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Topic: z (Read 10170 times)

member
Activity: 79
Merit: 60
z
November 11, 2018, 05:47:57 PM
#87
I would be curious to see the same age of unspent blocks data but from a 6 months ago perspective. A year as well. These might show us how recently the older coins first moved and how the recently unspent block percentage is changing.
legendary
Activity: 1358
Merit: 1000
March 19, 2013, 05:15:02 AM
#86
Smart enough to invent a new currency whose production runs out within the creator's lifetime, but too naive to think that they could ever be worth something? Unlikely.
Try again. The last reward reduction from 0.00000001 down to 0.00000000 is slated to be in about 100 years from now.

Ok, whose production effectively runs out in the creators lifetime...but let's not argue the trivial. Etlase2 is right.
Are you attempting to assume that the future value of 0.00000001 will be equal to or less than its current value? For all we know, in years 2108-2112 such a denomination could be worth quite a lot.

But then of course by then they could have invented lifespan-extending drugs or something. So what do I know.
1 Satoshi probably won't matter to someone who has 10^5 Bitcoins...but I doubt I'll live to see the day where a Satoshi actually could buy something common. I'd love to be wrong, but I think the math is on my side.


legendary
Activity: 1708
Merit: 1020
March 19, 2013, 03:37:03 AM
#85
I would be curious to see the same age of unspent blocks data but from a 6 months ago perspective. A year as well. These might show us how recently the older coins first moved and how the recently unspent block percentage is changing.
An animation would be nice. I wonder how much activity is going on down there in the blockchain.
legendary
Activity: 1031
Merit: 1000
October 03, 2012, 11:54:09 PM
#84
I value a bitcoin the same way I value a stock - current market price:

And since there is asymmetrical information which means the efficient market hypothesis is flawed resulting in price being what you pay and value being what you get .... then good luck with that strategy.
donator
Activity: 1464
Merit: 1047
I outlived my lifetime membership:)
October 03, 2012, 09:31:29 PM
#83
I just ran a quick analysis on the blockchain.

Out of the 192386 blocks currently mined, very many of them
have a BTC 50 block reward that has never been spent.

To be exact, 41493 blocks have an unspent reward.

That is worth approximately BTC 2'074'650.00 (not counting fees).

That's 2 Million+ pristine coins hoarded, or about 20% of the BTC market cap.



Can you make an analysis to check if these coins really are lost:

"Bitomat.pl Loss
Time: 2011-07-26"
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/list-of-major-bitcoin-heists-thefts-hacks-scams-and-losses-old-83794

Or maybe someone has been able to actually spend them after 'losing' them?

I thought that was just a theft...
sr. member
Activity: 477
Merit: 500
October 03, 2012, 11:22:16 AM
#82

I think this : http://ecdsa.org/stats.html is fairly close to what you're describing.


Well, actually there seems to be a spike in amount of lost coins around 2011-07-26.
sr. member
Activity: 477
Merit: 500
October 03, 2012, 11:15:54 AM
#81
Of course we could find out. Just enter the address into blockchain.info.

We do not know the address(es). But we know the amount; there should be about 17000 lost coins, which has not been used since 2011-07-26. Is there a spike in the amount of 'not-used-coins' at that time?

Edit: of course, we could also ask some of the addresses from their custromers.
donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
October 03, 2012, 10:54:51 AM
#80
I just ran a quick analysis on the blockchain.

Out of the 192386 blocks currently mined, very many of them
have a BTC 50 block reward that has never been spent.

To be exact, 41493 blocks have an unspent reward.

That is worth approximately BTC 2'074'650.00 (not counting fees).

That's 2 Million+ pristine coins hoarded, or about 20% of the BTC market cap.



Can you make an analysis to check if these coins really are lost:

"Bitomat.pl Loss
Time: 2011-07-26"
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/list-of-major-bitcoin-heists-thefts-hacks-scams-and-losses-old-83794

Or maybe someone has been able to actually spend them after 'losing' them?


If the private key is lost, it's prohibitively expensive (both time and effort) to recover it (you need to guess). Equally expensive as recovering the private key to any address. Not going to happen. Lost is lost, you can subtract the lost coins from the bitcoin money supply.

