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Topic: Why does it keep falling ? - page 4. (Read 9426 times)

full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 100
July 01, 2011, 08:25:45 AM
#24
Proof:



Sorry I'm old. The only thing that image proves to me is that you know how to use the Resize tool.
full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 100
July 01, 2011, 08:23:37 AM
#23
I didn't say anything about selling for $17/BTC...I sold all my coins for $16.1/BTC and I still think it's way overvalued.

Well, I should say thanks then... I bought a couple of those.
full member
Activity: 184
Merit: 100
July 01, 2011, 08:23:08 AM
#22
Great Post .. from mining economy to transaction economy ....

I just asked the same question several days ago here

http://forum.bitcoin.org/index.php?topic=24854.0

the question is .. will it survive ?

As for mining economy:

* Huge mining bounty.
* Huge mining community.
* Huge overall network security.
* Tiny neglect-able transaction fees.

BUT, for transaction economy:
* Will the transaction fees stay low enough to continue using this commodity as a sub-dollar Hawala medium ?

If yes then huge miners will cash-out leaving the system vulnerable to attacks can be made by them or any hacker network that can offer to utilize couple mining pools that we have right now.

If NO then the system will be less-business attractive with: no advantage in lower transaction fees, questionable anonymity, less security backed up by smaller mining community, delayed transactions, volatile sub-hour pricing .. etc.


* Will the mining community continue to be this large providing this amazing network safety ?


I am a BTC man ... and these questions to know more or to pin point near less-than-a-year issues.
full member
Activity: 168
Merit: 100
July 01, 2011, 08:14:33 AM
#21
also the price fell like a dollar

a few weeks ago it would go up and down a dollar every hour or so
full member
Activity: 168
Merit: 100
July 01, 2011, 08:13:12 AM
#20
Seems a whole lot of people are unwilling to wait until the program progresses beyond beta.  Which is fine if you're in to make a quick buck.

This is not to say the price won't plummet or anything, but lets see what happens once there are apps/vendors in place that make using BTC easy and simple. Even if BTC stagnates I think it'll be here for awhile.  
member
Activity: 126
Merit: 60
July 01, 2011, 08:11:03 AM
#19
Hopefully, we are a part of history in the making...

Tell your grand kids about "When I was young, a single bitcoin could only buy you a couple of gallons of milk.  Now a single bitcoin can buy you a small country."

get real.  This pipe dreaam is why BTC is going down,  idiot speculators are holding the coins......who will be greater fool?  heres a hint it begins with an N.
youre holding the bag.

Regardless of speculation, I've invested nothing but my gaming time and have grown from 100 Mh/s to 1500 Mh/s with no out of pocket money.
I have some very decent capital that has resale value.  Even if the market crashes to nothing, the equipment will retain some of its value.

I'm a firm believer that value is only between two people at a particular moment in time.  
I haven't held any coins for longer than a couple of weeks.  I've made a steady income (even during the crash) from mining and will continue to do so as long as others are willing to buy at the moment I'm willing to sell.

A fool and his money are easily departed.  I look back and say "what money"...  
full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 100
July 01, 2011, 07:51:34 AM
#18
Personally I'm getting out now while there is still a decent profit on it. The bubble is bursting.

After the crash people thought they were buying in low and that kept it at it's price, now it's dropping to it's real value. It would be stupid to pretend to know what the real value is, but it's certainly not $17.

You're selling yours for $17 each.
You're telling people they're not worth $17 each.

Nice marketing Smiley
newbie
Activity: 56
Merit: 0
July 01, 2011, 07:51:03 AM
#17
Hopefully, we are a part of history in the making...

Tell your grand kids about "When I was young, a single bitcoin could only buy you a couple of gallons of milk.  Now a single bitcoin can buy you a small country."

get real.  This pipe dreaam is why BTC is going down,  idiot speculators are holding the coins......who will be greater fool?  heres a hint it begins with an N.
youre holding the bag.
member
Activity: 126
Merit: 60
July 01, 2011, 07:14:18 AM
#16
Hopefully, we are a part of history in the making...

Tell your grand kids about "When I was young, a single bitcoin could only buy you a couple of gallons of milk.  Now a single bitcoin can buy you a small country."
Jan
legendary
Activity: 1043
Merit: 1002
July 01, 2011, 06:59:18 AM
#15
For the last two weeks every larger fall in value has been followed by an equivalent rise in value after it, only a bit slower (taking hours instead of minutes). I figured it was boomerang-like with a reasonable chance, and therefore safe to invest in.
Now the bitcoin has fallen from ~17 to about ~16.5 and it looks like it's slowly falling further instead of rising ? What do you figure is going on and why, and when will it be back to 17+ ? And should those who have BTC sell out in expectance of an even greater fall or wait for it to rise ?

