Analysis - page 131. | Bitcointalksearch.org

Tzupy

legendary

Activity: 2156

Merit: 1094

Quote from: lebing on November 04, 2015, 09:19:59 AM

Quote from: Tzupy on November 04, 2015, 08:10:10 AM

Well, I took a small short at 475$, let's see how this goes...

Edit: didn't confirm, so I closed it. Will wait until 3 min MACD will cross to negative, should take 1 - 2 hours.

lol tzupy you will never learn man.

That the piglets are insane, that's indeed hard for me to learn. The bid sum in China has been decreasing, but the asks are thin, and only inertia kept this shit going up.

lebing

legendary

Activity: 1288

Merit: 1000

Enabling the maximal migration

Quote from: Tzupy on November 04, 2015, 08:10:10 AM

Well, I took a small short at 475$, let's see how this goes...

Edit: didn't confirm, so I closed it. Will wait until 3 min MACD will cross to negative, should take 1 - 2 hours.

lol tzupy you will never learn man.

ft73

hero member

Activity: 564

Merit: 508

Masterluc?

Dilla

hero member

Activity: 588

Merit: 500

Depending on the size of this bubble, there could be more instances like that, where we correct then rise, maybe even of greater amounts.

Hunyadi

legendary

Activity: 1281

Merit: 1000

☑ ♟ ☐ ♚

Quote from: Miz4r on November 04, 2015, 08:33:30 AM

Quote from: ft73 on November 04, 2015, 07:54:01 AM

Quote from: Miz4r on November 04, 2015, 07:37:33 AM

Quote from: Odalv on November 04, 2015, 03:32:20 AM

Lucif, have you re bought or do you missed the train ? :-)

What do you think? You'd be crazy to rebuy here if you sold earlier, unless it's for a quick scalp.

Probably you're right, this looks a somewhat irrational rise.
Yet if what we have here is a true bubble it may pop soon or it may spike up noticeably from here.

Nobody knows how high this will spike, but you can clearly see the ramp up has been accelerating and if you extrapolate this you can state with 99% certainty that a serious crash/correction is coming within 2-3 days from now (my guess is either today or tomorrow). I'm not a bear like some people are, I think we'll be higher than we are now next year. But very short term we can clearly see that a big crash is coming, and the higher we spike the deeper the following crash will be.

Didn't we just crashed to USD 375 from USD 420, that's not big enough?

ft73

hero member

Activity: 564

Merit: 508

Quote from: Miz4r on November 04, 2015, 08:33:30 AM

Quote from: ft73 on November 04, 2015, 07:54:01 AM

Quote from: Miz4r on November 04, 2015, 07:37:33 AM

Quote from: Odalv on November 04, 2015, 03:32:20 AM

Lucif, have you re bought or do you missed the train ? :-)

What do you think? You'd be crazy to rebuy here if you sold earlier, unless it's for a quick scalp.

Probably you're right, this looks a somewhat irrational rise.
Yet if what we have here is a true bubble it may pop soon or it may spike up noticeably from here.

Nobody knows how high this will spike, but you can clearly see the ramp up has been accelerating and if you extrapolate this you can state with 99% certainty that a serious crash/correction is coming within 2-3 days from now (my guess is either today or tomorrow). I'm not a bear like some people are, I think we'll be higher than we are now next year. But very short term we can clearly see that a big crash is coming, and the higher we spike the deeper the following crash will be.

I absolutely agree about a correction coming within 2 days (i'd say tomorrow or friday).
The point IMHO is how high price may spike up in the meantime.

China just broke 3200 CNY, so 500$ is in the charts and 550-600$ is not out question IMHO, even if that's NOT the most probable scenario.

Miz4r

legendary

Activity: 1246

Merit: 1000

Quote from: ft73 on November 04, 2015, 07:54:01 AM

Quote from: Miz4r on November 04, 2015, 07:37:33 AM

Quote from: Odalv on November 04, 2015, 03:32:20 AM

Lucif, have you re bought or do you missed the train ? :-)

What do you think? You'd be crazy to rebuy here if you sold earlier, unless it's for a quick scalp.

Probably you're right, this looks a somewhat irrational rise.
Yet if what we have here is a true bubble it may pop soon or it may spike up noticeably from here.

Nobody knows how high this will spike, but you can clearly see the ramp up has been accelerating and if you extrapolate this you can state with 99% certainty that a serious crash/correction is coming within 2-3 days from now (my guess is either today or tomorrow). I'm not a bear like some people are, I think we'll be higher than we are now next year. But very short term we can clearly see that a big crash is coming, and the higher we spike the deeper the following crash will be.

dmwardjr

legendary

Activity: 1302

Merit: 1318

Technical Analyst/Trader

Quote from: ft73 on November 04, 2015, 08:04:07 AM

Not sure what you mean by writing "The order books are empty" and "few pumpers".
I'd say on the contrary we have A LOT of trades and volatility.
Price moved up 17% in 12h, 24% on 24h.

