very day we see people coming on here trying to figure out how to mine. Some of those people have multiple computers, some have many computers. I remember yesterday two people were specifically asking about how to set up multiple computers to mine to one wallet. I have no idea how many computers either of them have or how many other people like that didn't post. There was an optimized Windows miner released recently that doubled the has rate on a lot of hardware. With the price going up like crazy yesterday that was clearly going to attract a lot of people.
All of this is going to rapidly drive up the amount of mining and the hash rate, which in total still isn't that high, only 5000 or so computers.
If a couple of large farms show up it's going to chase all the miners off because there's no pool yet. Nobody will have any realistic chance of getting a block.
Sure, if that happens. It hasn't happened yet. The whole network is around 5000 computers. Even with one little computer you should get a block every 3 days.
People may be impatient, but I can't help that. I solo mined bitcoin until I only got a block every few months.
But it can, and it will happen. Probably sooner than later considering how fast the value of this coin is rising. I have six computers mining and only found one block so far back when the difficulty was in the 1000000 range. At 6000000 I'm just going to stop mining because there really is no point. Not trying to be a thorn in anybody's side here, just saying this could turn into a problem. Only time will tell i guess.
Whether or not large farms or botnets show up, the hash rate will certainly continue to rise if the coin is successful and pools will be needed if small miners want consistent payouts. Fortunately an open source pool solution is being developed.