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Topic: 94% correction? [46% so far] (Read 8970 times)

donator
Activity: 980
Merit: 1000
February 17, 2012, 04:06:15 PM
Does anyone actually want a stable flat and level line price?

I'd love a much flatter graph than the current one. A normal currency or commodity graph would do.

You mean like something stable—perhaps silver.

That would be enough. As hot as silver has been for the last few years, you won't see a 40% swing in 3 days.
donator
Activity: 980
Merit: 1000
February 17, 2012, 12:27:44 PM
Does anyone actually want a stable flat and level line price?

I'd love a much flatter graph than the current one. A normal currency or commodity graph would do.
hero member
Activity: 1778
Merit: 504
WorkAsPro
February 17, 2012, 11:39:03 AM
Does anyone actually want a stable flat and level line price?
legendary
Activity: 1036
Merit: 1002
February 16, 2012, 10:48:14 AM
I'm starting to think what will ultimately destroy bitcoin is the concentration of coins from the early days.

Or... alternatively, there will be an uber crash which eventually will lead to stablization.

IF that is the case, there should be diminishing volatility as coin distribution involves market movements instead of hoarding...

Maybe.

This is why the distribution process of Litecoin was done in a fairer manner. But then again there are arguments for and against litecoin.

Litecoin does not solve this problem, it just does the same thing on a different time scale. It's a misconception to think the price swings are a property of the coins or initial distribution; it's a property of the traders we have. The volume causing all this is massive, even compared to the total amount of Bitcoins out there. It's caused by strange behavior of speculators, and heavy fluctuations in the inflow of money.

We need more time. Speculators that stabilize price will slowly accumulate a part of the coins and dollars on the market, slowing down the rough ride we're seeing. But that isn't achieved in just a few months, as I've been saying for almost a year now. One year of the trading chaos is not a long time considering Bitcoins have been minted for more than three.
legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1473
LEALANA Bitcoin Grim Reaper
February 16, 2012, 12:53:10 AM
I'm starting to think what will ultimately destroy bitcoin is the concentration of coins from the early days.

Or... alternatively, there will be an uber crash which eventually will lead to stablization.

IF that is the case, there should be diminishing volatility as coin distribution involves market movements instead of hoarding...

Maybe.

This is why the distribution process of Litecoin was done in a fairer manner. But then again there are arguments for and against litecoin.

N12
donator
Activity: 1610
Merit: 1010
February 15, 2012, 10:49:05 PM
OK, time for an update. 46% correction.

Can we go further? We will see.
member
Activity: 112
Merit: 10
February 15, 2012, 05:08:14 PM
I'm starting to think what will ultimately destroy bitcoin is the concentration of coins from the early days.

Or... alternatively, there will be an uber crash which eventually will lead to stablization.

IF that is the case, there should be diminishing volatility as coin distribution involves market movements instead of hoarding...

Maybe.
hero member
Activity: 809
Merit: 501
Always verify deals with me through my public key!
February 15, 2012, 03:17:26 PM
Nagle... Nagle... Nagle...?

No, you say it backwards in front of a mirror......

Elgan... Elgan... Elgan...

OH SHI....

hero member
Activity: 602
Merit: 508
Firstbits: 1waspoza
February 15, 2012, 03:04:54 PM
Yup, set phasers to short.
full member
Activity: 176
Merit: 100
February 15, 2012, 02:37:15 PM
I have a feeling that will be soon.
N12
donator
Activity: 1610
Merit: 1010
February 15, 2012, 02:30:46 PM
42% correction so far. I will edit the title every time it does a new low.
hero member
Activity: 607
Merit: 500
February 14, 2012, 05:37:29 AM
I wonder what will happen if we go below 4.8
legendary
Activity: 1064
Merit: 1001
February 14, 2012, 05:09:17 AM
I am a big fan of the 33% retracement, I don't fully understand it but it seems  very real to me.

When we get to 4.81, how can we see the up "retracement"?
hero member
Activity: 607
Merit: 500
February 14, 2012, 02:46:24 AM
That's also the first level bottom S5032 predicted. Just sayin'  Roll Eyes
newbie
Activity: 25
Merit: 0
February 14, 2012, 02:43:26 AM
Interestingly enough, if you compare the magnitudes of each rally and assume that they will drop as much as the first rally as a magnitude of the percentage, you get a "perfect" estimate of a 33% drop from our high of $7.22, bringing us down to $4.81.

...God damn 33% percent retracement rule.
Damn I'm good. Let's see if this holds...


VERY good!  Shocked
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
bitcoin hundred-aire
February 13, 2012, 10:05:03 PM
#99
Interestingly enough, if you compare the magnitudes of each rally and assume that they will drop as much as the first rally as a magnitude of the percentage, you get a "perfect" estimate of a 33% drop from our high of $7.22, bringing us down to $4.81.

...God damn 33% percent retracement rule.
Damn I'm good. Let's see if this holds...

Damn you're good Shocked
legendary
Activity: 1204
Merit: 1015
February 13, 2012, 10:02:42 PM
#98
Interestingly enough, if you compare the magnitudes of each rally and assume that they will drop as much as the first rally as a magnitude of the percentage, you get a "perfect" estimate of a 33% drop from our high of $7.22, bringing us down to $4.81.

...God damn 33% percent retracement rule.
Damn I'm good. Let's see if this holds...
N12
donator
Activity: 1610
Merit: 1010
February 13, 2012, 08:19:15 PM
#97
Ah well, let’s bump it, then.

http://www.sierrachart.com/userimages/upload_2/1329182327128.png

You have served me well, uptrend. Thanks. See you next time. Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1708
Merit: 1020
February 08, 2012, 01:53:54 PM
#96
I see this as a manipulation attempt based on the predictions of what will happen if $5.4 breaks. It doesn't make any sense otherwise, someone who simply wanted to exit the market with 40k BTC would've sold smaller amounts at a time, not all 40k at once. The market had no signs of crashing so the seller would've got a much better price by selling in smaller amounts. That dump was very intentional, the question is will people fall for it. I'm not falling for it.

edit: I am not sure it is a loosing operation. thinking....

Just like this?: https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/comic-the-sharks-and-the-trampoline-52336 Smiley

Zhoutong, could you let us know if any or what role Bitcoinica is playing here?

[... dump img ...]

Nothing. The total forced liquidations today is less than 500 ฿.

thanks for the info!

so there are other players at work... quite interesting
hero member
Activity: 699
Merit: 500
Your Minion
February 08, 2012, 01:37:05 PM
#95
So now someone rash who likes big movements has a ton of money sitting in Gox?

Free money?
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