I'm no bear nor bull, just an observer struggling to find the sweet spot to close his long trades.
So far i can't see any reliable signals.

I believe that is what whales with big pockets are counting on: People who "... find the sweet spot to close his long trades." Big money has the patience to wait. They will keep taking this up [Giving opportunities for people to sell at so called sweet spots]. They will be sitting sweet in 2017/2018. I believe big pockets have decided to jump in now rather than wait until sometime after the new year to accumulate coin.

This may also be a scheme to pump up to over $2k by May, 2016 and dump to $1.2k.

Tzupy

legendary

Activity: 2156

Merit: 1094

Well, I took a small short at 475$, let's see how this goes...

Edit: didn't confirm, so I closed it. Will wait until 3 min MACD will cross to negative, should take 1 - 2 hours.

ft73

hero member

Activity: 564

Merit: 508

Quote from: hdbuck on November 04, 2015, 07:57:41 AM

Quote from: ft73 on November 04, 2015, 07:54:01 AM

Quote from: Miz4r on November 04, 2015, 07:37:33 AM

Quote from: Odalv on November 04, 2015, 03:32:20 AM

Lucif, have you re bought or do you missed the train ? :-)

What do you think? You'd be crazy to rebuy here if you sold earlier, unless it's for a quick scalp.

Probably you're right, this looks a somewhat irrational rise.
Yet if what we have here is a true bubble it may pop soon or it may spike up noticeably from here.

The order books are empty. Btc price is floating and Nobody dares to move besides the few pumpers.

At this point you gotta be crazy shorting or going long.

Question is a which threshold people will realise their profit.

Greed is King now.

Not sure what you mean by writing "The order books are empty" and "few pumpers".
I'd say on the contrary we have A LOT of trades and volatility.
Price moved up 17% in 12h, 24% on 24h.

I'm no bear nor bull, just an observer struggling to find the sweet spot to close his long trades.
So far i can't see any reliable signals.

EDIT: Question is: will Chinese break 3200 CNY or not? At the moment i have no clue.

hdbuck

legendary

Activity: 1260

Merit: 1002

Quote from: ft73 on November 04, 2015, 07:54:01 AM

Quote from: Miz4r on November 04, 2015, 07:37:33 AM

Quote from: Odalv on November 04, 2015, 03:32:20 AM

Lucif, have you re bought or do you missed the train ? :-)

What do you think? You'd be crazy to rebuy here if you sold earlier, unless it's for a quick scalp.

Probably you're right, this looks a somewhat irrational rise.
Yet if what we have here is a true bubble it may pop soon or it may spike up noticeably from here.

The order books are empty. Btc price is floating and Nobody dares to move besides the few pumpers.

At this point you gotta be crazy shorting or going long.

Question is a which threshold people will realise their profit.

Greed is King now.

ft73

hero member

Activity: 564

Merit: 508

Quote from: Miz4r on November 04, 2015, 07:37:33 AM

Quote from: Odalv on November 04, 2015, 03:32:20 AM

Lucif, have you re bought or do you missed the train ? :-)

What do you think? You'd be crazy to rebuy here if you sold earlier, unless it's for a quick scalp.

Probably you're right, this looks a somewhat irrational rise.
Yet if what we have here is a true bubble it may pop soon or it may spike up noticeably from here.

Miz4r

legendary

Activity: 1246

Merit: 1000

Quote from: Odalv on November 04, 2015, 03:32:20 AM

Lucif, have you re bought or do you missed the train ? :-)

What do you think? You'd be crazy to rebuy here if you sold earlier, unless it's for a quick scalp. I'd much rather have seen a more slow ramp up, because this is gonna crash hard very soon. Nice if you made mad profits though, but not so good for BTC I think when the inevitable crash comes. Wouldn't be surprised to see 200s again, it never ends well when the chart looks like this. Retracements and consolidation periods are important to establish support, there is none now until way down into the 200s.

Eivind Nag

newbie

Activity: 22

Merit: 0

Quote from: Asrael999 on November 04, 2015, 05:41:24 AM

Quote from: sickpig on November 04, 2015, 05:24:41 AM

Quote from: SmoothCurves on November 04, 2015, 04:54:31 AM

Quote from: Eivind Nag on November 04, 2015, 03:57:46 AM

Bullish count:
https://i.imgur.com/dsglVWT.jpg

But as always, for every bullish count there is an equally bearish one...

What price is 5 ?

10K at least. price is on a log scale.

Timing looks like 2017?

It took ~4 years+- to reach 1163 (I). Probably looking at same timeframe or more to reach III. But all of this assumes that we are actually in a new Bull market. I would be cautious to mortgage your house to buy bitcoin. Although this rally is quite convincing its also what you might expect as a counter trend rally. What this rally has got going for it is the rather good volume. What is going against it is the bipolar world of central bank reflation on an even stronger deflationary backdrop.

Asrael999

hero member

Activity: 703

Merit: 502