[XMR] Monero Speculation - page 1392.

CryptoAddict

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Activity: 115

Merit: 10

Quote from: Hueristic on March 31, 2016, 11:26:07 AM

I want to know who made that 500k transaction and why they did it knowing it would be noticed? How will that benefit them? I think it only hurts the worth as a whole to know that much at least is held by one entity. Was it another scare tactic to keep suppressing the value for accumulation?

Hueristic

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Activity: 3836

Merit: 4969

Doomed to see the future and unable to prevent it

I want to know who made that 500k transaction and why they did it knowing it would be noticed? How will that benefit them? I think it only hurts the worth as a whole to know that much at least is held by one entity. Was it another scare tactic to keep suppressing the value for accumulation?

nioc

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Activity: 1624

Merit: 1008

Quote from: MrGood on March 31, 2016, 10:44:33 AM

Quote from: CryptoAddict on March 31, 2016, 10:26:17 AM

Quote from: elrippo on March 31, 2016, 10:09:46 AM

Well, then give us 3 letters from the nickname and we will do the prediction Shocked

I already said I'm not naming the bearwhale, nor am I giving more hints than I already have Wink

Oh shi- oxymoron.

Clever.

amazing there is not one c there.

The again I'm not a whale, damn boats.

elrippo

legendary

Activity: 1008

Merit: 1001

Quote from: MrGood on March 31, 2016, 10:44:33 AM

Quote from: CryptoAddict on March 31, 2016, 10:26:17 AM

Quote from: elrippo on March 31, 2016, 10:09:46 AM

Well, then give us 3 letters from the nickname and we will do the prediction Shocked

I already said I'm not naming the bearwhale, nor am I giving more hints than I already have Wink

Oh shi- oxymoron.

Clever.

fcukyeeeeaaaahhhhh Grin

And we have a candidate Cool

MrGood

full member

Activity: 125

Merit: 100

Chief Technology Officer, NYC

Quote from: CryptoAddict on March 31, 2016, 10:26:17 AM

Quote from: elrippo on March 31, 2016, 10:09:46 AM

Well, then give us 3 letters from the nickname and we will do the prediction Shocked

I already said I'm not naming the bearwhale, nor am I giving more hints than I already have Wink

Oh shi- oxymoron.

Clever.

elrippo

legendary

Activity: 1008

Merit: 1001

Quote from: CryptoAddict on March 31, 2016, 10:26:17 AM

Quote from: elrippo on March 31, 2016, 10:09:46 AM

Well, then give us 3 letters from the nickname and we will do the prediction Shocked

I already said I'm not naming the bearwhale, nor am I giving more hints than I already have Wink

Oh shi- oxymoron.

Common, that's a riddle. Bets are on Grin

There aren't too many Legendaries in here. 2 letteres?
My first tip is aminorex on behalf of your Asianstyle wink Shocked

CryptoAddict

member

Activity: 115

Merit: 10

Quote from: elrippo on March 31, 2016, 10:09:46 AM

Well, then give us 3 letters from the nickname and we will do the prediction Shocked

I already said I'm not naming the bearwhale, nor am I giving more hints than I already have Wink

Oh shi- oxymoron.

TheKoziTwo

legendary

Activity: 1552

Merit: 1047

Quote from: CTTE on March 31, 2016, 10:00:07 AM

Quote from: papa_lazzarou on March 31, 2016, 09:07:37 AM

Quote from: CryptoAddict on March 31, 2016, 08:39:30 AM

Sellers = Greedy shorters that expect XMR to follow same pattern as last year. They will be liquidated.

Look at VOLUME!

The last 2 months, we have had approximately 2 500 000 XMR traded per week !!!

Last year, if you average out the weekly volume from February till july (the ENTIRE pump/dump cycle) you end up with a measly 450 000 XMR traded per week.

PS: After reading through the last pages I know who our bear whale is. It's so easy to see if someone is long or short by their writing. Don't want to name, let's just say it's legendary.

This.

Plus, last year's pump was started because Risto said "My company will start buying, expect the price to rise" or something. There were no significant developments or news that I remember.

Very unlike this year:
- the long waited 0.9 release;
- added exposure through The Daily Decrypt + Fluffypony's interviews (particularly the one at Satoshi Roundtable);
- Shen's SDC destruction;
- more developers active on Monero.

