[XMR] Monero Speculation - page 1930.

Black Arrow

jr. member

Activity: 46

Merit: 1

Quote from: luigi1111 on April 26, 2015, 03:11:19 PM

Quote from: rpietila on April 26, 2015, 02:42:48 PM

I don't think the GUI is the key. Monero appeals most to extremely intelligent people who also have lots of money (aminorex, ArticMine). This type of guys will be the deciders of the price in the short (1 year) term. The masses come later.

I should refocus to the MiG thing. That is directing to the above segment. Here, my laborious scenario analyses did not receive even one comment. That is indicative that you aren't even interested in Monero here! We need more leaders, and we are bound to get them on board in the coming months.

Just so you know, I read and enjoyed everything you wrote on the subject, but did not feel an immediate need to make any comments.

I feel confident there are many others like me. Perhaps we should be more expressive. Cool

+1

GingerAle

legendary

Activity: 1260

Merit: 1008

Quote from: pa on April 26, 2015, 04:24:24 PM

Quote from: DaveyJones on April 26, 2015, 03:14:21 PM

Quote from: rpietila on April 26, 2015, 02:42:48 PM

I don't think the GUI is the key. Monero appeals most to extremely intelligent people who also have lots of money (aminorex, ArticMine). This type of guys will be the deciders of the price in the short (1 year) term. The masses come later.

I should refocus to the MiG thing. That is directing to the above segment. Here, my laborious scenario analyses did not receive even one comment. That is indicative that you aren't even interested in Monero here! We need more leaders, and we are bound to get them on board in the coming months.

I actually enjoyed your analyses and your thoughts behind, but i don´t have anything to add to it.... so i´ll just say thanks for your effort.

I too appreciate your scenario analysis (and many of your other educational and inspiring economic posts on both Bitcoin and Monero) but lack the background in economics and finance to discuss them in depth. I find your analysis thought-provoking, but also a bit unsatisfying, in that many of your assumptions seem arbitrary (or based on personal intuition). I laud your willingness to explicate your thinking, nevertheless. Though I'm still a neophyte at trading and speculation, you and a perhaps a dozen others on this forum and Reddit have been instrumental in opening my mind to the idea that speculation is not merely gambling.

I too read your analyses and appreciate them, but I do not have the skill to add to the conversation or critique them, so they are mostly read in silence. I especially appreciate how honest the analyses are - the percentage success rates or probabilities are always on the "sure it could happen" side of things, which is refreshing - fits the general tone of monero community development - realism, as opposed to the "this is definite and we're all going to be buying spaceships", which you could definitely produce if you so chose, so thanks.

pa

hero member

Activity: 528

Merit: 501

Quote from: DaveyJones on April 26, 2015, 03:14:21 PM

Quote from: rpietila on April 26, 2015, 02:42:48 PM

I don't think the GUI is the key. Monero appeals most to extremely intelligent people who also have lots of money (aminorex, ArticMine). This type of guys will be the deciders of the price in the short (1 year) term. The masses come later.

I should refocus to the MiG thing. That is directing to the above segment. Here, my laborious scenario analyses did not receive even one comment. That is indicative that you aren't even interested in Monero here! We need more leaders, and we are bound to get them on board in the coming months.

I actually enjoyed your analyses and your thoughts behind, but i don´t have anything to add to it.... so i´ll just say thanks for your effort.

I too appreciate your scenario analysis (and many of your other educational and inspiring economic posts on both Bitcoin and Monero) but lack the background in economics and finance to discuss them in depth. I find your analysis thought-provoking, but also a bit unsatisfying, in that many of your assumptions seem arbitrary (or based on personal intuition). I laud your willingness to explicate your thinking, nevertheless. Though I'm still a neophyte at trading and speculation, you and a perhaps a dozen others on this forum and Reddit have been instrumental in opening my mind to the idea that speculation is not merely gambling.

MataKhobRazi

hero member

Activity: 876

Merit: 568

( ͡⊙ ͜ʖ ͡⊙)

Quote from: luigi1111 on April 26, 2015, 03:11:19 PM

Quote from: rpietila on April 26, 2015, 02:42:48 PM

I don't think the GUI is the key. Monero appeals most to extremely intelligent people who also have lots of money (aminorex, ArticMine). This type of guys will be the deciders of the price in the short (1 year) term. The masses come later.

