. So its been going good till now.
huh, you sure? I just wonder how long it took till eventually you find that 8x lose in a row
legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 1081
#SWGT CERTIK Audited
April 06, 2015, 03:14:45 PM

Forgive me my nitpicking, but how is this strategy similar to martingale but very different at the same time? That beats me, it seems that it has nothing to do with martingale. Though never mind. So you are risking 1 BTC with a 93% chance to win how much exactly?
Well in martingale I would usually double or multiply my bets after loss, and heavily rely on gambler's fallacy. its the same here, except for that I am not making the middle bets. But am betting exponentially higher.



The rolls are independent to each other, so the previous rolls should not affect the future rolls. Given the fact that you have 7 losses now, the chance of having another loss is the same as ever.


Yes they are. But in the simulation I have never got more than 8 rolls ever. Even though it has the same probability but to satisfy the trend or statistics, it hopefully should never happen. THe probability of 7 losses is already very low. 9 in a row is almost 0. But anyways, I have never had a loss, so I am not sure of it , I might be wrong, but it has worked till now.
copper member
Activity: 1498
Merit: 1528
No I dont escrow anymore.
April 06, 2015, 02:41:00 PM
I have been using a different strategy lately. Its sort of similar to martingale but very different. I did a simulation of dice by betting at 93%, and the maximum losses I have ever got in a row at 8, with 8 being only once and mostly 7. So I have been running a bot by betting 0 satoshi or lowest amount, and wait for such a streak. And after 7 losses, I bet around 1 BTC at the odds.

I know it sounds like gamblers fallacy, but since the maximum losses in a row have been 7 or 8, I don't mind risking it on the stats I have got before. I started about a week back and have made the bet of 1 BTC 3 times till now. So its been going good till now.

Forgive me my nitpicking, but how is this strategy similar to martingale but very different at the same time? That beats me, it seems that it has nothing to do with martingale. Though never mind. So you are risking 1 BTC with a 93% chance to win how much exactly?

93% would typically be ~*1.02 or ~0.02 BTC with 1 BTC bets.
legendary
Activity: 3514
Merit: 1280
English ⬄ Russian Translation Services
April 06, 2015, 02:33:58 PM
I have been using a different strategy lately. Its sort of similar to martingale but very different. I did a simulation of dice by betting at 93%, and the maximum losses I have ever got in a row at 8, with 8 being only once and mostly 7. So I have been running a bot by betting 0 satoshi or lowest amount, and wait for such a streak. And after 7 losses, I bet around 1 BTC at the odds.

I know it sounds like gamblers fallacy, but since the maximum losses in a row have been 7 or 8, I don't mind risking it on the stats I have got before. I started about a week back and have made the bet of 1 BTC 3 times till now. So its been going good till now.

Forgive me my nitpicking, but how is this strategy similar to martingale but very different at the same time? That beats me, it seems that it has nothing to do with martingale. Though never mind. So you are risking 1 BTC with a 93% chance to win how much exactly?
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1000
April 06, 2015, 02:22:10 PM
I have been using a different strategy lately. Its sort of similar to martingale but very different. I did a simulation of dice by betting at 93%, and the maximum losses I have ever got in a row at 8, with 8 being only once and mostly 7. So I have been running a bot by betting 0 satoshi or lowest amount, and wait for such a streak. And after 7 losses, I bet around 1 BTC at the odds.

I know it sounds like gamblers fallacy, but since the maximum losses in a row have been 7 or 8, I don't mind risking it on the stats I have got before. I started about a week back and have made the bet of 1 BTC 3 times till now. So its been going good till now.

This method takes too long and they would be instances when you would lose more than 15 times in a row.
Your capital would still be wiped out.

I doubt I have ever heard of 15 losses at 90%. Max I have heard is 7. But casinos won't allow him to make bets fast like Twipple said, and it would be a very slow thing.
legendary
Activity: 966
Merit: 1001
April 06, 2015, 11:59:42 AM
I have been using a different strategy lately. Its sort of similar to martingale but very different. I did a simulation of dice by betting at 93%, and the maximum losses I have ever got in a row at 8, with 8 being only once and mostly 7. So I have been running a bot by betting 0 satoshi or lowest amount, and wait for such a streak. And after 7 losses, I bet around 1 BTC at the odds.

