I already was saying when bfl failed to deliver the first time that ebay will be offering asics at 10th of original retail price. Thats the time to buy not a penny more.
Those who hold longest will probably get it the cheapest. But will it be worth it by then?
This is hard to say because what people seem to fail to realize is that the more affordable they get, the more people will buy. Ex:
If they run $100 for 1 TH/s, I may buy 10
People will say "that's too expensive, wait until they are $10 per TH!"
Now they are $10 for 1 TH/s, so I buy 100
In essence, I am still getting the same amount of relative hashrate. It doesn't matter if I buy it now for a higher cost or later for a lower one. Either way, the more affordable they are the more EVERYONE is going to buy, and the more you have to buy to keep competitive.