TC, What is it in particular about the current state of Monero as a whole that makes you believe a best case scenario can and will pan out?
I for one believe what you write COULD potentially happen, but as far as i have learnt its not actually very likely at all.
What indications for success can you see that i cannot? I'll admit your posts grabbed my attention around the start of September and as a result i bought in (No regrets here) however after being here for some time, i feel that maybe its just a strategy of yours (I remember you talking about a self fulfilling prophecy that just believing strongly enough then it will happen is a driving force in itself to make it happen)
In other news, i watched a video that talked about why bitcoin has not had mass adoption and it raised some pretty good points. In particular that in general, back end programmers simply do not have the required expertise in transactional buisness, promotion and marketing to really bring such a groundbreaking technology to the public. When i learnt about crypto, it took me hours of learning before i truly saw the bigger picture and i am just an average joe (In crypto terms anyways).
To me this indicates that we need an obvious incentive for new users and not just promise of a grand vision (That a lot of people will simply not have the time to realise themselves)
I sure hope this thing does pan out like some of you guys predict. But from were i am stood if this is to happen we as a community need to seriously innovate on a kind of marketing strategy at least to promote the coin now things are getting more competitive
I am not 100 % convinced the best case scenario will pan out. I am convinced enough to hold some coins. Even if Monero goes to 0 I am not ending up tp bankcruptcy though because I have other assets as well which I recommend for everybody. Monero, and projects like these, are wild cards and I don't think it is a prudent move to be "all in".
However, I cannot forgive myself if I do not own enough coins to become rich if the best case (or even 2nd best or 3rd best) scenario pans out.
The odds in reaching high price is good enough to hold the coin (I don't think it is smart to hold Monero if the chances for 1000000000 X rise is let's say 1 % or 2 % even though the expected value might be lucrative but the odds are so low that basically you need to find dozens of projects like this to become rich with 1 project).
There are some indications of failure actually (the GUI soon -fiasco), that's not trolling, I am just honest here. Also there is 0 marketing as well which is very bad thing in my opinion (without people being aware of the existence of XMR nobody can buy it). Someone needs to give the face to XMR, make vlogs about it, go to events talking about it (I think the Pony does a little this). Marketing doesn't need to look tidy, just an ordinary guy/girl talking about it in the language to wide audience(s) everybody can understand without being The Pony.
I don't know what are you seeing when you are watching XMR but there is a decent community (even when the price was 0.001), the projects are getting funded in the blink of an eye with decent hourly salaries.
DNM are a good thing as well for Monero but I think Monero could reach high value even without them if the coin is going to be used for store of value. If that's a primary use case, it can reach high value even without GUI in my opinion.
I was bearish because the markets used to be bearish because old ATH of 0.0111 was untouched for so long time.
Currently I am semi bearish/semi bullish (the price is still above the previous trading range).
If you think XMR will reach to high numbers, you consider these cheap coins and lower your average purchasing price (in case you are underwater), if you are unsure, then you do nothing and waite what will happen and if you think "that's it, it is dead" then perhaps the best choice is to sell.
Personally I am willing to buy more and I have set my bids to the points I am willing to risk the amount of money I can afford to lose at that certain point.
Sorry for rambling.