Shifting gears a little bit: question for everyone here...
IF there's a bitcoin blockchain split and the overall value of both sides added together DROPS (as some people say, i.e. before split BTC = $1,000 but after split with say 80/20 hashrate division, the value is not $800/$200 but rather something like $600/$100, or less, due to loss of network effect)... do you guys think the "lost value" will just disappear i.e. go back to "dollars" as leaving "crypto" entirely, OR would it be reflected in increased "dollar value" of ALTS (even as, probably, the relevant alt-value as priced "in bitcoin" will almost certainly decrease...?)
TL;DR above :: if there's a BTC chain split, will those of us with appropriately balanced portfolios of alt-coins (XMR/ETH/MAID/DASH/etc) see the dollar-valuation of that portfolio stay largely the same, or will we need to be ready to DO something other than just ride-out the storm until bitcoin settles down again, post-split...?
Whadda Y'all Think... who's planning for what scenarios here?
After the ETH split the lesser fork increased in value and is still viable now. The value of the two was after a while greater than the original ETH. Now ETC is less significant as ETH has grown so much - but it was not (as expected) a fast death for the 'alt'.
BTC is different - all the Alt market is priced in Bitcoin and let's face it, it is the best way to cash out of any alt (buy BTC with it, cash out of BTC).
So in Bitcoin a split could in my view hit price hard - it is already why BTC has fallen and cannot break out. Even the uncertainty is hurting. The two chains will probably not add up to greater than the 'original' since upon a split, the news would be 'Bitcoin is broken' and 'now the supply of Bitcoin is doubled'. Volatility and acrimony will be the initial result.
Value (even as a split looks realistic) could plummet initially and Alts will not simply rise up - they could be hit hard too. Alts are 'alternatives to Bitcoin' so the whole market will be jittery and volatile, unless there is a clear winner that unites Bitcoin and does so fast.
If Bitcoin looks like dying (it won't - but it might
look like it), then all crypto is at risk to some extent. Imagine selling a new Alt coin venture just after the shit has hit the fan with BTC?
Eventually it will play out, yes - but a contentious fork (a civil war in Bitcoin) will be bad for crypto as a whole, in the short term at least. I hope it does not happen; it will not be good for the market if the rock-solid reputation of the main coin as 'one bitcoin, fixed supply, chain impossible to crack' is in question because there are 'two' Bitcoins on two chains with twice as many in circulation all of a sudden.
Both will claim they are Bitcoin, neither will be lying, but both will accuse the other of betraying Satoshi's idea.
That's my 2 cents.