Can we get Risto to say that again? Grin

Actually Risto made an official announcement that the price will rise

[source]

The volume this time around is massive in comparison!

elrippo

legendary

Activity: 1008

Merit: 1001

Quote from: CryptoAddict on March 31, 2016, 08:39:30 AM

Sellers = Greedy shorters that expect XMR to follow same pattern as last year. They will be liquidated.

Look at VOLUME!

The last 2 months, we have had approximately 2 500 000 XMR traded per week !!!

Last year, if you average out the weekly volume from February till july (the ENTIRE pump/dump cycle) you end up with a measly 450 000 XMR traded per week.

PS: After reading through the last pages I know who our bear whale is. It's so easy to see if someone is long or short by their writing. Don't want to name, let's just say it's legendary.

Well, then give us 3 letters from the nickname and we will do the prediction Shocked

elrippo

legendary

Activity: 1008

Merit: 1001

Quote from: CryptoAddict on March 31, 2016, 10:03:58 AM

Quote from: elrippo on March 31, 2016, 09:34:55 AM

It's the same behaviour, just different volume Roll Eyes

Are you just looking at weekly chart and coming up with that conclusion?

Let's zoom in to get a closer look, here is 3d chart and my take on why this is nothing like last year

Well, the volumes where smaller 2015, so in conclusion to that, more people or bots are trading 2016 and the whole thing gets a bit limp, but in my interpretation this is the same thing Grin

CryptoAddict

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Activity: 115

Merit: 10

Quote from: elrippo on March 31, 2016, 09:34:55 AM

It's the same behaviour, just different volume Roll Eyes

Are you just looking at weekly chart and coming up with that conclusion?

Let's zoom in to get a closer look, here is 3d chart and my take on why this is nothing like last year

CTTE

full member

Activity: 227

Merit: 100

Quote from: papa_lazzarou on March 31, 2016, 09:07:37 AM

Quote from: CryptoAddict on March 31, 2016, 08:39:30 AM

Sellers = Greedy shorters that expect XMR to follow same pattern as last year. They will be liquidated.

Look at VOLUME!

The last 2 months, we have had approximately 2 500 000 XMR traded per week !!!

Last year, if you average out the weekly volume from February till july (the ENTIRE pump/dump cycle) you end up with a measly 450 000 XMR traded per week.

PS: After reading through the last pages I know who our bear whale is. It's so easy to see if someone is long or short by their writing. Don't want to name, let's just say it's legendary.

This.

Plus, last year's pump was started because Risto said "My company will start buying, expect the price to rise" or something. There were no significant developments or news that I remember.

Very unlike this year:
- the long waited 0.9 release;
- added exposure through The Daily Decrypt + Fluffypony's interviews (particularly the one at Satoshi Roundtable);
- Shen's SDC destruction;
- more developers active on Monero.

Can we get Risto to say that again? Grin

TheKoziTwo

legendary

Activity: 1552

Merit: 1047

Quote from: CryptoAddict on March 31, 2016, 08:39:30 AM

Sellers = Greedy shorters that expect XMR to follow same pattern as last year. They will be liquidated.

Look at VOLUME!

The last 2 months, we have had approximately 2 500 000 XMR traded per week !!!

Last year, if you average out the weekly volume from February till july (the ENTIRE pump/dump cycle) you end up with a measly 450 000 XMR traded per week.

PS: After reading through the last pages I know who our bear whale is. It's so easy to see if someone is long or short by their writing. Don't want to name, let's just say it's legendary.

You should out him! Let us all know who this bastard is!

griffen1102

full member

Activity: 229

Merit: 100

For the bears lol.

jwinterm

legendary

Activity: 3178

Merit: 1119

Quote from: luigi1111 on March 31, 2016, 09:03:07 AM

Quote from: jwinterm on March 30, 2016, 09:56:04 PM

Quote from: r0ach on March 30, 2016, 09:23:25 PM

Quote from: lolikop on March 30, 2016, 08:24:49 PM

Poloniex holds more then 50% XMR, mostley because there is no GUI, if they go mtgox XMR is doomed

Probably more like all alts at this point.

There's no way that 50% of XMR is on Poloniex. There's 389k on the order book out of a total of 16.3M. Let's say that 5% of the XMR held by Poloniex is on the sell side, to be conservative, that would be ~6M, still less than 50% of total supply, and I think that's being way too conservative...probably they hold a couple million at most.

