Re-post re: share price-I'm sure some of you have heard of a thing called P/E ratio (price-earnings ratio)?
It's a very simple formula universally used for valuing a listed company and it's shares which most often involves you dividing the share price by the annualised earnings per share.
here is a basic introduction:
http://www.allstarstocks.com/gpage2.htmlSo instead of guessing how much you think share price will go to using your divining rod or a set of Rune stones just use the p/e ratio.
All you need to know is the total amount of BTC that will be paid out in divs to public investors in year 1 and then you divide that by the number of shares to get your annual earnings per share figure. You then choose a share price - lets say the IPO of 0.0025 and divide that by your annual earnings per share figure to get the p/e ratio.
An acceptable p/e ratio to investors in the real world would range from anything from 10:1 to 100:1 - it's going to be based around the company prospects for growth and continued business.
OK so who want's to start? Me? OK-
I think 4justice's table gave a yearly total for public investors (taking into account the drop when Kens shares get divs) of around 40k BTC.
40,000/10,000,000=0.004
0.0025/.004=0.625
So now we need to decide what P/E ratio investors will be happy with. 0.625:1 would put the share price at 0.0025 - obviously. Now if the company has solid prospects and good accounts there is a world of investors out there who would bite your right arm off to get in at a P/E ratio of 0.625:1. It's
incredibly good value - so long as the company is solid.
I would say with BTC rising so commendably that a P/E ration of 10:1 would be conservative - so that would mean a share price of 0.04 > 0.04/0.004=10
Anyone please correct my arithmetic/logic and make comments.
PPS - 4justice's table is I think conservative.
Are you saying here that we need to view this from a perspective of investors who are wishing to cash-out in dollars? Suppose the share price was 0.04 and an investor decided to invest
BTC50, they would only have 1250 shares. Assuming they got the .0025 per share, their payout would over that time interval come to
BTC3.125. That isn't all that much for a
BTC50 investment. In current dollar terms that would be about $3000.