playing it aggressively preflop is always advisable, so you don't end up in family pots. against 3 random hands, AA only wins at showdown ~60% of the time. when you isolate one player before the flop (with a raise) you have much better chances of winning.
I agree. Unlikely close competitors should be eliminated before the flop happens. Don't give them the slightest chance to have a winning window.
However, I am sometimes torn hard between trying to make money and trying to weed out the bad cards as early as possible. A perfect raise, not too high for those holding better cards to scare away instead of gambling on but too high for the ones holding a 2 and a 7 to pay just for the flop, is hard to estimate.
very true, and it will differ at every table depending on player styles, so there is no such thing as a perfect raise. on tables with a high % of players seeing flops, it can be difficult to isolate one or even two players preflop. in those cases, it can be prudent to increase your initial raise and 3-bet amounts, to give the gamblers worse odds to call you.
the important thing to remember is that AA in a multi-way pot---especially on a wet (draw-heavy) board---is not
that strong of a hand. against 3 random hands preflop it's not far from a coin flip, and postflop in that situation it's much worse yet. still, often times people find it difficult to ever fold AA, even in that situation.
the worst thing you can do IMO is limp with AA and then refuse to fold postflop in a family pot. it's a recipe for disaster. the best strategy is usually to bet starting hand equity when you have it, not wait until your equity declines on the flop.
Against 3 random hands pre-flop, I don't think an AA is as weak as having only a coin flip winning probability. But if after the flop you remain to be only as strong as AA, then it is indeed more or less a coin flip.
And things would get even worse if you finally reached the river with still only the AA as your hand. At that point, you are already definitely losing that early advantage. Your AA is now a hand which is not worth calling every single raise.
But, to stay on topic, that odds calculator might still actually give you a high chance of winning depending on the community cards on the table. If that happens, you should treat it as nothing special.
Although, yes, I personally find it really difficult to fold an AA especially after having raised earlier and then called a number of times. But I might be forced to finally concede defeat and fold if the raise is getting very high. It all now depends on the game, and how much is left with you, and whether you're already starting to shiver trying to hopelessly defend that pair of Aces against a bully.
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