I have another question:
It seems that some people get 30% of the house edge of the people they refer, and the people themselves can get 10% of the house edge if they place a few big bets. In combination, that's 40% of the house edge of those bets immediately going out. Since the site only takes 35% commission, and only on actual profits, not expected profits, isn't the house at some risk of insolvency? If the player gets lucky and wins a lot, the house makes nothing in commission but still has to pay out maybe 40% of the expected profit in rackback and referral fees. Even if the player runs true to form and loses exactly 1% of the amount they wager, the house still takes a loss on their play.
Seems to me it would be better for the house to charge commission per bet, not on net profit. That way the house isn't risking insolvency.
That's something we've been thinking about for a long time now. Our current commission rate (based on net profit) is a bit low compared to our spendings (rakeback, referral bonus based on house edge). Sure we do have an extra stake in bankroll (from our private investments) and have a "site buffer fund" from our profit so far, but still, what we have now is not perfect. It's also one of the reasone we are not opening investments in Litecoin - we might actually restructure the whole investment/commission/bankroll thing before.
What I am saying here is not binding, but we had a few ideas:
1. Just increase the commission rate. Right now it's 35%. However increasing it still keeps us depending on site profit, and could leave us for months without any income, but with costs. Supporting multiple coins mitigates the issue a bit since our income sources could be diversified. But again, it's not perfect. I'd rather have something that is more stable and predictable.
2. Pay Referral bonus and Rakeback directly from bankroll. It would protect us from costs based on "expected profit" for sure. But honestly I find it messy from investors' point of view. It's not transparent at all, you cannot verify site profit any more. Bankroll just leaks coins without any transparency.
3. Something you mentioned and I was thinking before: move to
"per bet commission" only or "per bet" & "net profit" combo. So, for every bet we'd take a small commission, n0% of house edge, that would cover all referral and rakeback expenses. It's independent of site profit, so the site's internal budget is definitely more stable. Everything is still verifiable (well, rounding on small bets might still be an issue). Easy to code (much easier than the whole "commission" thing).
3a. We could move to the
"per bet" commission model only This would remove the need for weekly commission. Maybe 40%-45% commission would be totally sufficient. It's simpler, it's clean and obvious. The only issue is that the risk is moved towards the investors - if site profit goes down, thay are hit by both the players AND commission. But on the other hand, if site profit goes up beyond expected, they profit more.
3b. Or, we could have both
"per bet" and "net profit" at the same time, this would leave weekly commission in place, be we would split the percentage a bit. Keep the "per bet" only as high to cover the expenses. This could be e.g. 30/15 split.
People, tell me what you think. @dooglus, I am glad you brought this issue, this was something I wanted to discuss too! The topic is even hotter because I am getting huge number of questions about LTC investments which I'd like to open at some point, better sooner than later.
Cheers and thanks,
Ethan