Great analysis. Where did you go to decide 16.3M is a useful number?

Because I'm a dumbass, and was perhaps slightly intoxicated, and looked at marketcap in USD instead of available supply here:
http://coinmarketcap.com/

Even replacing 16.3M with 11.5M, I still kinda doubt that Poloniex has 6M sloshing around there.

elrippo

legendary

Activity: 1008

Merit: 1001

Quote from: wpalczynski on March 31, 2016, 09:26:38 AM

Quote from: elrippo on March 31, 2016, 12:30:27 AM

Quote from: wpalczynski on March 30, 2016, 11:09:51 AM

Quote from: aminorex on March 30, 2016, 11:07:18 AM

Quote from: elrippo on March 30, 2016, 10:52:04 AM

Could be, i hope i am wrong, but it tastes too much the same as last year...

Last year the facts were profoundly different. Facts beat pareidolia every time.

What differentiates this years ascent in price vs. last years is the dramatically larger volume this year. In addition observe the difference in velocity of the price decline after reaching the peak last year vs. now.

It still looks and tastes like last years spike guys.... Roll Eyes

How so exactly?

It's the same behaviour, just different volume Roll Eyes

wpalczynski

legendary

Activity: 1456

Merit: 1000

Quote from: elrippo on March 31, 2016, 12:30:27 AM

Quote from: wpalczynski on March 30, 2016, 11:09:51 AM

Quote from: aminorex on March 30, 2016, 11:07:18 AM

Quote from: elrippo on March 30, 2016, 10:52:04 AM

Could be, i hope i am wrong, but it tastes too much the same as last year...

Last year the facts were profoundly different. Facts beat pareidolia every time.

What differentiates this years ascent in price vs. last years is the dramatically larger volume this year. In addition observe the difference in velocity of the price decline after reaching the peak last year vs. now.

It still looks and tastes like last years spike guys.... Roll Eyes

How so exactly?

papa_lazzarou

hero member

Activity: 649

Merit: 500

Quote from: CryptoAddict on March 31, 2016, 08:39:30 AM

Sellers = Greedy shorters that expect XMR to follow same pattern as last year. They will be liquidated.

Look at VOLUME!

The last 2 months, we have had approximately 2 500 000 XMR traded per week !!!

Last year, if you average out the weekly volume from February till july (the ENTIRE pump/dump cycle) you end up with a measly 450 000 XMR traded per week.

PS: After reading through the last pages I know who our bear whale is. It's so easy to see if someone is long or short by their writing. Don't want to name, let's just say it's legendary.

This.

Plus, last year's pump was started because Risto said "My company will start buying, expect the price to rise" or something. There were no significant developments or news that I remember.

Very unlike this year:
- the long waited 0.9 release;
- added exposure through The Daily Decrypt + Fluffypony's interviews (particularly the one at Satoshi Roundtable);
- Shen's SDC destruction;
- more developers active on Monero.

meme magic

member

Activity: 115

Merit: 10

that would be a really neat vote. every week pull names from the thread and we all vote whether we think theyre long or short :p

luigi1111

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Activity: 1105

Merit: 1000

Quote from: jwinterm on March 30, 2016, 09:56:04 PM

Quote from: r0ach on March 30, 2016, 09:23:25 PM

Quote from: lolikop on March 30, 2016, 08:24:49 PM

Poloniex holds more then 50% XMR, mostley because there is no GUI, if they go mtgox XMR is doomed

Probably more like all alts at this point.

There's no way that 50% of XMR is on Poloniex. There's 389k on the order book out of a total of 16.3M. Let's say that 5% of the XMR held by Poloniex is on the sell side, to be conservative, that would be ~6M, still less than 50% of total supply, and I think that's being way too conservative...probably they hold a couple million at most.

Great analysis. Where did you go to decide 16.3M is a useful number?

Quote from: CryptoAddict on March 31, 2016, 08:39:30 AM

PS: After reading through the last pages I know who our bear whale is. It's so easy to see if someone is long or short by their writing. Don't want to name, let's just say it's legendary.

Am I long or short?

Topic: [XMR] Monero Speculation - page 1392. (Read 3314669 times)