I should refocus to the MiG thing. That is directing to the above segment. Here, my laborious scenario analyses did not receive even one comment. That is indicative that you aren't even interested in Monero here! We need more leaders, and we are bound to get them on board in the coming months.

Just so you know, I read and enjoyed everything you wrote on the subject, but did not feel an immediate need to make any comments.

I feel confident there are many others like me. Perhaps we should be more expressive. Cool

Rpietila, I like reading your analysis and this thread in general. I don't often comment because my english is not perfect. So I prefer being silent but I am among the people that believe in monero and who made long term investment in it ...

smooth

legendary

Activity: 2968

Merit: 1198

Quote from: rpietila on April 26, 2015, 02:42:48 PM

I don't think the GUI is the key. Monero appeals most to extremely intelligent people who also have lots of money (aminorex, ArticMine). This type of guys will be the deciders of the price in the short (1 year) term. The masses come later.

It does help some investors who aren't necessarily comfortable with command line tools and don't want to keep their coins on a web site. Unfortunately even the third party GUI wallets at present require some facility with the command line to install and configure.

Only a basic GUI is needed for this target market, not something that would attract or serve the masses.

kazuki49

sr. member

Activity: 350

Merit: 250

Quote from: Johnny Mnemonic on April 26, 2015, 03:32:37 PM

Quote from: rpietila on April 26, 2015, 02:42:48 PM

I don't think the GUI is the key. Monero appeals most to extremely intelligent people who also have lots of money (aminorex, ArticMine). This type of guys will be the deciders of the price in the short (1 year) term. The masses come later.

I should refocus to the MiG thing. That is directing to the above segment. Here, my laborious scenario analyses did not receive even one comment. That is indicative that you aren't even interested in Monero here! We need more leaders, and we are bound to get them on board in the coming months.

One thing I will comment on is that I'm a bit surprised what little investment is necessary to buy your way into the top 1%.

It is very little, Monero bellow Doge in marketcap is a travesty.

As I believe in that I buy all I can.

Johnny Mnemonic

hero member

Activity: 795

Merit: 514

Quote from: rpietila on April 26, 2015, 02:42:48 PM

I don't think the GUI is the key. Monero appeals most to extremely intelligent people who also have lots of money (aminorex, ArticMine). This type of guys will be the deciders of the price in the short (1 year) term. The masses come later.

I should refocus to the MiG thing. That is directing to the above segment. Here, my laborious scenario analyses did not receive even one comment. That is indicative that you aren't even interested in Monero here! We need more leaders, and we are bound to get them on board in the coming months.

One thing I will comment on is that I'm a bit surprised what little investment is necessary to buy your way into the top 1%.

opennux

full member

Activity: 231

Merit: 100

Quote from: rpietila on April 26, 2015, 02:42:48 PM

I don't think the GUI is the key. Monero appeals most to extremely intelligent people who also have lots of money (aminorex, ArticMine). This type of guys will be the deciders of the price in the short (1 year) term. The masses come later.

I should refocus to the MiG thing. That is directing to the above segment. Here, my laborious scenario analyses did not receive even one comment. That is indicative that you aren't even interested in Monero here! We need more leaders, and we are bound to get them on board in the coming months.

It's read in silence for most parts, but hugely appreciated. If nothing else, then a mailing-list?

DaveyJones

hero member

Activity: 768

Merit: 505

Quote from: rpietila on April 26, 2015, 02:42:48 PM

I don't think the GUI is the key. Monero appeals most to extremely intelligent people who also have lots of money (aminorex, ArticMine). This type of guys will be the deciders of the price in the short (1 year) term. The masses come later.

I should refocus to the MiG thing. That is directing to the above segment. Here, my laborious scenario analyses did not receive even one comment. That is indicative that you aren't even interested in Monero here! We need more leaders, and we are bound to get them on board in the coming months.

I actually enjoyed your analyses and your thoughts behind, but i don´t have anything to add to it.... so i´ll just say thanks for your effort.

luigi1111

legendary

Activity: 1105

Merit: 1000

Quote from: rpietila on April 26, 2015, 02:42:48 PM

I don't think the GUI is the key. Monero appeals most to extremely intelligent people who also have lots of money (aminorex, ArticMine). This type of guys will be the deciders of the price in the short (1 year) term. The masses come later.