I lost BTC 10 myself Wink.

Thanks for link to interesting thread.

Yes, of course, if it really is lost... ;-) But could we find out, if the claimed lost coins has actually been used afterwards? Just by examining the block chain?

Of course we could find out. Just enter the address into blockchain.info.
sr. member
Activity: 477
Merit: 500
October 03, 2012, 10:51:34 AM
#79
I just ran a quick analysis on the blockchain.

Out of the 192386 blocks currently mined, very many of them
have a BTC 50 block reward that has never been spent.

To be exact, 41493 blocks have an unspent reward.

That is worth approximately BTC 2'074'650.00 (not counting fees).

That's 2 Million+ pristine coins hoarded, or about 20% of the BTC market cap.



Can you make an analysis to check if these coins really are lost:

"Bitomat.pl Loss
Time: 2011-07-26"
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/list-of-major-bitcoin-heists-thefts-hacks-scams-and-losses-old-83794

Or maybe someone has been able to actually spend them after 'losing' them?


If the private key is lost, it's prohibitively expensive (both time and effort) to recover it (you need to guess). Equally expensive as recovering the private key to any address. Not going to happen. Lost is lost, you can subtract the lost coins from the bitcoin money supply.

I lost BTC 10 myself Wink.

Thanks for link to interesting thread.

Yes, of course, if it really is lost... ;-) But could we find out, if the claimed lost coins has actually been used afterwards? Just by examining the block chain?
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
Lead Core BitKitty Developer
October 03, 2012, 08:59:19 AM
#78
Is it possible to "expire" coins after a certain amount of time?
That introduce an upgrade and deploy it after 2-3 years when the network is ready? While the expired coins will be a reward of the new block. And encourage mining after the reward becomes lower and lower.
(I am new here, just thinking about it. Please don't blame me.  Cheesy)

"Sorry, your pension savings and child tuition money adresses have expired."

No thanks.
newbie
Activity: 11
Merit: 0
October 03, 2012, 08:57:35 AM
#77
Is it possible to "expire" coins after a certain amount of time?
That introduce an upgrade and deploy it after 2-3 years when the network is ready? While the expired coins will be a reward of the new block. And encourage mining after the reward becomes lower and lower.
(I am new here, just thinking about it. Please don't blame me.  Cheesy)
donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
October 03, 2012, 03:03:36 AM
#76
I just ran a quick analysis on the blockchain.

Out of the 192386 blocks currently mined, very many of them
have a BTC 50 block reward that has never been spent.

To be exact, 41493 blocks have an unspent reward.

That is worth approximately BTC 2'074'650.00 (not counting fees).

That's 2 Million+ pristine coins hoarded, or about 20% of the BTC market cap.



Can you make an analysis to check if these coins really are lost:

"Bitomat.pl Loss
Time: 2011-07-26"
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/list-of-major-bitcoin-heists-thefts-hacks-scams-and-losses-old-83794

Or maybe someone has been able to actually spend them after 'losing' them?


If the private key is lost, it's prohibitively expensive (both time and effort) to recover it (you need to guess). Equally expensive as recovering the private key to any address. Not going to happen. Lost is lost, you can subtract the lost coins from the bitcoin money supply.

I lost BTC 10 myself Wink.

Thanks for link to interesting thread.
sr. member
Activity: 477
Merit: 500
October 02, 2012, 02:47:40 PM
#75
I just ran a quick analysis on the blockchain.

Out of the 192386 blocks currently mined, very many of them
have a BTC 50 block reward that has never been spent.

To be exact, 41493 blocks have an unspent reward.

That is worth approximately BTC 2'074'650.00 (not counting fees).

That's 2 Million+ pristine coins hoarded, or about 20% of the BTC market cap.



Can you make an analysis to check if these coins really are lost:

"Bitomat.pl Loss
Time: 2011-07-26"
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/list-of-major-bitcoin-heists-thefts-hacks-scams-and-losses-old-83794

Or maybe someone has been able to actually spend them after 'losing' them?
sr. member
Activity: 477
Merit: 500
October 02, 2012, 02:38:33 PM
#74
Check it out: http://blockexplorer.com/address/1A1zP1eP5QGefi2DMPTfTL5SLmv7DivfNa <-- address of the genesis block's generation transaction.
While the 50 BTC can't be spent, it should be possible to spend the additional 6.57403164 BTC.

