Like I mentioned in the other discussion thread about Bangladesh, they could be the dark horse of this World Cup and I even said that they could sneak into the top 4 and play in the semi-finals. They have shown that they can play well against the good teams and maybe this World Cup is their time to shine. It will take just one slip up from one of the top 4 teams and Bangladesh can sneak in. Right now that team could be New Zealand as they haven't played the top team yet so we could see Bangladesh make it, outside of the top 4 I think Bangladesh is the better team.
There is no need to get excited over a win against the West Indies. The Windies are no longer one of the cricket powerhouses. But it was a good comfortable victory, and will do a lot to strengthen the morale of the Bangladeshi players. But for them, the big test is coming up. Their next match is against Australia on 20th and to be honest I have zero hopes for an upset. And then they will face the South Asian teams (AFG, IND, PAK). Unless they manage to win 3 out of their next 4 matches, I don't think that they can qualify for the playoffs.
I'm not getting excited my friend, I'm just saying that Bangladesh have a good chance to make the semi-finals. Yes I agree they have a big test coming up as they start to play two of the top teams in the tournament however I can see them winning 2 of the 4 matches coming up. I don't think they will beat Australia and India but the other two matches they can win if they play well. Then they just need New Zealand to drop a few matches and Bangladesh will be in with a shot to make the semi-finals. New Zealand's last couple of matches are against Australia and England and we never know what the WI can do on a good day so potentially New Zealand could lose 3-4 matches coming up so lets see what happens.
I don't think that the two wins (out of the next four matches) for Bangladesh will be enough, they need to get at least three wins in order to qualify for the semi-finals. With two more wins, they'll have only 9 points. IMO, we've three clear semi-finals qualifiers:
-England
-India
-Australia
The fourth spot is solely going to depend upon the net run-rate at the end until and unless New Zealand beats both, the Pakistani team and the West Indies team. In the end, we're going to have three teams with 11 points, and these three teams will potentially be New Zealand, Bangladesh, or Pakistan.
The remaining matches include:
after the '=' sign, I've placed the team that I feel is going to win in that particular matchAus vs. BanEng vs. Sri = Eng wins
Ind vs. Afg = Ind wins
WI vs. NZ = NZ wins
Pak vs. SA = Pak wins
Ban vs. Afg = Ban wins
Eng vs. Australia = Eng wins
Pak vs. NZWI vs. Ind = Ind wins
Sri vs. SA = Sri wins
Pak vs. Afg = Pak wins
NZ vs. AusEng vs. India = Eng wins
Sri vs. WI = WI wins
Ban vs. Ind = Ind wins
Eng vs. NZ = Eng wins
Afg vs. WI = WI wins
Pak vs. BanSri vs. Ind = Ind wins
SA vs. Aus = Aus wins
If the results go according to what I've mentioned, the fourth spot will heavily depend upon the above four bolded matches, as:
-if New Zealand wins both the matches (against Pakistan and Australia), they'll get the fourth spot.
-if Pakistan is able to win against New Zealand and Bangladesh, while New Zealand beats Australia, then New Zealand will still get the fourth spot. If the same happens but Australia succeeds in beating New Zealand, then the net run-rate of New Zealand and Pakistan will be compared.
-OTOH, Bangalis need to get three wins and hope that Kiwis don't get the two wins out of all their matches.
IMO, today's match against Australia of Bangalis is going to be a very important one for their survival in the world cup. Bangladesh CAN do it, they've got the potential and if they remain positive, they can beat Australia.