I should refocus to the MiG thing. That is directing to the above segment. Here, my laborious scenario analyses did not receive even one comment. That is indicative that you aren't even interested in Monero here! We need more leaders, and we are bound to get them on board in the coming months.

Just so you know, I read and enjoyed everything you wrote on the subject, but did not feel an immediate need to make any comments.

I feel confident there are many others like me. Perhaps we should be more expressive. Cool

Hueristic

legendary

Activity: 3836

Merit: 4969

Doomed to see the future and unable to prevent it

Quote from: rpietila on April 26, 2015, 02:42:48 PM

I don't think the GUI is the key.

If you say so. :rolleyes:

kazuki49

sr. member

Activity: 350

Merit: 250

Quote from: rpietila on April 26, 2015, 04:18:11 AM

The coin whose distribution is the closest to the "natural distribution" (above postulated to apply to Monero), has the most "surface" to counter manipulation attempts, the largest liquidity, smallest supply/demand shock price inelasticity, and lowest volatility.

Thats the case with Monero, very accurate and we can see it happening almost every day in the exchange.

Theres already a GUI and mymonero.com, but like with Bitcoin the masses wont come until its too easy and by effect, more expensive and useful, this is the reward of the early adopter if ever happens with Monero it will be like Bitcoin but this time a lot more fair distribution-wise. I lack the economic background to describe like you and aminorex but I can understand.

rpietila

donator

Activity: 1722

Merit: 1036

I don't think the GUI is the key. Monero appeals most to extremely intelligent people who also have lots of money (aminorex, ArticMine). This type of guys will be the deciders of the price in the short (1 year) term. The masses come later.

I should refocus to the MiG thing. That is directing to the above segment. Here, my laborious scenario analyses did not receive even one comment. That is indicative that you aren't even interested in Monero here! We need more leaders, and we are bound to get them on board in the coming months.

Hueristic

legendary

Activity: 3836

Merit: 4969

Doomed to see the future and unable to prevent it

Quote from: BillyBobZorton on April 26, 2015, 11:07:34 AM

I've been holding my XMR religiously since I bought at the top.. still waiting to recover my investment. I was so unlucky.
When will XMR reach ATH again?

I would hedge as well but whatever you do don't sell below even as eventually you will get back there. I would guess when the Official GUI finally gets added if not before. Right now is the shakeout lull in the storm. I don't think we will see below .0018 even in a worst case. I would be happy to get any below .002 in the next few months.

nioc

legendary

Activity: 1624

Merit: 1008

othe is on a roll Cool

For those of you looking for the bottom, I think you missed it.

othe

hero member

Activity: 532

Merit: 500

Quote from: blacky90 on April 26, 2015, 12:50:11 PM

RIP MONERO

Hello scammer,

Quote from: blacky90 on March 12, 2015, 06:01:04 PM

good coin and i think monero and drk are really fucked soon Grin

Quote from: blacky90 on March 13, 2015, 03:10:20 PM

starting to think to sell my xmr

Quote from: blacky90 on November 04, 2014, 09:36:08 AM

MY LIFE IS SHIT!! Angry

Karma.

I hope your life stays shit, people like you derserve it.

DaveyJones

hero member

Activity: 768

Merit: 505

Quote from: mrkavasaki on April 26, 2015, 12:34:51 PM

how low do you guys think we will go?

Speaking of low makes no sense after we have shaken out yesterdays dump o.O

blacky90

full member

Activity: 384

Merit: 117

RIP MONERO

rangedriver

hero member

Activity: 714

Merit: 504

At the end of the day, we recently had a pretty sizable bullrun after several months of depressed stagnation.

Now that the wave has peaked and retracted, there follows the inevitable cacophony of the market trying to restablize itself, played out through the convoluted medium of trollbox chats and forum posts.

That's not indicative of any conspiracy. It's just the sound of the snowglobe settling. Everyone is just trying to find the floor.

Some like to force the moment to its crisis through outlandish and arrogant statements of 'inevitability'. Others throw mathematics at it. There are those that play with buy/sell walls.

Nothing really out of the ordinary. Wherever there is a valuable product (and Monero clearly is a valuable product) there will always be an accompanying circus of opportunists willing to jump through hoops to get the best price.

mrkavasaki

hero member

Activity: 888

Merit: 500

how low do you guys think we will go?

Topic: [XMR] Monero Speculation - page 1930. (Read 3314330 times)