I know it sounds like gamblers fallacy, but since the maximum losses in a row have been 7 or 8, I don't mind risking it on the stats I have got before. I started about a week back and have made the bet of 1 BTC 3 times till now. So its been going good till now.
in my opinion its better to use martingale in such situation than betting all in after a few lossess

The rolls are independent to each other, so the previous rolls should not affect the future rolls. Given the fact that you have 7 losses now, the chance of having another loss is the same as ever.
legendary
Activity: 3808
Merit: 1723
April 06, 2015, 11:46:14 AM
A strategy that seems to work for me is:

1% Odds
0.5% of Inventory per Roll

100 rolls without win = x2
Recalculate and revert to 0.5% afterwards.

But according to this if you roll 200 times without a win, which is pretty possible you end up with a 0% bankroll if you bet 0.5%. You can bet less but it would take forever and a lot of luck to actually win something.
sr. member
Activity: 420
Merit: 250
April 06, 2015, 11:31:03 AM
A strategy that seems to work for me is:

1% Odds
0.5% of Inventory per Roll

100 rolls without win = x2
Recalculate and revert to 0.5% afterwards.
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
April 06, 2015, 11:28:21 AM
I have been using a different strategy lately. Its sort of similar to martingale but very different. I did a simulation of dice by betting at 93%, and the maximum losses I have ever got in a row at 8, with 8 being only once and mostly 7. So I have been running a bot by betting 0 satoshi or lowest amount, and wait for such a streak. And after 7 losses, I bet around 1 BTC at the odds.

I know it sounds like gamblers fallacy, but since the maximum losses in a row have been 7 or 8, I don't mind risking it on the stats I have got before. I started about a week back and have made the bet of 1 BTC 3 times till now. So its been going good till now.
in my opinion its better to use martingale in such situation than betting all in after a few lossess
legendary
Activity: 1344
Merit: 1000
April 06, 2015, 10:54:05 AM
I have been using a different strategy lately. Its sort of similar to martingale but very different. I did a simulation of dice by betting at 93%, and the maximum losses I have ever got in a row at 8, with 8 being only once and mostly 7. So I have been running a bot by betting 0 satoshi or lowest amount, and wait for such a streak. And after 7 losses, I bet around 1 BTC at the odds.

I know it sounds like gamblers fallacy, but since the maximum losses in a row have been 7 or 8, I don't mind risking it on the stats I have got before. I started about a week back and have made the bet of 1 BTC 3 times till now. So its been going good till now.

This method takes too long and they would be instances when you would lose more than 15 times in a row.
Your capital would still be wiped out.
hero member
Activity: 630
Merit: 500
April 06, 2015, 09:35:47 AM
I have no strategy, I would rather say it's about luck, so I always bet at 50% with a small amount, lose or win, simple.
sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
April 06, 2015, 09:27:36 AM
I have been using a different strategy lately. Its sort of similar to martingale but very different. I did a simulation of dice by betting at 93%, and the maximum losses I have ever got in a row at 8, with 8 being only once and mostly 7. So I have been running a bot by betting 0 satoshi or lowest amount, and wait for such a streak. And after 7 losses, I bet around 1 BTC at the odds.

I know it sounds like gamblers fallacy, but since the maximum losses in a row have been 7 or 8, I don't mind risking it on the stats I have got before. I started about a week back and have made the bet of 1 BTC 3 times till now. So its been going good till now.

I don't think casinos allow you to make 0 value bets, and even if they do they slow down the betting speed, specially for that purpose. So if you say you get one streak like in a million then you might just consume that much in electricity to make a million bets.

Unless you can bet like 1000 BTC to cover it up. But even then you might just lose it all.
legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 1081
#SWGT CERTIK Audited
April 06, 2015, 09:11:01 AM
I have been using a different strategy lately. Its sort of similar to martingale but very different. I did a simulation of dice by betting at 93%, and the maximum losses I have ever got in a row at 8, with 8 being only once and mostly 7. So I have been running a bot by betting 0 satoshi or lowest amount, and wait for such a streak. And after 7 losses, I bet around 1 BTC at the odds.

I know it sounds like gamblers fallacy, but since the maximum losses in a row have been 7 or 8, I don't mind risking it on the stats I have got before. I started about a week back and have made the bet of 1 BTC 3 times till now. So its been going good till now.
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