If it takes 4 months to get miners, with current funds we could pull 1% network hashrate day 1.... 4 months is enough to start from scratch.... I still rate the possibility of having miners within 4 months at about 50% but the return on investment potential makes the risk worth it.
Now grow the fuck up and stop speculating about everything you insecure bloody teenagers.
Can you explain how you want to make profit when VMC has miners in 4 months only? Even with the best miner VMC is selling now and you start mining on february the first... you will not even double your investment in 6 months. Starting to mine in march the first means no profit at all. And you speak about 4 months from now? I wonder what profit margin you see on the price on VMC-Miners. I think you are too optimistic.
http://mining.thegenesisblock.com/And please stop naming sceptics. I lost way more bitcoins on mining companies than i would like to admit. Being sensitive to problems is nothing bad. Bad is only when people are so fearful that they crush the small hope to make something a success still by doing something stupid.
It doesn't matter when VMC/ActM has miners - as one of only two miner/spade shops VMC/ActM will be able to grow and produce profit indefinitely. If we start mining in Feb we'll have 10% network hash-rate pretty rapidly. We've got enough cash to produce 2.8PH of mining hardware...
The only way network hash rate and difficulty can increase to the 160 billion difficulty required to make VMC hardware unprofitable to run, is if the price of BTC goes up, and if it does then VMC hardware remains profitable. The current BTC price supports up to around 9EH/s of hardware mining profitably - that would require about $10billion of investment... Either its not going to happen, or VMC is going to profit from it happening. Or the perfect storm, ActM mines, VMC sells hardware, BTC Price goes up....
Don't get me wrong, I wish Ken would hurry up and hash already, but if bitcoin goes well, and bitcoin mining goes well (hell, even if it doesn't) then ActM will go well.
Of course it matters when ActM's miners become available. The later they're ready, the smaller the share of the network they'll capture and the less BTC they'll mine. It also means less sales and reduced profit on each sale due to being weak compared to the competition. It means that most share holders will not recover the cost they paid for their shares.
Also, just because ActM can make their own chips, that doesn't mean they can make as many as they want. They have to book time at the fab, then it takes a certain amount of time to actually produce the batch of wafers, turn those wafers into chips, put the chips on a card and put the cards in a system. It also costs money. What you see is that companies produce a batch of miners then have to wait a while before they get more chips to produce more miners. Each batch of wafers has to do them till the next batch arrives. That means that companies are restricted to bringing online x amount of hashing power, where x depends of the hashing speed and number of working chips in the batch.
ActM will not be able to bring enough hashing power online to maintain their network share and because of that, it will not be able to pay out 0.0025 BTC to 10 million shares. People will be lucky to get 0.001 BTC per share.
