Let's talk share value estimates. Give your projected value, time frame it is achieved within, and some reasoning behind your speculation (if you have any...)
GO!
GO!
I see it in this light:
After the wall goes down, a small bump in price over the course of that week then it flattens out. Avalon prototype information and pics released, a small price surge with skepticism, just on the news. NRE is announced as finished and eASIC begins production, another price surge. Avalon's brought online, now everyone starts to take notice that the model has been coming to fruition, even the whiners who have been bashing see they made a mistake, another price surge but more aggressively.
Exact numbers? Who knows, but look to these other securities who receive their miners, BFL singles, Avalon's, etc. and how their share price inflates.
What about percentages? What was ASICMiner's IPO? At what hashrate increase/news did it move aggressively? It seems like we can get some rough numbers based on AM performance and pricing since ActiveMiner is following the same general model. Does anyone have those figures or know where I can dig them up?
This might help: http://web.archive.org/web/20130305000147/https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=99497.0
As to the rise in their share price, I am not sure how it followed news, increase in hashing power, miner production and sales. I do know that on May 18th it was at 1.9, which is where I bought in.
FYI, original post has some updated information in it and links. A lot of bashing going on in the ASICMINER spec thread, any news is good news I guess. However, maybe some of those folks who are clueless over there, ie. thinking the wall is someone getting out or the chenbro images are "stolen," should look there.
Chenbro is the chassis people, it will be modified, there is no dvd rom, the wall is the IPO for funding the NRE, the merge and contract rewrite was a restructuring done in collaboration with the community and more heavily invested shareholders... get out from under your rock
