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Topic: Will The Bitcoin Investment Trust affect the price? - page 10. (Read 16877 times)

sr. member
Activity: 516
Merit: 283

Dude, it's only been a day or two. Don't worry some bright scam artist entrepreneur will offer a pass-through. Then everyone can join in the fun of losing all their bitcoins! Wink

No worries there. A pass-through can't work because dirt poor redneck Texas wife-beaters can't qualify for the trust. 

...may want to reevaluate your criteria for defining someone as "bright"
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1393
You lead and I'll watch you walk away.
Finally there's an investment vehicle on this forum that won't result in masses of people here losing all their Bitcoins because only a few can afford to invest in it.

Dude, it's only been a day or two. Don't worry some bright scam artist entrepreneur will offer a pass-through. Then everyone can join in the fun of losing all their bitcoins! Wink

No worries there. A pass-through can't work because dirt poor redneck Texas wife-beaters can't qualify for the trust. 
FNG
hero member
Activity: 588
Merit: 500
"Mark Murphy, a SecondMarket spokesman, said the fund had heard from financial professionals, technology figures, gold enthusiasts and others.

“There’s really high interest,” said Murphy, who said there is no goal as far as the size of the fund."

http://www.rawstory.com/rs/2013/09/26/new-investment-venture-targets-1-5-billion-bitcoin-market/
legendary
Activity: 1204
Merit: 1002
Gresham's Lawyer
The question is as user705 succinctly put it, from whence comes the pricing data.
Volume weighted averages are good because so much happens off the exchanges, which for a long time was dominated by Gox, but not so much at the moment.

I am struggling with this issue currently for my http://Http://coldhardca.sh (backing bitcoin with silver and gold) project.

http://www.coindesk.com/price/ Has a nice API and some agreeable rules for defining the BPI (Bitcoin price index)

I'd reviewed that, and am still looking.  Arbitrary rules give a political smell which tends to wrinkle my nose.  Either that or their list in (i) is just an attempt to make it very easy for them.
It looks specifically designed to remove MtGox?  I just don't think it is what I seek.

Simple price and volume math based on clean data from as many different sources without excluding so many of where the volume is would be ideal.
I don't see a clear reason not to bring in Localbitcoin, Gox and all the smaller and country specific exchanges as well.
msc
sr. member
Activity: 284
Merit: 250
and here we go up !     Cheesy
Chart looks beautiful.
legendary
Activity: 1168
Merit: 1000
and here we go up !     Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1048

Angry Birds maker Rovio has a market cap of around $6-7 billion ffs Smiley People need to put this in context a bit. This is f... Angry birds we're talking about not a revolutionary payment system and store of value that can revolutionize the world.  
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2141123/Angry-Birds-creators-float-stock-market-5-5-BILLION-puzzle-game-hits-200-million-users-month.html

Quote
angry birds is bigger than bitcoin ? Shocked

-what if angry birds gets outlawed, regulated ?
-is angry bird really anoymous ?
-will there ever be more than 21 mill angry birds ?
-only criminals are using angry birds for drugs, money laundering, etc.
-angry birds must be a ponzi scheme
-my grandma will never play angry birds
-what is the intrinsic value of an angry bird ?

i ha'd, paused, and ha'd again

but on topic, i think the Winklevii offering will get red taped until regulators have had a better time to feel out/define the BTCspace. The SecondMarket offering does move this process along a few years, will give empirical evidence to guide regulation in the future hopefully..
legendary
Activity: 1372
Merit: 1000
The question is as user705 succinctly put it, from whence comes the pricing data.
Volume weighted averages are good because so much happens off the exchanges, which for a long time was dominated by Gox, but not so much at the moment.

I am struggling with this issue currently for my http://Http://coldhardca.sh (backing bitcoin with silver and gold) project.

http://www.coindesk.com/price/ Has a nice API and some agreeable rules for defining the BPI (Bitcoin price index)
legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1473
LEALANA Bitcoin Grim Reaper
The price development story here is not the effect that purchasing for this fund will have, but the opening of more funds like this and other derivative instruments. The affect on price will happen on a much longer timeline than many of you are thinking.

perhaps.

but this announcement really should be looked at as the 2nd fund to announce this strategy next to Winklevii.

it's possible that "speculation" could result in a sooner ramp than you think.  especially since we've had this nice long consolidation period of 5-6 months now. 

charts are looking primed.

This ^
legendary
Activity: 1204
Merit: 1002
Gresham's Lawyer
Bloomberg already uses XBT.
link please.  Where are they pulling pricing data from?

It's a Bloomberg internal ticker. When it was first reported it appeared to be using Gox data.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-08-10/bitcoin-now-officially-schrodinger-currency

Sure, X is what gets used in front of non government currencies.  Don't have to tell me that.
I even added that to the Wikipedia article on the ISO 4217 myself  Smiley
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ISO_4217
XBT  isn't in the standard yet, but as it is in use (as well as XAG for silver and XAU for gold).
Goat was there with the assist by catching it and suggesting the 8 decimal designation.
My understanding is that the Litecoin Foundation is contemplating making use of XLT or LTC for some things.

The question is as user705 succinctly put it, from whence comes the pricing data.
Volume weighted averages are good because so much happens off the exchanges, which for a long time was dominated by Gox, but not so much at the moment.

I am struggling with this issue currently for my http://Http://coldhardca.sh (backing bitcoin with silver and gold) project.
legendary
Activity: 896
Merit: 1006
First 100% Liquid Stablecoin Backed by Gold
Bloomberg already uses XBT.
link please.  Where are they pulling pricing data from?
legendary
Activity: 1204
Merit: 1002
Gresham's Lawyer
I dont see any reason why the ETF should not be approved.  The SEC has approved many double and triple leveraged long and short ETFs for indices, precious metals, ect.  These ETFs are almost guaranteed to lose value over long periods of time, especially the inverse ETFs.  Bitcoin should be much safer. 

