I know that a huge number of players refuse to make a forecast of the results of a sports match, refuse to engage in analysis. They believe that sports betting is created for entertainment and place bets more or less randomly.
However, if we still treat sports betting as a serious activity (that is, we do it not only for entertainment), then I would like to ask you this question:
What do you think is your advantage over the bookmaker?
And in general, do you have an advantage over the bookmaker?
Is it even possible to have an advantage over the bookmaker?
- Divide my gambling into business and leisure by this, 80% of my capital will be reserved for business bets which are high probability bets whole 20% is reserved for leisure in which the risk is higher as well as target win.
- I decided to chose just few selected teams in selected leagues, play them each and every other week. For instance, Real Madrid, ManchesterCity, PSG, BayernMunic and Malmo which I play direct wins one ticket, over 2.5 another ticket and over 3.5 another ticket. This is my business bet which I target 3 to 5 odds and a win rate of 60%
- I have a fixed gambling budget per day, per week and per month, as soon as it is exhausted, I take a break.
- When I have heavy winning or I encounter series of loses, I take a break to protect my winning or preserve my capital because luck still play a part in gambling despite the skill
My method may not be 100% perfect as there are still room for improvement but it has helped me become more disci0lined and also increase my win rate as well as winning preservation. In other words, it has made my gambling become more systematic and measurable.