:-D Looks like some smartass has sent a message at 9.11 2012 ~5am to the genesis block address:

01010101 = 0x55 U (0x55 start symbol?)
01100010 = 0x62 b
01110100 = 0x74 t
01100011 = 0x63 c
00100000 = 0x20
01101001 = 0x69 i
01110011 = 0x73 s
00100000 = 0x20
01100001 = 0x61 a
00100000 = 0x20
01110011 = 0x73 s
01100011 = 0x63 c
01100001 = 0x61 a
01101101 = 0x6d m

---------------
17gNvfoD2FDqTfESUxNEmTukGbGVAiJhXp
legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1029
October 02, 2012, 01:32:16 PM
#73
That is a lot of money. Hopefully a large chunk of those are simply people that have faith in the market and are waiting for a more stable time. I can't see someone dumping them all on the market at once. It would make their hoard useless.
legendary
Activity: 2114
Merit: 1031
October 02, 2012, 11:46:34 AM
#72
I just ran a quick analysis on the blockchain.

Out of the 192386 blocks currently mined, very many of them
have a BTC 50 block reward that has never been spent.

To be exact, 41493 blocks have an unspent reward.

That is worth approximately BTC 2'074'650.00 (not counting fees).

That's 2 Million+ pristine coins hoarded, or about 20% of the BTC market cap.

Lots of smart people around here.


or: lots of extremely careless ones Wink (although I doubt it)

nahh it is a nobrainer.  Wink like buying a call option (with say 10-20 years before expiration) or shares of a 5$ stock (with known dillution schedule) that has decent chances to go to 10 000$. and with no counterpart risks.

Just try to value Bitcoin like a stock. It easily worth 100-200$ right now.





I value a bitcoin the same way I value a stock - current market price:

about $12.50.

But I understand what you're getting at.
sr. member
Activity: 312
Merit: 250
October 02, 2012, 11:12:32 AM
#71
Hi,

I requested to Piuk from blockchain.info to create a new chart for addresses without activity, see: http://blockchain.uservoice.com/forums/152743-general-ideas/suggestions/3177586-new-chart-for-addresses-without-activity
hero member
Activity: 812
Merit: 1001
-
October 02, 2012, 10:20:34 AM
#70
I just ran a quick analysis on the blockchain.

Out of the 192386 blocks currently mined, very many of them
have a BTC 50 block reward that has never been spent.

To be exact, 41493 blocks have an unspent reward.

That is worth approximately BTC 2'074'650.00 (not counting fees).

That's 2 Million+ pristine coins hoarded, or about 20% of the BTC market cap.

Lots of smart people around here.


or: lots of extremely careless ones Wink (although I doubt it)

nahh it is a nobrainer.  Wink like buying a call option (with say 10-20 years before expiration) or shares of a 5$ stock (with known dillution schedule) that has decent chances to go to 10 000$. and with no counterpart risks.

Just try to value Bitcoin like a stock. It easily worth 100-200$ right now.



donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
October 02, 2012, 10:03:03 AM
#69
I just ran a quick analysis on the blockchain.

Out of the 192386 blocks currently mined, very many of them
have a BTC 50 block reward that has never been spent.

To be exact, 41493 blocks have an unspent reward.

That is worth approximately BTC 2'074'650.00 (not counting fees).

That's 2 Million+ pristine coins hoarded, or about 20% of the BTC market cap.

Lots of smart people around here.


or: lots of extremely careless ones Wink (although I doubt it)
hero member
Activity: 900
Merit: 1014
advocate of a cryptographic attack on the globe
October 02, 2012, 09:49:51 AM
#68
Why is it that the coins mined in the genesis block can't be spent?

Because it wouldn't be fair: there are no miners to compete for the reward. One more thing about Satoshi.
Sorry, I meant technically what prevents it. But I think the answer is in how the client deals with the block. Yea I agree Satoshi is/was awesome Smiley
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