There's no SEC S-1 filing for this.  It is a PRIVATE offering.

It may grow up into an ETF someday, but they get the first mover advantage for all of us accredited investors as we won't have to wait for Winklevoss ETF.
I don't know that it opens the door to the IRA investment yet, still researching that.

This is a good thing.
We who work with bitcoin, and use bitcoin or develop for it are not their market.  Not at all, but this opens a different market that most of us would not be interested in participating in because we do know how to do it ourselves and don't need what they are offering.

Consider your typical accredited investor.  We have tax lawyers keeping us safe and finding ways to do things the legal way, we have different types of investments, diversity is highly valued.  Using Second Market provides a tidy way for the tax lawyers and accountants to deal with the investment.

This helps to legitimize a bitcoin investment.  It puts in in the basket of FaceBook and Twitter.  So it is good for Bitcoin, generally.

They are not filing an S-1 with the SEC, but they are using boilerplate from the standard ETF filing.  The Winklevoss twins are forging ahead with that alone still. 
https://searchwww.sec.gov/EDGARFSClient/jsp/EDGAR_MainAccess.jsp?search_text=Bitcoin&sort=Date&formType=FormS1

There are dangers as well.  For example if this BIT fund ever DOES become the Bloomberg ticker for Bitcoin, if it becomes the default pricing mechanism for determining Bitcoin value, there are significant risks associated with that for Bitcoin generally. 
legendary
Activity: 1168
Merit: 1000
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1393
You lead and I'll watch you walk away.
Finally there's an investment vehicle on this forum that won't result in masses of people here losing all their Bitcoins because only a few can afford to invest in it.
hero member
Activity: 622
Merit: 500
I dont see any reason why the ETF should not be approved.  The SEC has approved many double and triple leveraged long and short ETFs for indices, precious metals, ect.  These ETFs are almost guaranteed to lose value over long periods of time, especially the inverse ETFs.  Bitcoin should be much safer. 
msc
sr. member
Activity: 284
Merit: 250
based on that it looks to me like Chodpaba is correct in assuming there will not be an ongoing purchase of BTC.
It's an open-ended trust, which means ongoing purchases.  It doesn't matter too much either way.  Others will follow in their footsteps.
hero member
Activity: 743
Merit: 500
I'll be surprised if this trust has any affect at all. Unlike an ETF, you have to be accredited to invest. Second Market isn't a huge company and they don't have a huge investor base.

What is your definition of huge? They've sold $billions worth of securities..

The bitcoin market is extremely tight..if they are able to gather as little as $20 mil it will greatly affect the price.

Of course. Market cap of whole bitcoin market is peanuts really. Merely $1.5billion. Lots of lame no one gives a shit corpos listed on Nasdaq have much higher market cap.

Facebook has $120 billion market cap, Twitter probably half of that. Secondmarket offered early access to investors in both Facebook and Twitter.

So imagine what would few billions, which is nothing on Wall Street, mean to the Bitcoin price.

Keep in mind this fund is featured on Secondmarket, being their top investment opportunity at the moment. They even have a special Bitcoin tutorial section on their website.

This guy is a major Secondmarket shareholder and board director http://www.forbes.com/sites/stevenbertoni/2011/11/02/secondmarket-valued-at-200-million-after-investment-by-former-facebook-exec/ and one of the guys calling the shots. Guy is super hyped when it comes to Bitcoin http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BJW1stK-NRI

nice link:

"Palihapitiya is the latest in series of high profile VC’s to plough cash into SecondMarket. Silbert has already attracted investments from Lawrence Lenihan of FirstMark Capital, New Enterprise Associates, SVB Financial Group,  Hong Kong billionaire Li Ka-shing and Singapore’s Temasek Holdings."

now we know what stimulated the interest in Bitcoin.  Palihapitiya is already on the Bitcoin rocket. 

now just draw links btwn the other names in that paragraph and you can see who else is coming.
WOW thx
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
where the hell is the prospectus?

You can read the investor presentation here: http://www.bitcointrust.co/

based on that it looks to me like Chodpaba is correct in assuming there will not be an ongoing purchase of BTC.

But it makes no sense.
1 share = 0.1 BTC

look at Investor Presentation page 9/14

It seems pretty clear from the leaked infos (TY BTC4Victory) that it's pretty much a straight forward ETF, shares can be traded between participants, and Bitcoin can flow into and out of the fund. Holdings can increase, and they can decrease.

only its not. and so you don't have to wait years for SEC approval
legendary
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1003
WePower.red
  (*Well, constant, except for the slow erosion over time as BTC are sold to pay the rather-steep 2% annual maintenance fee.)

Rather steep? I consider any fee above 0.1% for an ETF to be very high and I really don't understand that people buy these. With this ETF there is even an added fee for investing AND divesting.

Heck, if Secondmarket is holding the liability bag if coins from their ETF get stolen, I would be more confident holding BTC's in the form of their ETF in a brokerage account (once it becomes salable to the general public) than any online wallet service.

Don't be so sure about that. Take a look at page 12 (Security).
legendary
Activity: 2324
Merit: 1125
I know 2% annual rate and a 1.5% front AND backend fee (yes I checked, DOES apply) is not considered insane in the investment world. Many funds charge fees this high. I consider it insane that these fees are not considered insane however Smiley

At least Graham agrees with me  Cheesy
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