If I were the holder of many a bitcoin and I wanted to turn a significant portion into USD, I would not sell everything in one big splash, as this would significantly lower the prices. Instead I would use Dark Pools, where my order doesn't show up, and I would only sell a little at a time. This makes room for other ppl to buy while I am selling, leaving the price at status quo. If several entities are doing this move at the same time we see a slow decline in value.

I could imagine that this is what is happening right now. This is a fair thing and a natural phenomenon in an open market, especially after what we have experienced over the last few weeks. Over time this will evaporate, and we can continue 'normal' business.

My personal hope is that BTC stabilizes at some level and has a slow growth over time. Be it 5$, 10$ or 20$ a coin, I don't care. What is important is stability so we can get merchants and 'normal' people into bitcoin.

My own investment in BTC is about 200$ at 20$ a coin, and some mining. I am here in the hope of being part of the revolution of online payment.

legendary
Activity: 1106
Merit: 1007
Hide your women
July 01, 2011, 06:54:56 AM
#14
I don't know why it's falling, but I'm glad it's falling. Bitcoin needs to be in the hands of people who think long term. The get rich quick crowd will not be missed.
hero member
Activity: 630
Merit: 500
Posts: 69
July 01, 2011, 06:44:41 AM
#13
Why should that matter? Rate of new coins is constant whether 1 miner or 1 million.
The value of them is not constant when created and used in uneven ways.   So I guess then, same amount of miners, but 'slow down' ?
full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100
July 01, 2011, 06:38:17 AM
#12
SELL SELL SELL
If you don't stop with that shit, the only thing you will BUY is new teeth!
legendary
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1023
Democracy is the original 51% attack
July 01, 2011, 06:33:38 AM
#11
coupled with the fact that there simply does seem to be too many people mining.  

Why should that matter? Rate of new coins is constant whether 1 miner or 1 million.
zby
legendary
Activity: 1594
Merit: 1001
July 01, 2011, 06:13:32 AM
#10
One hypothesis - all the buy orders since Monday (on MtGox - after all it is still setting the price) were mostly from guys that had the money there from previous sells, they wanted to buy cheaply after the crush, but there were so many of them that the price quickly got back to basically the same level as it was before the crash, and so they did not want to buy any more.  There were in particular a few very big buy orders that disappeared quickly when the price dropped in any vicinity of them - showing that they were just a bluff and most probably the buyers were at the same time selling at a higher price.  Currently it is clear that no many more bank transfers arrived this week to MtGox and as always on weekend there will not be any of them so the price most probably will be falling on the weekend, so it's better to sell today then tomorrow.  Then the question is if on Monday it will be any better - but the articles you can find on the Internet lately are not too positive towards bitcoin so the situation looks pretty gloom this weekend.
hero member
Activity: 630
Merit: 500
Posts: 69
July 01, 2011, 05:21:54 AM
#9
Now the bitcoin has fallen from ~17 to about ~16.5 and it looks like it's slowly falling further instead of rising ? What do you figure is going on and why, and when will it be back to 17+ ? And should those who have BTC sell out in expectance of an even greater fall or wait for it to rise ?
My quick guess, people have seen BTC in the news.  Think they are cashing in.  Short term people are slowly and slowly exiting, bad Bitcoin news stories all the time coupled with the fact that there simply does seem to be too many people mining.  Long term people who are actually invested in stuff will stay, maybe even cashed out a little bit knowing they are going to buy back cheaper because of how the people are exiting.

Also more people using more markets, those trading fees add up!  It has actually fucked the market up lol
full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 100
July 01, 2011, 05:07:24 AM
#8
Well I am selling 55 BTC, but pray tell enlighten me, why would you pay that much when you buy cheaper on TH or MTG ?

Because my funds are already in AlertPay... not coming from a credit card.

It would be a very quick and simple 'send' if someone wanted to trade me for AP funds... about 900 USD available.
member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
July 01, 2011, 05:03:54 AM
#7
Well I am selling 55 BTC, but pray tell enlighten me, why would you pay that much when you buy cheaper on TH or MTG ?
full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 100
July 01, 2011, 05:01:09 AM
#6
Sure if you'll give me 17.5$ ! Smiley

No problem, will you take Paypal or AlertPay?

If AlertPay, I could buy as many as 40 btc right now... unless you weren't serious.

member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
July 01, 2011, 04:55:07 AM
#5
Sure if you'll give me 17.5$ ! Smiley
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